SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OKLAHOMA STATE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG 12|MIKE GUNDY|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
OKLAHOMA STATE113 FPIB12 · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
65FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
34%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
50%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#530 BC / 16
BC RATIO
13%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-11ACTUALvs1.4-10.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-19.2
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE19
PERFORMANCE19
TALENT61
CONTINUITY34
DEFENSE36
PERFORMANCE36
TALENT60
CONTINUITY50
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 28HUT MARTIN—W 27-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6AOREGON#4L 3-69979898-87BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 19HTULSA—L 12-19392424-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HBAYLOR—L 27-45754848-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AARIZONA—L 13-41528080-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HHOUSTON#22L 17-39537171-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HCINCINNATI—L 17-49475959-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25ATEXAS TECH#7L 0-42809999-88BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AKANSAS—L 21-38665757-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HKANSAS STATE—L 6-14667070-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AUCF—L 14-17694444-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HIOWA STATE—L 13-20497676-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB43TAL45PERF43RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ZANE FLORESQB SORET
★3★38190%-18HELD
6
NOAH WALTERSQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—315%——
8
HAUSS HEJNYQB SOPORTAL · TCU
★4★3263%—FELL
4
BANKS BOWENQB FRPORTAL · TULSA
★3★3202%—HELD
10
MASON SCHUBERTQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB49TAL58PERF49RET85ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
RODNEY FIELDS JR.RB JURET
★3★38948%+27HELD
24
TRENT HOWLANDRB SERET
★3★36921%+4HELD
10
SESI VAILAHIRB JURET
★3★36316%-33HELD
9
KALIB HICKSRB JUPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★3★35710%-54HELD
25
FREDDIE BROCK IVRB SENO SNAPS
★3—425%+25—
22
DJ DUGARRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%——
28
JADEN ALLEN-HENDRIXRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE33TAL65PERF36RET32ROTATIONn=10 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
TERRILL DAVISWR SEPORTAL · CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
UNR★38925%-11EMERGED
6
GAVIN FREEMANWR SERET
★3★38321%+12HELD
7
SHAMAR RIGBYWR JUPORTAL · PURDUE
★3★38120%-28HELD
88
GRAYSON BROUSSEAUTE SOPORTAL · UTAH STATE
★3★36833%-38HELD
15
CAM ABSHIREWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★36811%-53EMERGED
82
QUINTON STEWARTTE SERET
★3—6631%-21—
18
SAM JACKSON VWR SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★36610%-48FELL
40
JOSH FORDTE JURET
★3★36325%-30HELD
16
CHRISTIAN FITZPATRICKWR SEPORTAL · MARSHALL
★3★3607%+9HELD
2
ROYAL CAPELLWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3586%-54HELD
86
WILL MONNEYTE JUPORTAL · UTAH STATE
★3★34810%+6HELD
93
AYO SHOTOMIDE-KINGWR JURET
UNR★3241%-56EMERGED
5
DA'WAIN LOFTONWR SERET
★3★3181%+17HELD
88
CARSON SU'ESU'ETE FRPORTAL · BYU
★3★3171%—HELD
84
MATRAIL LOPEZWR FRTRUE FR
★3—60%——
19
JAYLEN LLOYDWR SEPORTAL · NEBRASKA
★3★300%+36HELD
2
TALYN SHETTRONWR JURET
★4★300%+21FELL
81
CAMRON HEARDWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
83
JADEN PEREZWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
13
TRE' GRIFFITHSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
15
KAM POWELLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
88
JORDAN VYBORNYTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
87
OSCAR HAMMONDTE SEPORTAL · NORTH TEXAS
UNR★300%+56EMERGED
▸OL49TAL60PERF49RET37n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL56TAL75PERF56RET35n=13 · 7 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB44TAL35PERF44RET26n=5 · 10 METRICS · 35 OBS
▸DB42TAL63PERF42RET74n=12 · 8 METRICS · 72 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARL'VEON YOUNGHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MICHAEL RILESHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JOTAVION PIERCEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DJ DUGAR JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KOBI FOREMANHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JADEN PEREZHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAYLAN BECKLEYHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ROYAL CAPELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KAM POWELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DRADEN FULLBRIGHTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KYRAN DUHONUTEPEDGE★3★3
WENDELL GREGORYSOUTH CAROLINAEDGE★4★3
MARKELL SAMUELAPP STATEOT★3★3
TERRILL DAVISCENTRAL OKLAHOMAWRUNR★3
DARIUS THOMASLOUISVILLELB★3★3
ZAQUAN PATTERSONMIAMIS★4★3
DE'MARION THOMASVANDERBILTDL★3★3
TAJE MCCOYCOLORADOEDGE★3★3
JAYLIN DAVIESUCLACB★4★3
HAUSS HEJNYTCUQB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT42 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENDAL DANIELSOKLAHOMALB★4★4
JEFF ROBERSONMINNESOTALB★3★3
ISAIA GLASSVANDERBILTOL★3★3
JUSTIN KIRKLANDBYUDTUNR★3
DE'ZHAUN STRIBLINGOLE MISSWR★3★4
LYRIK RAWLSKANSASDB★3★3
YAMIL TALIBCHARLOTTEDEUNR★3
KYLER PEARSONEAST CAROLINAWR★3UNR
LUKE MCENDOONEVADAFBUNR★3
TY WILLIAMSTULSADBUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES70%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS80%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#53NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8694COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3930 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST52% BACK52th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG52% BACK52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR37%37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST74%74th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE