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HOME›TEAMS›MICHIGAN›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|JIM HARBAUGH|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
MICHIGAN#18 AP 12 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#817 BC / 28
BC RATIO
44%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.3-2.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.5
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 40-21341616+77BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HARMY—W 24-2174545+48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AWISCONSIN#11L 14-35779292+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HRUTGERS—W 52-0581010+83BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HIOWA#15W 10-3698585+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AILLINOIS—W 42-25745454+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19APENN STATE#9L 21-28939696-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HNOTRE DAME#12W 45-14918686+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AMARYLAND—W 38-7812727+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HMICHIGAN STATE—W 44-10786969+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AINDIANA—W 39-14628383+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HOHIO STATE#3L 27-5699100100-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
JOE MILTON IIIQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
2
SHEA PATTERSONQB SERET
★5—00%——
12
DYLAN MCCAFFREYQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
6
MICHAEL SESSAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CADE MCNAMARAQB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
20
ANDY MADDOXQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
REN HEFLEYQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET20NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
45
PETER BUSHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TRU WILSONRB SERET
★2—00%——
25
HASSAN HASKINSRB JURET
★3—00%——
28
CHRISTIAN TURNERRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
20
NICHOLAS CAPATINARB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
ZACH CHARBONNETRB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
44
JARED CHARRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
LUCAS ANDRIGHETTORB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
JORDAN CASTLEBERRYRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
37
DANNY HUGHESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
LEON FRANKLINRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
ABE JAAFARRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
RONNIE BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
NICO COLLINSWR JURET
★4—00%——
9
DONOVAN PEOPLES-JONESWR JURET
★5—00%——
86
LUKE SCHOONMAKERTE SERET
★3—00%——
83
ERICK ALLTE SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
84
SEAN MCKEONTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
NICK EUBANKSTE SERET
★3—00%——
TARIK BLACKWR SERET
★4—00%——
6
CORNELIUS JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
81
NATE SCHOENLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
42
BEN MASONTE SERET
★3—00%——
43
JAKE MCCURRYWR SERET
★2—00%——
5
GILES JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
18
BRENDAN WHITEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
JACOB WESTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
38
JOSEPH FILESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
24
JAKE MARTINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JOEL HONIGFORDTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
CARTER SELZERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
31
JACK YOUNGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
35
LUKE BUCKMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
36
RAMSEY BATYTE SORET
UNR—00%——
43
TYLER GROSZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
MUSTAPHA MUHAMMADTE SORET
★4—00%——
7
GEORGE JOHNSON IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
39
MATT TOREYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
MATHEW HARRISONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
WILL SESSATE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
DESMOND NICHOLASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
HUNTER NEFFTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAXTON HILLHS RECRUITS★5UNR
CHRISTOPHER HINTONHS RECRUITDT★5UNR
ZACH CHARBONNETHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
MAZI SMITHHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
TRENTE JONESHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
NOLAN RUMLERHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
CORNELIUS JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TREVOR KEEGANHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JALEN PERRYHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ANTHONY SOLOMONHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
REUBEN JONESWEST VIRGINIADLUNRUNR
OLIVER MARTINIOWAWR★4★4
AUBREY SOLOMONTENNESSEEDLUNRUNR
BRANDON PETERSILLINOISQB★4UNR
MYLES SIMSGEORGIA TECHDB★4UNR
CHASE WINOVICHNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
ZACH GENTRYNFL DRAFT R5TEUNR—
DEVIN BUSHNFL DRAFT R1LB★4—
RASHAN GARYNFL DRAFT R1DL★5—
DAVID LONGNFL DRAFT R3DB★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#8NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
17OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9016COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST62% BACK62th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG62% BACK62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE