SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|PAT FITZGERALD|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
NORTHWESTERN73 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
65FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#520 BC / 19
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs3.5-8.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.3
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31ASTANFORD—L 7-17863333-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HUNLV—W 30-143888+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HMICHIGAN STATE—L 10-31786969-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AWISCONSIN#11L 15-24779292-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ANEBRASKA—L 10-13835959-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HOHIO STATE#3L 3-5299100100-70BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HIOWA#15L 0-20698585-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AINDIANA—L 3-34628383-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HPURDUE—L 22-24645151-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HMASSACHUSETTS—W 45-61800+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HMINNESOTA#10L 22-38679191-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AILLINOIS—W 29-10745454-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET6NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
HUNTER JOHNSONQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
ANDREW MARTYQB JURET
★3—00%——
10
TJ GREENQB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
AIDAN SMITHQB SERET
★3—00%——
16
ZAC KRAUSEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET73NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
ISAIAH BOWSERRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
20
JOHN MOTEN IVRB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
JESSE BROWNRB SERET
★3—00%——
26
EVAN HULLRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
DRAKE ANDERSONRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
22
CONNOR NEWHOUSERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
MARCUS CISCORB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
BERKELEY HOLMANWR JURET
★3—00%——
80
TREY PUGHTE JURET
★3—00%——
42
JASON WHITTAKERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
JJ JEFFERSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
23
RAYMOND NIRO IIIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CHARLIE MANGIERITE SERET
★3—00%——
4
MALIK WASHINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
TRENT GOENSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
RAMAUD CHIAOKHIAO-BOWMANWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
RILEY LEESWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
JACE JAMESWR JURET
★3—00%——
11
BENNETT SKOWRONEKWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
KYRIC MCGOWANWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
82
ALEX OELSNERTE JURET
★2—00%——
83
WILL LANSBURYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
12
BRAEDEN HEALDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
GENSON HOOPER PRICEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
WAYNE DENNIS JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
DUKE OLGESTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
BRYCE KIRTZWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
THOMAS GORDONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
JACK KENNEDYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
PRESTON BACONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
WAYNE DENNIS, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GENSON HOOPER-PRICEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRYCE KIRTZHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MICHAEL JANSEYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
THOMAS GORDONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CONNOR FOSTERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DUKE OLGESHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JASON GOLDHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
CORIEN AZEMAHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MALIK WASHINGTONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ROD HEARD IIHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHARLIE FESSLERRICHMONDWRUNRUNR
NATHAN FOXHOUSTONLBUNRUNR
CLAYTON THORSONNFL DRAFT R5QBUNR—
JAMES PRATHERELIGIBILITY UP?UNR—
SOLOMON VAULTELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JORDAN THOMPSONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JAKE COLLINSELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
NATE HALLELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BLAKE HANCEELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
JARED MCGEEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#52NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8635COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST35% BACK35th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG35% BACK35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR6%6th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE