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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›PENN STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|JAMES FRANKLIN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
PENN STATE#17 AP 8 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
92FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#615 BC / 23
BC RATIO
63%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.6
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HAPP STATE—W 45-38207878+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8APITTSBURGH—W 51-6735353+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HKENT STATE—W 63-101844+85BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AILLINOIS—W 63-24582626+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HOHIO STATE#3L 26-271009696-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HMICHIGAN STATE—L 17-21767878+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AINDIANA—W 33-28594747+42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HIOWA#25W 30-24708383+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AMICHIGAN#14L 7-42959393-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HWISCONSIN—W 22-10758686+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ARUTGERS—W 20-7571717+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HMARYLAND—W 38-3835555+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
SEAN CLIFFORDQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
7
TOMMY STEVENSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
TRACE MCSORLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
MICHAEL SHUSTERQB JURET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET15NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
RICKY SLADERB SONO SNAPS
★5—00%——
24
MILES SANDERSRB JURET
★5—00%——
8
MARK ALLENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
JOHNATHAN THOMASRB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JOURNEY BROWNRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
NICK EURYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DANIEL GEORGEWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
4
JUSTIN SHORTERWR JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
18
CAMERON SULLIVAN-BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JAHAN DOTSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
41
JOE ARCANGELOTE JURET
UNR—00%——
15
DANNY DALTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
83
NICK BOWERSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
KJ HAMLERWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
JUWAN JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
BRANDON POLKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
3
DEANDRE THOMPKINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JONATHAN HOLLANDTE JURET
UNR—00%——
82
TYLER SHOOPWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
ALEX HOENSTINEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
85
ISAAC LUTZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
PAT FREIERMUTHTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
80
ZACK KUNTZTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
MAC HIPPENHAMMERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
DAN CHISENAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
COLTON MAXWELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
JUSTIN WELLERWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
23
WESTON CARRWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
CAMERON PICAWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
TREVOR BAKERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
BENJAMIN WILSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
ALEC BERGERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
BRANDON CLARKWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MICAH PARSONSHS RECRUITWDE★5UNR
JUSTIN SHORTERHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
RICKY SLADEHS RECRUITAPB★5UNR
RASHEED WALKERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ODAFE OWEHHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
PJ MUSTIPHERHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
NANA ASIEDUHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ZACK KUNTZHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
JAHAN DOTSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
PAT FREIERMUTHHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAQUON BARKLEYNFL DRAFT R1RBUNR—
CHRISTIAN CAMPBELLNFL DRAFT R6CBUNR—
MIKE GESICKINFL DRAFT R2TEUNR—
DAESEAN HAMILTONNFL DRAFT R4WRUNR—
MARCUS ALLENNFL DRAFT R5SUNR—
TROY APKENFL DRAFT R4SUNR—
TORRENCE BROWNELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
TYLER DAVISNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
JOSH MCPHEARSONNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
MANNY BOWENNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#6NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
15OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9170COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST63% BACK63th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG63% BACK63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE