SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEBRASKA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|SCOTT FROST|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
NEBRASKA29 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-13IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#204 BC / 20
BC RATIO
26%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs7.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-4.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-8
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.3
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
72MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28AILLINOIS—L 22-30645151+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1SEP 4HFORDHAM—W 52-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11HBUFFALO—W 28-3102121+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18AOKLAHOMA#10L 16-23969191-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AMICHIGAN STATE#9L 20-23747979-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HNORTHWESTERN—W 56-7691919+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HMICHIGAN#3L 29-32909898-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AMINNESOTA—L 23-30698787-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HPURDUE—L 23-286773730BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HOHIO STATE#6L 17-26999999-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AWISCONSIN—L 28-35859595-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HIOWA#23L 21-28708080-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
ADRIAN MARTINEZQB SERET
★4—00%——
7
LOGAN SMOTHERSQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
18
MATT MASKERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
CASEY THOMPSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
16
JARRETT SYNEKQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET27NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
31
CHRIS KOLAREVICRB SEPORTAL · NORTHERN IOWA
UNR★300%—EMERGED
30
MARKESE STEPPRB SEPORTAL · USC
★4★300%—FELL
24
WILL NIXONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
JAQUEZ YANTRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
29
COOPER JEWETTRB SORET
UNR—00%——
24
MARVIN SCOTT IIIRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
22
GABE ERVIN JR.RB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
28
SEVION MORRISONRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
14
RAHMIR JOHNSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
23
ANTHONY GRANTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
ISAIAH HARRISRB SORET
★3—00%——
45
BRADEN KLOVERFB SORET
UNR—00%——
35
TREVIN LUBENRB SORET
UNR—00%——
34
BEAU PSENCIKRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
23
GRANT LOHRRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
MATTHEW SCHUSTERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
44
AIDEN YOUNGRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
3
AJAY ALLENRB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
SAMORI TOUREWR SEPORTAL · MONTANA
★2★300%—ROSE
88
LEVI FALCKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
AUSTIN ALLENTE JURET
★3—00%——
5
OMAR MANNINGWR SERET
★4—00%——
82
CHANCELLOR BREWINGTONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
TRAVIS VOKOLEKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
32
BRODY BELTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
WYATT LIEWERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
13
ZAVIER BETTSWR SORET
★4—00%——
16
ZACH WEINMASTERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
17
ALANTE BROWNWR SERET
UNR★400%—EMERGED
87
NATE BOERKIRCHERTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
89
OLIVER MARTINWR SEPORTAL · IOWA
★4★400%—HELD
87
CHRIS HICKMANTE SORET
★3—00%——
16
MARCUS WASHINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
13
KAMONTE GRIMESWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
5
LATRELL NEVILLEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
20
SHAWN HARDY IIWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
46
JOHN GOODWINTE JURET
UNR—00%——
47
AUSTIN JABLONSKIWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
24
THOMAS FIDONE IITE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
10
HEINRICH HAARBERGTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
JAMES CARNIETE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
11
DECOLDEST CRAWFORDWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
41
ELLIOTT BROWNWR JURET
★4—00%——
17
TY HAHNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
AJ ROLLINSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
BARRON MILESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
48
EVAN MEYERSICKTE FRTRUE FR
UNR★200%—EMERGED
84
ALEX BULLOCKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
THOMAS FIDONE IIHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
WYNDEN HO'OHULIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
TEDDY PROCHAZKAHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
RANDOLPH KPAIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
HENRY LUTOVSKYHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JAMES CARNIEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
RU'QUAN BUCKLEYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HEINRICH HAARBERGHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
MIKAI GBAYORHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
LATRELL NEVILLEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAMORI TOUREMONTANAWR★2★3
MARKESE STEPPUSCRB★4★3
TYREKE JOHNSONOHIO STATECB★5★3
CHRIS KOLAREVICNORTHERN IOWAILBUNR★3
OLIVER MARTINIOWAWR★4★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LUKE MCCAFFREYRICEWR★4★3
NIKO COOPERWESTERN KENTUCKYLBUNR★3
KADE WARNERKANSAS STATEWR★2★2
KURT RAFDALBOISE STATETE★3★3
MARCUS FLEMINGMARYLANDWR★4★4
WAN'DALE ROBINSONKENTUCKYWR★4★4
KEEM GREENELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
DEDRICK MILLSELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
DICAPRIO BOOTLEELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
COLLIN MILLERELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#20NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8796COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
518 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST50% BACK50th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG50% BACK50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE