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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|LANE KIFFIN|—RECORD13-2|CONF—
OLE MISS#3 AP 9 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
42%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
49%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1611 BC / 22
BC RATIO
47%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-1ACTUALvs9.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+17.2
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE96
PERFORMANCE96
TALENT80
CONTINUITY42
DEFENSE72
PERFORMANCE72
TALENT81
CONTINUITY49
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE15 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HGEORGIA STATE—W 63-74522+94BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6AKENTUCKY—W 30-23815151+45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HARKANSAS—W 41-35846161+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HTULANE#18W 45-10516767+29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HLSU—W 24-19967777+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HWASHINGTON STATE—W 24-21315656+40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AGEORGIA#6L 35-4310096960BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AOKLAHOMA#13W 34-26919090+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 30-14886464+32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HTHE CITADEL—W 49-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
12NOV 15HFLORIDA—W 34-24925454+42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 38-19835757+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 20HTULANE#18W 41-10516767+29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 1AGEORGIA#6W 39-3410096960BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 8HMIAMI#2L 27-31909494+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB80TAL69PERF80RET15ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
TRINIDAD CHAMBLISSQB SEPORTAL · FERRIS STATE
UNR★39785%+35EMERGED
13
AUSTIN SIMMONSQB SERET
★4★46215%+38HELD
8
AJ MADDOXQB SORET
★4—00%——
20
SHAWQI ITRAISHQB SEPORTAL · RICE
★3★300%-44HELD
23
GEORGE HAMSLEYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
MAEALIUAKI SMITHQB SOPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
★3★300%-15HELD
▾RB66TAL86PERF66RET14ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
KEWAN LACYRB JUPORTAL · MISSOURI
★4★310080%-2FELL
22
LOGAN DIGGSRB SERET
★3★46414%+16ROSE
12
DAMIEN TAYLORRB SEPORTAL · TROY
★3★3485%+13HELD
33
SHEKAI MILLS-KNIGHTRB FRTRUE FR
★4—201%——
0
DOMONIQUE THOMASRB SERET
UNR★300%+5EMERGED
37
AUSTIN ACTONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
25
TREY HALLRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
27
MACALEB TAYLORRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE85TAL86PERF83RET35ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
DAE'QUAN WRIGHTTE SERET
★3★49959%+40ROSE
2
HARRISON WALLACE IIIWR SEPORTAL · PENN STATE
★3★49725%+28ROSE
1
DE'ZHAUN STRIBLINGWR SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA STATE
★3★49422%+25ROSE
19
CAYDEN LEEWR SERET
★3★49020%+24ROSE
1
DEUCE ALEXANDERWR JUPORTAL · WAKE FOREST
★3★49020%+20ROSE
6
WINSTON WATKINS JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★4★47511%+18—
85
TRACE BRUCKLERTE SEPORTAL · NEW MEXICO
★3★36817%-8HELD
4
CALEB ODOMTE JUPORTAL · ALABAMA
★4★36515%+9FELL
9
LUKE HASZTE SEPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★4★4558%+29HELD
12
IZAIAH HARTRUPWR SERET
UNR★3361%—EMERGED
80
HAYDEN BRADLEYTE FRTRUE FR
★3—141%——
84
DILLON ALFREDWR FRTRUE FR
★3—140%——
42
JACK HARPERTE SORET
UNR—70%——
88
DEVIN PRICEWR SERET
★3★360%+31HELD
7
TRAYLON RAYWR JUPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★4★460%+18HELD
3
CALEB CUNNINGHAMWR FRTRUE FR
★5—60%——
82
JOSHUA PFEIFERWR SERET
UNR—60%——
81
SAMARI REEDWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
87
WYATT SMALLEYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
89
DYLAN DAVISWR JURET
★3—00%——
86
MAC OWENWR JURET
UNR—00%——
39
CIARAN PEDULLAWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
49
SEAN JUDGETE SORET
UNR—00%——
83
LEVI BLOUNTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
47
ANTHONY AGUIRREWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL64TAL75PERF64RET58n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL81TAL95PERF81RET75n=7 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB63TAL88PERF63RET64n=6 · 11 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸DB72TAL69PERF72RET25n=10 · 6 METRICS · 55 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CALEB CUNNINGHAMHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
DEVIN HARPERHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
SHEKAI MILLS-KNIGHTHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
MAISON DUNNHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ANDREW MADDOXHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
CORTEZ THOMASHS RECRUITS★4UNR
WINSTON WATKINS JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
LADARIAN CLARDYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JARCOBY HOPSONHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KEON YOUNGHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PRINCEWILL UMANMIELENNEBRASKAEDGE★4★4
PATRICK KUTASARKANSASIOL★4★4
LUKE HASZARKANSASTE★4★4
HARRISON WALLACE IIIPENN STATEWR★3★4
TRAYLON RAYWEST VIRGINIAWR★4★4
DA'SHAWN WOMACKLSUEDGE★5★4
DEUCE ALEXANDERWAKE FORESTWR★3★4
DE'ZHAUN STRIBLINGOKLAHOMA STATEWR★3★4
CALEB ODOMALABAMAWR★4★3
PERCY LEWISAUBURNOT★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT53 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MICAH PETTUSFLORIDA STATEOL★3★4
JADON CANADYOREGONDB★3★3
LOUIS MOOREINDIANADBUNR★3
AKELO STONEGEORGIA TECHDL★3★4
MATT JONESSOUTHERN MISSRB★3★3
PRESTON CUSHMANUCFOL★3★3
MICAH DAVISSOUTHERN MISSWRUNR★3
AYDEN WILLIAMSMISSISSIPPI STATEWR★4★3
KEY LAWRENCEUCLADB★4★3
TRIP WHITEOKLAHOMA STATELB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES90%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS71%13 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#16NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
11OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8989COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2830 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST15% BACK15th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG15% BACK15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR58%58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR15%15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST25%25th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE