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HOME›TEAMS›MINNESOTA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|P.J. FLECK|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
MINNESOTA21 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
20%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#492 BC / 21
BC RATIO
12%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs10.3-1.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.9
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE83
PERFORMANCE83
TALENT69
CONTINUITY20
DEFENSE55
PERFORMANCE55
TALENT61
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
50MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 38-071212+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HWESTERN ILLINOIS—W 62-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HCOLORADO—W 49-75655+83BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AMICHIGAN STATE—W 34-7764949+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HPURDUE—L 10-20646565+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AILLINOIS—L 14-266088880BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22APENN STATE#7L 17-45909595-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HRUTGERS—W 31-0612727+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ANEBRASKA—W 20-13834646+42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HNORTHWESTERN—W 31-3671616+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HIOWA—L 10-13748080+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AWISCONSIN—W 23-16826868+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29HSYRACUSE—W 28-20535353+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB55TAL45PERF55RET59ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
TANNER MORGANQB SERET
UNR—6757%+38—
16
ATHAN KALIAKMANISQB SERET
★4★36241%+30FELL
12
COLE KRAMERQB SERET
★3—163%——
7
JACOB KNUTHQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB78TAL55PERF78RET97ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
MOHAMED IBRAHIMRB SERET
★3—9760%+24—
23
TREY POTTSRB SERET
★3★37019%-2HELD
21
BRYCE WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—6616%+3—
27
JORDAN NUBINRB SERET
UNR★3272%—EMERGED
25
PRESTON JELENRB SERET
UNR—211%——
33
MAX GRANDRB FRTRUE FR
★2★2171%—HELD
26
ZACH EVANSRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3171%—HELD
20
COLE BERGHORNRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE68TAL68PERF62RET86ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 37 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
BREVYN SPANN-FORDTE SERET
★3—9866%+44—
7
MICHAEL BROWN-STEPHENSWR SERET
★3—8128%+26—
9
DANIEL JACKSONWR SERET
★4—7927%+21—
87
NICK KALLERUPTE SERET
UNR—7428%——
6
DYLAN WRIGHTWR SERET
★4★36918%+32FELL
0
LE'MEKE BROCKINGTONWR SERET
★3—6716%-11—
7
CHRIS AUTMAN-BELLWR SERET
★3—495%+10—
18
CLAY GEARYWR SERET
UNR—464%——
86
JAMESON GEERSTE SERET
★3—425%——
37
IKE WHITEWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3201%—HELD
83
DINO KALIAKMANISWR SERET
★3★3130%—HELD
18
QUENTIN REDDINGWR SERET
UNR—130%——
13
KRISTEN HOSKINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★370%—HELD
82
WYATT SCHROEDERTE JURET
★2—40%——
19
SAMUEL PICKERIGNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
NATHAN JONESTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
CADE CONZEMIUSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
ZACH JORGENSENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
JACK DISANOTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
FRANK BIERMANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL63TAL70PERF63RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL39TAL66PERF39RET57n=9 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB30TAL54PERF30RET97n=6 · 11 METRICS · 34 OBS
▸DB59TAL61PERF59RET80n=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREY BIXBYHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
ANTHONY SMITHHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
ZACH EVANSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HAYDEN SCHWARTZHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CADE MCCONNELLHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
IKE WHITEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JACOB KNUTHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
AIDAN GOUSBYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KRISTEN HOSKINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RHYLAND KELLYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MJ ANDERSONIOWA STATEDL★3UNR
BRADY BOYDTEXAS TECHWR★3★3
DJ GORDON IVSOUTH FLORIDALBUNRUNR
JAQWONDIS BURNSSMULB★3UNR
KY THOMASKANSASRB★4★4
BUCKY IRVINGOREGONRB★4UNR
RASHAD CHENEYSOUTH FLORIDADL★3★3
CAM WILEYAKRONRB★3UNR
JACK GIBBENSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BISHOP MCDONALDELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#49NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8504COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST67% BACK67th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG67% BACK67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR59%59th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST80%80th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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