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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|ELI DRINKWITZ|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
MISSOURI22 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
55%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#2011 BC / 17
BC RATIO
41%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs9.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.8
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE76
PERFORMANCE76
TALENT83
CONTINUITY55
DEFENSE96
PERFORMANCE96
TALENT81
CONTINUITY62
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28HCENTRAL ARKANSAS—W 61-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6HKANSAS—W 42-31665757+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HLOUISIANA—W 52-10342323+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 29-20886464+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HMASSACHUSETTS—W 42-61500+85BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HALABAMA#9L 24-27998686-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AAUBURN—W 23-17917979+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AVANDERBILT#15L 10-17619393-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HTEXAS A&M#8L 17-38959494-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 49-27835757+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AOKLAHOMA#13L 6-17919090-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AARKANSAS—W 31-17846161+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27HVIRGINIA#16L 7-13557878+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB42TAL93PERF42RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
BEAU PRIBULAQB SEPORTAL · PENN STATE
★3★48276%+32ROSE
5
MATT ZOLLERSQB SONO SNAPS
★4—6524%-45—
15
TOMMY LOCKQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
BRETT BROWNQB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
SAM HORNQB JURET
★4—00%——
18
ESSIEN SMITHQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
KAMERON ELEBYQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB79TAL85PERF79RET41ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
29
AHMAD HARDYRB JUPORTAL · UL MONROE
★3★49652%+26ROSE
20
JAMAL ROBERTSRB SERET
★3—9139%+31—
24
MARQUISE DAVISRB FRTRUE FR
★4★3516%+34FELL
0
TAVORUS JONESRB JURET
★4★3312%-36FELL
29
BRENDON HAYGOODRB SONO SNAPS
★4★3111%—FELL
31
ANTHONY FAVROWRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
BRADY HULTMANRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
▾WR/TE53TAL86PERF54RET78ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 32 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
BRETT NORFLEETTE SERET
★4—9748%-4—
3
KEVIN COLEMAN JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4—9133%+25—
86
JORDON HARRISTE SERET
★3—8632%-32—
5
JOSH MANNINGWR SERET
★4★38628%-30—
2
MARQUIS JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★48628%+32ROSE
89
JUDE JAMESTE JURET
★3—6513%——
XAVIER LOYDWR SEPORTAL · ILLINOIS STATE
UNR★3566%-59EMERGED
1
DANIEL BLOODWR SERET
★3★3525%-33HELD
12
VINCE BROWN IITE SEPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
UNR★3495%-9EMERGED
88
GAVIN HOFFMANTE JUPORTAL · IOWA
★4★3312%—FELL
82
LOGAN MUCKEYWR SERET
UNR—110%——
4
SHAUN TERRY IIWR SONO SNAPS
★4—60%——
3
DAMARION FOWLKESWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
DONOVAN OLUGBODEWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%+22—
4
JAMES MADISON IIWR SORET
★4★300%—FELL
32
GAVIN WYATTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
NOAH FLASKAMPWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
DAKOTAH TERRELLTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
84
ADAM MOLITORTE JURET
★2—00%——
80
JAYDEN BOLTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
39
CAMERON PITTSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL65TAL77PERF65RET60n=7 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL82TAL87PERF82RET61n=10 · 7 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB80TAL81PERF80RET66n=7 · 11 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸DB63TAL76PERF63RET61n=9 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAVION HILSONHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
MATT ZOLLERSHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
DONOVAN OLUGBODEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JACK LANGEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
MARQUISE DAVISHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
DAEDEN HOPKINSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
SHAUN TERRY IIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CJ BASS IIIHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DANTE MCCLELLANHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
BRENDON HAYGOODHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAMON WILSON IIGEORGIAEDGE★5★5
KEVIN COLEMAN JR.MISSISSIPPI STATEWRUNR★4
BEAU PRIBULAPENN STATEQB★3★4
AHMAD HARDYUL MONROERB★3★4
NATE JOHNSONAPP STATEEDGEUNR★3
KEAGEN TROSTWAKE FORESTOTUNR★3
DOMINICK GIUDICEMICHIGANIOL★3★3
JOSIAH TROTTERWEST VIRGINIALB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EDDIE KELLY JR.WEST VIRGINIADL★3★3
MEKHI MILLERTULSAWR★3★3
JAHKAI LANGSMUDE★3★3
DREW PYNEBOWLING GREENQB★4★3
WILLIAMS NWANERINEBRASKAEDGE★5★4
KEWAN LACYOLE MISSRB★4★3
JA'MARION WAYNECOASTAL CAROLINACB★4★4
BRAYSHAWN LITTLEJOHNAPP STATELB★3★3
TALAN CHANDLERNORTHWESTERNOL★3★3
MARCUS BRYANTNFL DRAFT R7OL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES86%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS66%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#20NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
11OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9096COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2124 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST13% BACK13th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG13% BACK13th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR60%60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST61%61th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE