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HOME›TEAMS›NORTHERN ILLINOIS›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|THOMAS HAMMOCK|—RECORD0-6|CONF—
NORTHERN ILLINOIS110 FPIMWC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
14FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#910 BC / 33
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
0-6ACTUALvs1.6-4.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.8
0 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 4HBUFFALO#25L 30-49125353-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 10-40234040-34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ABALL STATE#23L 25-31132626-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 27-30284949-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HTOLEDO—L 24-41303434-28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 33-41101212-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET78NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
ROSS BOWERSQB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
1
DUSTIN FLETCHERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
ANDREW HAIDETQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
RODNEY THOMPSONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
5
CONNOR NEVILLEQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
TOM VATTERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
RONDARIUS GREGORYRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
20
ERIN COLLINSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
HARRISON WAYLEERB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
42
GREG DELUCARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
SHAQUAN OLIVERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
JORDAN NETTLESRB JURET
★3—00%——
43
BRETT BOSTADFB JURET
UNR—00%——
20
JAY DUCKERRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
34
DONAVAN BIEBERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
24
NAZARETH BRYANTRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
35
VONDARIOUS GORDONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
DENNIS ROBINSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
16
JYRAN MITCHELLWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
15
COLE TUCKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
TRISTEN TEWESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
FABIAN MCCRAYWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
MOHAMED TOUREWR SORET
★3—00%——
9
TRAYVON RUDOLPHWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
DANIEL CRAWFORDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
TYRICE RICHIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
MESSIAH TRAVISWR SERET
★2—00%——
44
COREY LERSCHTE SERET
★2—00%——
87
MAXIMILIAN THROWERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
LIAM SORAGHANTE SERET
★3—00%——
13
LEON PAYNEWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
80
MIKE DEHAANTE SORET
★3—00%——
81
JAKE NOVOTNYTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
48
MIKE CERNIGLIA JR.TE SORET
UNR—00%——
2
MICHAEL LOVEWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
83
KEION BATTLEWR SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
89
DREW CASSENSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
10
BILLY DOZIERWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
87
CHARLIE FISHWR SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
86
PATRICK HOFFMANNWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
CONNOR LEFFLERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
LUKE MALLETTETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JOE SIKMAWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DUSTIN FLETCHERHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JAY DUCKERHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
EDDIE JACKSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CODY KOPPHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
TRAYVON RUDOLPHHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ERIC ROGERSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
IVAN DAVISHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DAVEREN RAYNERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JEREMIAH HOWARDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JACK HUGUNINHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MITCHELL BRINKMANSOUTH FLORIDATE★2UNR
TRE HARBISONCHARLOTTERB★3UNR
JACK HEFLINIOWADL★2UNR
MARCUS KELLYELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
ANTONIO JONES-DAVISELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
MARSHE TERRYELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
BEN LEROYELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
MATT LORBECKELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
NATHAN VELOZELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
MARCUS JONESELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#91NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 33 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8074COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR78%78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE