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HOME›TEAMS›OLE MISS›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|LANE KIFFIN|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
OLE MISS18 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
84FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#236 BC / 18
BC RATIO
31%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.0
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE92
PERFORMANCE92
TALENT78
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE74
PERFORMANCE74
TALENT78
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HTROY#19W 28-10356767+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HCENTRAL ARKANSAS—W 59-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17AGEORGIA TECH—W 42-0792222+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HTULSA—W 35-27403434+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HKENTUCKY—W 22-19818282+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AVANDERBILT—W 52-28593535+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HAUBURN—W 48-34885959+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ALSU#16L 20-459590900BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ATEXAS A&M—W 31-28987272+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HALABAMA#5L 24-301009898-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AARKANSAS—L 27-42827878+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HMISSISSIPPI STATE#20L 22-24808686+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28HTEXAS TECH—L 25-42696969+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB90TAL97PERF90RET5ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
JAXSON DARTQB SENO SNAPS
★4—8795%+14—
9
LUKE ALTMYERQB SERET
★4★4284%-44HELD
12
KINKEAD DENTQB JURET
★3★391%—HELD
2
DAVIN WYDNERQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
BRADEN WATERMANQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
TRACE CAMPBELLQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB71TAL95PERF71RET2ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
QUINSHON JUDKINSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★49758%+33ROSE
6
ZACH EVANSRB JUNO SNAPS
★5—8635%+23—
24
ULYSSES BENTLEY IVRB SENO SNAPS
★3—465%+19—
22
ISAIAH WOULLARDRB SERET
★2★3232%-23ROSE
5
MATT JONESRB SERET
★3★390%—HELD
37
BOBO MILLERRB SORET
UNR—00%——
3
KENTREL BULLOCKRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
35
URRIAH SHEPHARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
FRED MCAFEERB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE68TAL72PERF69RET30ONE OWNERn=6 · 7 METRICS · 36 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JONATHAN MINGOWR SERET
★4—9527%+21—
8
MALIK HEATHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9226%+34—
11
JORDAN WATKINSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9125%-9—
11
JORDAN WATKINSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9125%-9—
19
DAYTON WADEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7515%-9—
10
CASEY KELLYTE SERET
★3★37256%-40HELD
1
MICHAEL TRIGGTE SENO SNAPS
★4★36441%+12FELL
13
JAYLON ROBINSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3493%-9FELL
1
J.J. HENRYWR SERET
★3—463%——
88
KYIRIN HEATHTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3254%—HELD
8
BRALON BROWNWR SERET
★4★3170%—FELL
84
QUA DAVISWR SERET
UNR—70%——
5
BRANDON BUCKHAULTERWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
27
JALEN KNOXWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%+2HELD
80
JONATHAN HESSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DANNIS JACKSONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
87
HUDSON WOLFETE JURET
★4—00%——
15
SELLERS SHYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
12
LARRY SIMMONSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
JACOBI MOOREWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
28
LEX BOUCVALTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
DJ RUFFTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
JEREMIAH DILLONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
31
CALVIN WILSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
11
RAYF VINSONWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
82
JOSHUA PFEIFERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
23
DREW BURNETTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
MAC OWENWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
HAYDEN FARRARWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
42
LANDON THOMASONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
46
SALATHIEL HEMPHILLTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
MATT WARETE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL51TAL76PERF51RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL57TAL78PERF57RET63n=9 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB57TAL80PERF57RET43n=4 · 11 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸DB65TAL78PERF65RET68n=10 · 8 METRICS · 62 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZXAVIAN HARRISHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
DAVISON IGBINOSUNHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JARON WILLISHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
TAYLOR GROVESHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JEREMIAH DILLONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
NICK CULLHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JARELL STINSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
QUINSHON JUDKINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LARRY SIMMONSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
FALENTHA CARSWELLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HENRY PARRISH JR.MIAMIRB★4UNR
DAYLEN GILLSOUTHERN MISSLB★3UNR
DJ THOMAS-JONESSOUTH ALABAMATEUNRUNR
JAKOREY HAWKINSWYOMINGCB★3UNR
KEIDRON SMITHKENTUCKYDB★3UNR
JALEN JORDANSOUTH ALABAMAS★3UNR
TYLAN KNIGHTSOUTHERN MISSS★2UNR
MOMO SANOGOLOUISVILLELB★3UNR
QUENTIN BIVENSSOUTHERN MISSDT★3UNR
JOHN RHYS PLUMLEEUCFQB★4UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#23NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8829COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST11% BACK11th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG11% BACK11th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST68%68th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE