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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG TEN|GREG SCHIANO|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
RUTGERS54 FPIB1G · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
56FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#570 BC / 21
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.6
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE40
PERFORMANCE40
TALENT56
CONTINUITY81
DEFENSE62
PERFORMANCE62
TALENT59
CONTINUITY81
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HNORTHWESTERN—W 24-7634848+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HTEMPLE—W 36-74255+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HVIRGINIA TECH—W 35-16586666-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AMICHIGAN#1L 7-3191100100-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HWAGNER—W 52-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 7AWISCONSIN—L 13-24797878-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HMICHIGAN STATE—W 27-24813434+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AINDIANA—W 31-14663131+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HOHIO STATE#10L 16-35999898-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AIOWA#24L 0-22716666-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18APENN STATE#13L 6-27919797-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HMARYLAND—L 24-42698585-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28AMIAMI—W 31-24928080-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB46TAL28PERF46RET99ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
GAVIN WIMSATTQB SERET
★4★37998%-48FELL
12
EVAN SIMONQB SERET
★3★371%-21HELD
13
AJANI SHEPPARDQB SENO SNAPS
★3★341%—HELD
10
RAEDEN OLIVERQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
COLIN O'SULLIVANQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB73TAL37PERF73RET88ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
KYLE MONANGAIRB SERET
★3—9664%-6—
27
SAMUEL BROWN VRB SERET
UNR★36417%-45—
20
JA'SHON BENJAMINRB SENO SNAPS
★3—5812%-45—
5
AARON YOUNGRB SERET
★3—487%-18—
15
JORDAN KINSLERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
CHARLIE BARTHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
25
DONOVAN DELANEY JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE38TAL69PERF40RET64ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
JOHNNY LANGANTE SERET
★3—9257%-10—
14
ISAIAH WASHINGTONWR SERET
★3—8833%-13—
6
CHRISTIAN DREMELWR SERET
UNR—8732%-11—
87
SHAWN BOWMANTE SEPORTAL · MAINE
UNR★38038%-42EMERGED
9
JAQUAE JACKSONWR SEPORTAL · CALIFORNIA, PA.
UNR★37018%+32EMERGED
9
IAN STRONGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★46616%+17ROSE
89
VICTOR KONOPKATE SERET
★3—384%——
8
RASHAD ROCHELLEWR SERET
★3★3151%—HELD
88
MIKE HIGGINSTE SERET
★3—141%——
1
CHRIS LONGWR SERET
★3★3128%-26HELD
0
MAX PATTERSONWR SERET
★3★3100%—HELD
1
FAMAH TOUREWR SENO SNAPS
★3—100%——
7
DYLAN BRAITHWAITEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
DEONDRE JOHNSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
7
THOMAS AMANKWAAWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
12
KENNY FLETCHER JR.TE SERET
★3—00%——
1
JORDAN WALKERTE SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
49
EVAN WARDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
LOGAN BLAKETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
NASEIM BRANTLEYWR SEPORTAL · WESTERN ILLINOIS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
13
NASIR MONTGOMERYWR SERET
★3—00%——
0
Q'YAEIR PRICETE SERET
★3—00%——
17
VILAY NAKKOUN JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
GUNNISON BLOODGOODWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
JORDAN SMIKLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
BRYCE KISSIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
BEN ROSENBLATTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL57TAL58PERF57RET85n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL32TAL60PERF32RET87n=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB36TAL49PERF36RET60n=5 · 11 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸DB59TAL64PERF59RET69n=6 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JASIRE PETERSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
DJIBRIL RAHMANHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
NICK OLIVEIRAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JOHN STONEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
BO MASCOEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DAVOUN FUSEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DEONDRE JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JESSE OFURIEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
FAMAH TOUREHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DYLAN BRAITHWAITEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHAWN BOWMANMAINETEUNR★3
NASEIM BRANTLEYWESTERN ILLINOISWRUNR★3
ERIC ROGERSNORTHERN ILLINOISCB★3★3
JAQUAE JACKSONCALIFORNIA, PA.WRUNR★3
MICHAEL DIXONMINNESOTASUNR★3
CHARLES AMANKWAAAKRONCB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILLIE TYLERLOUISVILLEOLUNR★3
MATT ALAIMOCOASTAL CAROLINATE★3★3
SHAWN COLLINSAPP STATEDL★3★3
JOSHUA YOUNGBLOODDELAWAREWR★3UNR
AVERY YOUNGELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
CHRISTIAN IZIENELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
J.D. DIRENZOELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
IFEANYI MAIJEHELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
CHRISTIAN BRASWELLELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
ARON CRUICKSHANKELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES11%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS64%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#57NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8588COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
712 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST76% BACK76th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG76% BACK76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR85%85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST69%69th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE