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HOME›TEAMS›NEBRASKA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|MICKEY JOSEPH|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
NEBRASKA70 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
83FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
2%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#412 BC / 17
BC RATIO
29%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs4.6-7.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.0
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE70
PERFORMANCE70
TALENT66
CONTINUITY2
DEFENSE38
PERFORMANCE38
TALENT73
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27ANORTHWESTERN—L 28-31671616+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3HNORTH DAKOTA—W 38-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 42-45223333+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HOKLAHOMA—L 14-49948686-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HINDIANA—W 35-21743131+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ARUTGERS—W 14-13612727+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15APURDUE—L 37-43646565-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HILLINOIS—L 9-26608888-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HMINNESOTA—L 13-20648888-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AMICHIGAN#3L 3-34919999-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HWISCONSIN—L 14-15826868-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AIOWA—W 24-17748080-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB50TAL55PERF50RET6ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
CASEY THOMPSONQB SERET
★4★37978%+31FELL
13
CHUBBA PURDYQB SENO SNAPS
★4★44916%-45HELD
7
LOGAN SMOTHERSQB SERET
★4★4326%+16HELD
18
MATT MASKERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
15
RICHARD TORRESQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
16
JARRETT SYNEKQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB41TAL27PERF41RET46ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ANTHONY GRANTRB SERET
UNR—9769%-32—
31
CHRIS KOLAREVICRB SERET
UNR★36510%—EMERGED
3
AJAY ALLENRB JURET
★3★45310%+31ROSE
14
RAHMIR JOHNSONRB SERET
★3—498%-33—
JAQUEZ YANTRB SORET
★3★3467%+23HELD
22
GABE ERVIN JR.RB JURET
★3★3456%+2HELD
29
COOPER JEWETTRB SORET
UNR—50%——
34
ISAIAH HARRISRB SORET
★3—00%——
45
BRADEN KLOVERFB SORET
UNR—00%——
35
TREVIN LUBENRB SORET
UNR—00%——
34
BEAU PSENCIKRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
21
EMMETT JOHNSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
28
MATTHEW SCHUSTERRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
44
AIDEN YOUNGRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE51TAL79PERF51RET65ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
TRAVIS VOKOLEKTE SERET
UNR—9150%+8—
3
TREY PALMERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—9031%+32—
16
MARCUS WASHINGTONWR SERET
★4★38627%+19FELL
82
CHANCELLOR BREWINGTONTE SERET
★3—7227%-23—
17
ALANTE BROWNWR SERET
UNR★47217%-18EMERGED
87
NATE BOERKIRCHERTE SERET
UNR★36621%-28EMERGED
89
OLIVER MARTINWR SERET
★4★46512%+15HELD
2
ISAIAH GARCIA-CASTANEDAWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★2505%+18EMERGED
5
OMAR MANNINGWR SERET
★4—453%-27—
32
BRODY BELTWR JURET
UNR—423%-45—
85
WYATT LIEWERWR JURET
UNR—372%——
87
CHRIS HICKMANTE SORET
★3—293%——
13
VICTOR JONES JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
44
LUKE LINDENMEYERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
MIKEY PAULEYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
AJ ROLLINSTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
84
ALEX BULLOCKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
TY HAHNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
16
ZACH WEINMASTERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
13
KAMONTE GRIMESWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
20
SHAWN HARDY IIWR JURET
★3—00%——
46
JOHN GOODWINTE JURET
UNR—00%——
24
THOMAS FIDONE IITE JURET
★4—00%——
10
HEINRICH HAARBERGTE SERET
★3—00%——
81
JAMES CARNIETE FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
16
JANIRAN BONNERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
11
DECOLDEST CRAWFORDWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
41
ELLIOTT BROWNWR JURET
★4—00%——
5
BARRON MILESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
47
CHASE ANDROFFTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
80
JAKE APPLEGETTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
48
EVAN MEYERSICKTE FRRET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
45
TRUITT ROBINSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
COOPER HAUSMANNWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
ROMAN MANGINIWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL34TAL61PERF34RET0n=8 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL39TAL75PERF39RET50n=10 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸LB36TAL94PERF37RET72n=7 · 11 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸DB57TAL65PERF57RET76n=8 · 8 METRICS · 42 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAEDEN GOULDHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JANIRAN BONNERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DECOLDEST CRAWFORDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AJAY ALLENHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JALIL MARTINHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ERNEST HAUSMANNHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
VICTOR JONES JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAKE APPLEGETHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
EMMETT JOHNSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
RICHARD TORRESHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAMIAN JACKSONBUFFALODEUNRUNR
ADRIAN MARTINEZKANSAS STATEQB★4UNR
MARKESE STEPPWESTERN KENTUCKYRB★4★3
WILL NIXONWASHINGTONRB★3★3
JACKSON HANNAHTENNESSEELB★3UNR
MARVIN SCOTT IIIFLORIDA ATLANTICRB★3★3
SEVION MORRISONKANSASRB★4★3
JORDON RILEYOREGONDL★3UNR
CASEY ROGERSOREGONDL★3UNR
SAMORI TOUREELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#41NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8688COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST23% BACK23th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG23% BACK23th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR6%6th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST76%76th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE