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● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LSU›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SEC|BRIAN KELLY|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
LSU#12 AP 9 FPISEC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
91%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
53%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#618 BC / 28
BC RATIO
55%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.3-2.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+18.7
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE100
PERFORMANCE100
TALENT89
CONTINUITY91
DEFENSE29
PERFORMANCE29
TALENT80
CONTINUITY53
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AFLORIDA STATE#6L 24-45869494-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HGRAMBLING—W 72-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16AMISSISSIPPI STATE#9W 41-14805454+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HARKANSAS—W 34-31775959+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AOLE MISS—L 49-558492920BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AMISSOURI#8W 49-39839393-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HAUBURN—W 48-18887373+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HARMY—W 62-014141+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AALABAMA#5L 28-421009595-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HFLORIDA—W 52-35907070+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HGEORGIA STATE—W 56-14373434+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HTEXAS A&M—W 42-30988989+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 1HWISCONSIN—W 35-31797878+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB85TAL98PERF85RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JAYDEN DANIELSQB SERET
★4—9183%+34—
18
GARRETT NUSSMEIERQB SERET
★4—5616%+17—
1
RICKIE COLLINSQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★440%—HELD
4
MATT O'DOWDQB SORET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
23
GEORGE HAMSLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB65TAL65PERF65RET45ROTATIONn=5 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
LOGAN DIGGSRB SEPORTAL · NOTRE DAME
★3★48842%+2ROSE
27
JOSH WILLIAMSRB SERET
★2—7526%+24—
21
NOAH CAINRB SERET
★4—5510%+1—
5
KALEB JACKSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3549%+19HELD
14
JOHN EMERY JR.RB SERET
★5★3539%-7FELL
25
TREY HOLLYRB SONO SNAPS
★4—303%+35—
32
TRE BRADFORDRB SONO SNAPS
★4—212%-35—
30
MALACHI LANERB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
ARMONI GOODWINRB SERET
★4★400%+6HELD
▾WR/TE72TAL85PERF81RET93ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
MALIK NABERSWR JURET
★4—9831%+33—
11
BRIAN THOMAS JR.WR JURET
★4—9831%+25—
86
MASON TAYLORTE JURET
★3—9676%-11—
2
KYREN LACYWR SERET
★3—8923%+3—
3
CHRIS HILTON JR.WR SERET
★4—639%+22—
1
AARON ANDERSONWR JUPORTAL · ALABAMA
★4★4586%-55HELD
88
KA'MORREUN PIMPTONTE SENO SNAPS
★4★4395%—HELD
5
KYLE PARKERWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3150%—FELL
6
SHELTON SAMPSON JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3130%—FELL
87
JACKSON MCGOHANWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3111%—HELD
45
GIVANNI PETERSONTE SERET
UNR—80%——
17
JALEN BROWNWR SONO SNAPS
★4★360%—FELL
80
GREGORY CLAYTON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
LANDON IBIETAWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
15
KHAI PREANWR SONO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
49
GABE LEONARDSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JAVEN NICHOLASWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
81
RJ WILLISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
87
NOAH NASHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
COWINN HELAIREWR JURET
UNR—00%——
▸OL82TAL90PERF82RET91n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL53TAL91PERF53RET51n=11 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
▸LB58TAL93PERF58RET66n=4 · 11 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB59TAL58PERF59RET45n=10 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LANCE HEARDHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
DA'SHAWN WOMACKHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
JAVIEN TOVIANOHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JALEN BROWNHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
SHELTON SAMPSON JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DJ CHESTERHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JAXON HOWARDHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
KA'MORREUN PIMPTONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
WHIT WEEKSHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KALEB JACKSONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DENVER HARRISTEXAS A&MCB★4★5
ZY ALEXANDERSE LOUISIANACBUNR★4
PARIS SHANDARIZONADL★3★4
JK JOHNSONOHIO STATECB★4★4
AARON ANDERSONALABAMAWR★4★4
LOGAN DIGGSNOTRE DAMERB★3★4
DUCE CHESTNUTSYRACUSECB★3★4
JORDAN JEFFERSONWEST VIRGINIADL★3★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT37 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KOLE TAYLORWEST VIRGINIATE★3★3
JACK BECHTCUWR★4★3
CAMERON WIRETULANEOL★3★3
XAVIER HILLMEMPHISOL★3★3
DESMOND LITTLEUABEDGE★3★3
ZAVIER CARTERUNLVLB★4★4
MARCUS DUMERVILMARYLANDOL★4★3
JAELYN DAVIS-ROBINSONSMUCB★3★3
DERRICK DAVIS JR.PITTSBURGHRB★4★3
KELLS BUSHLOUISIANA TECHDLUNR★2
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES5%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS31%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#6NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
18OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9199COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1421 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST89% BACK89th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG89% BACK89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR91%91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST44%44th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE