SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTHWESTERN›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG TEN|PAT FITZGERALD|—RECORD6-2|CONF—
NORTHWESTERN#10 AP 20 FPIB1G · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
67FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#471 BC / 20
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-2ACTUALvs5.8-2.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE8 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24HMARYLAND—W 43-3734646+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31AIOWA#16W 21-20699191-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HNEBRASKA—W 21-13827474+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14APURDUE—W 27-20716767+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HWISCONSIN—W 17-7779898-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AMICHIGAN STATE—L 20-29763838+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HILLINOIS—W 28-10723131+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19AOHIO STATE#2L 10-2299100100-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET42NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
HUNTER JOHNSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
7
ANDREW MARTYQB JURET
★3—00%——
12
PEYTON RAMSEYQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
TJ GREENQB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
AIDAN SMITHQB SERET
★3—00%——
16
ZAC KRAUSEQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
9
CARL RICHARDSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET95NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
CAM PORTERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
ISAIAH BOWSERRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
29
MARCUS CISCORB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
JESSE BROWNRB SERET
★3—00%——
26
EVAN HULLRB JURET
★3—00%——
21
DRAKE ANDERSONRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
22
CONNOR NEWHOUSERB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
JAKE ARTHURSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
BERKELEY HOLMANWR JURET
★3—00%——
0
JOHN RAINETE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
23
RAYMOND NIRO IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
CHARLIE MANGIERITE SERET
★3—00%——
8
WAYNE DENNIS JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
17
BRYCE KIRTZWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
MALIK WASHINGTONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
81
RAMAUD CHIAOKHIAO-BOWMANWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
RILEY LEESWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
KYRIC MCGOWANWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
JACE JAMESWR JURET
★3—00%——
80
TREY PUGHTE JURET
★3—00%——
82
ALEX OELSNERTE JURET
★2—00%——
83
WILL LANSBURYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
42
JASON WHITTAKERTE JURET
★3—00%——
3
JJ JEFFERSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
12
BRAEDEN HEALDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
GENSON HOOPER PRICEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
DUKE OLGESTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
HUNTER WELCINGTE SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
88
MARSHALL LANGTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
THOMAS GORDONTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
JACK KENNEDYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
PRESTON BACONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
JACK MOSESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PETER SKORONSKIHS RECRUITOC★4UNR
JOSH PRIEBEHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
CULLEN COLEMANHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CAMERON PORTERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
GARNETT HOLLIS JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
GUNNER MALDONADOHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JORDAN BUTLERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
SEAN MCLAUGHLINHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
XANDER MUELLERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TERAH EDWARDSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BENNETT SKOWRONEKNOTRE DAMEWR★3UNR
BRIAN BULLOCKABILENE CHRISTIANDB★3UNR
JOHN MOTEN IVELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
TRAE WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JOE BERGINELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
TRENT GOENSELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
JARED THOMASELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
JOE GAZIANOELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
RODERICK CAMPBELLELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
ALEX MILLERELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#47NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8585COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST97% BACK97th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG97% BACK97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR42%42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE