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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|JEFF BROHM|—RECORD8-6|CONF—
PURDUE50 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#384 BC / 22
BC RATIO
12%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-5ACTUALvs7.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE58
PERFORMANCE58
TALENT54
CONTINUITY11
DEFENSE69
PERFORMANCE69
TALENT62
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HPENN STATE#7L 31-35909595-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HINDIANA STATE—W 56-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17ASYRACUSE—L 29-32535353+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 28-26493131+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AMINNESOTA—W 20-10648888-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AMARYLAND—W 31-29737676-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HNEBRASKA—W 43-37834646+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AWISCONSIN—L 24-35826868-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HIOWA—L 3-24748080-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AILLINOIS—W 31-24608888-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HNORTHWESTERN—W 17-9671616+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AINDIANA—W 30-16743131+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3AMICHIGAN#3L 22-43919999-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2HLSU#16L 7-63959090-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB69TAL42PERF69RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
AIDAN O'CONNELLQB YRRET
UNR—9785%+33—
12
AUSTIN BURTONQB YRRET
★3—4910%+33—
18
MICHAEL ALAIMOQB JURET
★4★3313%—FELL
11
JACK ALBERSQB SERET
UNR—131%——
12
BRADY ALLENQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★360%—FELL
17
CHRISTIAN GELOVQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
KYLE ADAMSQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB52TAL36PERF52RET27ROTATIONn=5 · 9 METRICS · 28 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
45
DEVIN MOCKOBEERB SENO SNAPS
★3—9843%-5—
2
DYLAN DOWNINGRB SERET
★3★38119%-25HELD
3
TYRONE TRACY JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—8019%+37—
5
KOBE LEWISRB SENO SNAPS
★2★26310%+3HELD
23
KING DOERUERB JURET
★3★3587%-39HELD
41
BEN FURTNEYFB SERET
UNR—251%——
37
CALEB LAHEYRB SORET
UNR—191%——
29
KENTRELL MARKSRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
28
ADDAI LEWELLENRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
WILL CHAPMANRB JURET
UNR—00%——
52
ZAC TUINEIRB JURET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE48TAL46PERF45RET78ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
PAYNE DURHAMTE SERET
★3—10071%+3—
15
CHARLIE JONESWR YRNO SNAPS
★2—10031%+36—
8
TJ SHEFFIELDWR SERET
★3★39826%-17HELD
9
MERSHAWN RICEWR SERET
★3★37714%-2HELD
4
DEION BURKSWR SERET
★3★47413%-42ROSE
89
PAUL PIFERITE SERET
★3—7123%+7—
26
ANDREW SOWINSKIWR SERET
UNR—627%-35—
2
ABDUR-RAHMAAN YASEENWR SERET
★4★3575%-62FELL
13
BROC THOMPSONWR SERET
UNR★2452%+2EMERGED
87
DREW BIBERTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3363%—HELD
84
PRESTON TERRELLWR SORET
★3—261%——
81
COLLIN SULLIVANWR SORET
★3★3261%—HELD
91
BEN BUECHELTE JURET
UNR—221%——
85
ALEX MAXWELLWR JURET
UNR—221%——
86
MAX KLARETE JUNO SNAPS
★3★4191%—ROSE
5
ELIJAH CANIONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3130%—HELD
34
BEN VAN NOORDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
33
CHARLIE KENRICHTE FRTRUE FR
★3★340%—HELD
35
HAYDEN PARISEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
17
TREY FIRESTONEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
88
GARRETT MILLERTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
ZION STEPTOEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
CURTIS DEVILLEWR SONO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
▸OL66TAL62PERF66RET15n=9 · 3 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL59TAL75PERF59RET63n=7 · 7 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸LB46TAL47PERF46RET83n=9 · 11 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸DB49TAL59PERF49RET73n=8 · 6 METRICS · 44 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRADY ALLENHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
NIC SCOURTONHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JOE STRICKLANDHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
CURTIS DEVILLEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KENTRELL MARKSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JOSEPH JEFFERSON IIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MALACHI PRECIADOHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ZION STEPTOEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CHARLIE KENRICHHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ROMAN PITREHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'QUEZ CROSSARKANSAS STATERB★3★3
JACK PLUMMERCALIFORNIAQB★3★3
JEFF MARKSJACKSONVILLE STATEDL★3UNR
MARVIN GRANTKANSASS★4UNR
KHALI SAUNDERSKENT STATELB★3★3
JACKSON ANTHROPELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
ZANE GREENEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
MILTON WRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPWR★4—
DEDRICK MACKEYNOT LISTEDCB★3—
DAMARCUS MITCHELLNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#38NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8602COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR15%15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST72%72th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE