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HOME›TEAMS›PENN STATE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|JAMES FRANKLIN|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
PENN STATE17 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
89FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#217 BC / 18
BC RATIO
58%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.9-3.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.5
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AWISCONSIN—W 16-10859595-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HBALL STATE—W 44-13161818+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HAUBURN—W 28-20917878+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HVILLANOVA—W 38-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 2HINDIANA—W 24-0732323+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AIOWA#23L 20-23708080+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HILLINOIS—L 18-20645151+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AOHIO STATE#6L 24-33999999-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AMARYLAND—W 31-14775454+32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HMICHIGAN#3L 17-21909898-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HRUTGERS—W 28-0543333+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AMICHIGAN STATE#9L 27-30747979+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET82NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
TA'QUAN ROBERSONQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
11
CHRISTIAN VEILLEUXQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
SEAN CLIFFORDQB SERET
★4—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
KEYVONE LEERB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
23
JOHN LOVETTRB SEPORTAL · BAYLOR
★3★300%—HELD
22
DEVYN FORDRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
26
CAZIAH HOLMESRB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
38
TANK SMITHRB SERET
★5—00%——
21
NOAH CAINRB SERET
★4—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
CAMERON SULLIVAN-BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JAHAN DOTSONWR JURET
★4—00%——
5
KEANDRE LAMBERT-SMITHWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
44
TYLER WARRENTE SERET
★3—00%——
3
PARKER WASHINGTONWR SORET
★4—00%——
89
WINSTON EUBANKSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
THEO JOHNSONTE JURET
★4—00%——
86
BRENTON STRANGETE JURET
★4—00%——
17
MASON STAHLWR JURET
★2—00%——
3
MALICK MEIGAWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
82
JUSTIN WELLERWR SERET
★2—00%——
1
DANIEL GEORGEWR SERET
★4—00%——
89
GRAYSON KLINETE SERET
UNR—00%——
29
HENRY FESSLERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
84
BENJAMIN WILSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
47
TOMMY FRIBERGTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
2
LIAM CLIFFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
NORVAL BLACKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
HARRISON WALLACE IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
16
KHALIL DINKINSTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LANDON TENGWALLHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
LONNIE WHITE JR.HS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KALEN KINGHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JAYLEN REEDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
DAVON TOWNLEY JR.HS RECRUITDL★4UNR
ZAKEE WHEATLEYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JAMARI BUDDINHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KOBE KINGHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CHRISTIAN VEILLEUXHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
RODNEY MCGRAWHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ARNOLD EBIKETIETEMPLEDL★3★3
DERRICK TANGELODUKEDT★3★3
A.J. LYTTONFLORIDA STATES★4★3
ERIC WILSONHARVARDOGUNR★3
JOHN DIXONSOUTH CAROLINACBUNR★3
JOHN LOVETTBAYLORRB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT12 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LANCE DIXONWEST VIRGINIALB★4★3
JUDGE CULPEPPERTOLEDODT★3★3
WILL LEVISKENTUCKYQB★3★3
SHANE SIMMONSMARSHALLDE★4★3
ANTONIO SHELTONFLORIDADLUNRUNR
SHAKA TONEYNFL DRAFT R7DE★3—
WILL FRIESNFL DRAFT R7OL★3—
PAT FREIERMUTHNFL DRAFT R2TE★4—
JAYSON OWEHNFL DRAFT R1DE★4—
ISAAC LUTZELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#21NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8874COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
614 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST81% BACK81th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG81% BACK81th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR82%82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE