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● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MEMPHIS›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|RYAN SILVERFIELD|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
MEMPHIS53 FPIAAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
54FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
71%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
47%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#601 BC / 19
BC RATIO
17%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs8.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.7
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE74
PERFORMANCE74
TALENT54
CONTINUITY71
DEFENSE50
PERFORMANCE50
TALENT57
CONTINUITY47
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBETHUNE-COOKMAN—W 56-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AARKANSAS STATE—W 37-3343737+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HNAVY—W 28-2411515+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AMISSOURI#8L 27-34839393-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HBOISE STATE—W 35-32486767-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HTULANE—L 21-31415656+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AUAB—W 45-21291212+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANORTH TEXAS—W 45-42303636+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 59-50533636+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ACHARLOTTE—W 44-384333+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HSMU#22L 34-38768383-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ATEMPLE—W 45-214255+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29AIOWA STATE—W 36-26577272-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB61TAL52PERF61RET99ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
SETH HENIGANQB SERET
★3—9899%+24—
21
TEVIN CARTERQB JURET
★3★3121%—HELD
8
CADE CUNNINGHAMQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
12
HARRIS BOYDQB FRTRUE FR
★3★200%—FELL
17
MATT DEANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB63TAL21PERF63RET33ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
BLAKE WATSONRB SEPORTAL · OLD DOMINION
★2★210065%+17HELD
5
SUTTON SMITHRB SERET
★3★37622%+4HELD
22
BRANDON THOMASRB SERET
★3—579%+14—
20
JAY DUCKERRB SERET
★3★3353%+8HELD
18
KE'TRAVION HARGROVERB SEPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★4★4272%-12HELD
46
MARCUS TAYLOR IIRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
WALTER SAMUELRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
30
RAYDRIAN MCKNEELEYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
MARK SMITHRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
37
JAVORIS HAVISRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE43TAL62PERF53RET60ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
82
ANTHONY LANDPHERETE SERET
★3—9757%-22—
DEMEER BLANKUMSEEWR SEPORTAL · TOLEDO
★3★39727%+22HELD
3
ROC TAYLORWR SERET
★3—9627%+31—
6
JOSEPH SCATESWR SERET
★4—8218%+6—
10
KOBY DRAKEWR SERET
UNR—8016%+11—
80
BRENDAN DOYLETE SENO SNAPS
UNR★37629%-42EMERGED
1
TAUSKIE DOVEWR SEPORTAL · MISSOURI
★3★3649%+14HELD
33
JAMAURI CHISLOMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★35711%—EMERGED
6
MARCELLO BUSSEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—392%——
12
AUSTIN SMITHTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3353%—HELD
7
CHRISTIAN CARTERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—221%——
16
DESTUN THOMASWR SORET
★3★360%—HELD
9
JAMARI HAWKINSWR SERET
★3★360%—HELD
3
TIMOTHY TONEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
CHRISTIAN ROSSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
81
REID FLANAGANTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
14
TYSON EDWARDSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
DARIAS JAMESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
48
JAVAIS MCGHEEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
JJ DANIELSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
JUSTIN HUGHESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
ANDREW MARTINTE FRTRUE FR
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▸OL64TAL50PERF64RET63n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL39TAL63PERF39RET48n=11 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB50TAL40PERF50RET61n=3 · 10 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB43TAL60PERF43RET44n=10 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARJAYVIOUS MOSSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
KARMELO OVERTONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JARRA ANDERSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MALACHI BRELANDHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
CHRISTIAN ROSSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
WALTER SAMUELHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CEVAN EDWARDSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TYSON EDWARDSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ISAIAH THOMISONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TRAVEON WRIGHTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYRIN TAYLORCOLORADOS★3★3
AUSTIN SMITHCOLORADOTEUNR★3
KE'TRAVION HARGROVEMISSISSIPPI STATERB★4★4
MARCUS HENDERSONARKANSASOT★4★4
JAYLEN JOHNSONOHIO STATESUNR★3
CULLEN MONTGOMERYOKLAHOMAOT★3★3
FALENTHA CARSWELLOLE MISSOTUNR★3
ADARIOUS JONESTEXAS A&MDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT34 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CADEN PRIESKORNOLE MISSTEUNR★4
CAM JACKSONFLORIDADL★3UNR
JOSH HASTINGSUT MARTINSUNRUNR
LADARIAN PAULKFLORIDA INTERNATIONALDBUNR★3
EDDIE LEWISSOUTH CAROLINAWR★3★3
JAVON IVORYSOUTH ALABAMAWR★3★3
ASA MARTINTROYRB★4★3
DAVIAN MAYOBOWLING GREENLB★3★3
ANDREW JONESGRAMBLINGLB★3★3
JAMES STEWARTMIDDLE TENNESSEEDE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES22%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS76%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#60NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8446COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1926 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR63%63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST44%44th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE