SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MINNESOTA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG TEN|P.J. FLECK|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
MINNESOTA66 FPIB1G · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
54FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#590 BC / 26
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.8
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HBUFFALO—W 17-7121717+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AOREGON STATE—W 48-14571515+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 34-3243131+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HMARYLAND—L 24-31803333+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7APURDUE—L 17-31486363-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HMICHIGAN STATE#15L 27-30788383-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HILLINOIS—W 24-17522424+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AIOWA—L 10-17647373-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AMICHIGAN—L 10-33959090-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HNEBRASKA—W 54-21795252-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ANORTHWESTERN#17L 0-39707979-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HWISCONSIN#7L 0-31739898-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET5NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
CONOR RHODAQB —RET
UNR—00%——
11
DEMRY CROFTQB —RET
UNR—00%——
5
ZACK ANNEXSTADQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
JARAN ROSTEQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
RODNEY SMITHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
KOBE MCCRARYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
4
SHANNON BROOKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
JONATHAN FEMI-COLERB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
MIKE DELICHRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
31
DOMINIK LONDONRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
MELVIN HOLLAND JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
BRANDON LINGENTE —RET
UNR—00%——
42
KO KIEFTTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
DEMETRIUS DOUGLASWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
ERIC CARTERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
80
NATE WOZNIAKTE —RET
UNR—00%——
84
WILL REGERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
44
COLTON BEEBETE JURET
UNR—00%——
88
RASHAD STILLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
12
HUNTER REGISTERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
8
MARK WILLIAMSWR —RET
★3—00%——
6
TYLER JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
BRYCE WITHAMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
CLAY GEARYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
SETH GREENTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
26
TRUE THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
87
YALE VAN DYNEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
MATT MORSEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
27
PAUL GOSSAGEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
96
NATHAN BURSCHTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
DREW HMIELEWSKIWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAISE ANDRIESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KENDARIAN HANDY-HOLLYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DEMETRIUS DOUGLASHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHRIS AUTMAN-BELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ADAM BECKHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JACOB PAULSONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JOHN MICHAEL SCHMITZHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
MALCOLM ROBINSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MOHAMED IBRAHIMHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TANNER MORGANHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GAELIN ELMOREEAST CAROLINADLUNRUNR
JALEN MYRICKNFL DRAFT R7DBUNR—
BRIAN SMITHNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
SCOTT EKPENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
MITCH LEIDNERNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JACK LYNNNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
NICK RALLISNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
YOSHOUB TIMMSNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DAMARIUS TRAVISNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
ERIC AMOAKONOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#59NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8271COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST51% BACK51th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG51% BACK51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE