SCOUTTEAM
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HOME›TEAMS›SOUTH FLORIDA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|ALEX GOLESH|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
SOUTH FLORIDA106 FPIAAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
53FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
53%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
72%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#760 BC / 17
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs5.1-6.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.1
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE35
PERFORMANCE35
TALENT58
CONTINUITY53
DEFENSE26
PERFORMANCE26
TALENT43
CONTINUITY72
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
33MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 24-41364545-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HFLORIDA A&M—W 38-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HALABAMA#5L 3-171009595-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HRICE—W 42-29282323+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ANAVY—W 44-3011515+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AUAB—L 35-56291212+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 14-56492525+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AUCONN—W 24-21331010+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AMEMPHIS—L 50-59545959-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HTEMPLE—W 27-234255+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AUTSA—L 21-49476464-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HCHARLOTTE—W 48-144333+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 21ASYRACUSE—W 45-0504040-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB62TAL98PERF62RET96ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
BYRUM BROWNQB SERET
★3★49996%+27ROSE
3
BRYCE ARCHIEQB JUPORTAL · COASTAL CAROLINA
★3★3314%—HELD
7
ISRAEL CARTERQB SONO SNAPS
★3★340%—HELD
3
GERRY BOHANONQB SERET
★4★300%-8FELL
16
RYAN BOLDUCQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB32TAL83PERF32RET50ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
D.J. HARRISFB SENO SNAPS
★4—7483%——
5
NAY'QUAN WRIGHTRB SEPORTAL · FLORIDA
★4★49449%-38HELD
22
MICHEL DUKESRB SERET
★3★36817%+4HELD
8
KELLEY JOINERRB SERET
UNR—6817%+27—
4
K'WAN POWELLRB SERET
UNR★36615%-11EMERGED
23
YASIAS YOUNGRB SERET
UNR—141%-3—
20
JAYLEN JOHNSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★390%—HELD
34
RICO WATSON IIIFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
DOMINIC GONNELLARB SEPORTAL · NORTH DAKOTA STATE
★2★200%+29HELD
21
KENNY WALKERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE40TAL53PERF46RET48ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
38
SEAN ATKINSWR SERET
UNR—9930%+30—
9
NAIEM SIMMONSWR SEPORTAL · WAGNER
UNR★39122%+19EMERGED
18
WESTON WOLFFTE SEPORTAL · MARYLAND
★3★38254%-21HELD
12
JADEN ALEXISWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS
★4★37714%-18FELL
89
KHAFRE BROWNWR SERET
★4★37514%+19FELL
7
MICHAEL BROWN-STEPHENSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7312%+18—
87
GUNNAR GREENWALDTE SERET
★3—6630%-45—
JAYSON LITTLEJOHNTE SERET
UNR—5616%-33—
2
YUSUF TERRYWR SERET
★3★3565%+22HELD
5
TYREE KELLYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—453%——
85
CHRISTIAN HELMSWR SEPORTAL · SOUTH FLORIDA
UNR—241%——
19
JEYQUAN SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—221%——
86
GERARD EDIMOTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
47
EVAN DANGLERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
COLIN AFFLECKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
80
BROCK BURNETTEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
27
JAYDEN DAVISWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
DAMON SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
4
SETH JONESWR JUPORTAL · BAYLOR
★3★300%-50HELD
84
CADE ROBERTSWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
TEIGAN MARTINTE FRPORTAL · LIBERTY
★3★300%—HELD
19
JAVOHN THOMASWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
26
CAMERON COBBWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
KESHAUN SINGLETONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
83
RANOD SMITHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL40TAL53PERF40RET49n=8 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL43TAL51PERF43RET65n=11 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸LB49TAL36PERF49RET87n=4 · 10 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB46TAL40PERF46RET70n=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEYQUAN SMITHHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ISRAEL CARTERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JARVIS LEEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAMES JENKINSHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
NIKOLA MILOVACHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAYLEN JOHNSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DEMITRIUS CARTER JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DREW PEREZHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TAWFIQ BYARDHS RECRUITS★3UNR
STANTAVIOUS SMITHHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JADEN ALEXISTEXASWR★4★3
D.J. HARRIS JR.TEXASEDGEUNR★4
NAY'QUAN WRIGHTFLORIDARB★4★4
LLOYD SUMMERALLFLORIDAEDGEUNR★4
KENDALL DENNISOKLAHOMACB★4★4
RJ PERRYTENNESSEEOT★3★3
BRYCE ARCHIECOASTAL CAROLINAQB★3★3
WESTON WOLFFMARYLANDTE★3★3
ANDREW MATAAFAUTAHLBUNR★3
ZANE HERRINGFLORIDA STATEIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DUSTYN HALLEAST CAROLINAOL★3★3
EDDIE KELLY JR.GEORGIA TECHDL★3★3
BRIAN BATTIEAUBURNRB★3★3
CHRIS CARTERTULANETE★3★3
XAVIER WEAVERCOLORADOWR★3★3
HOLDEN WILLISMIDDLE TENNESSEETE★3★3
JIMMY HORN JR.COLORADOWR★3★4
CHRIS MOTTILLOMARSHALLTEUNRUNR
ANTONIO GRIERARKANSASLB★2★3
OMARION DOLLISONJAMES MADISONWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES58%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS73%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#76NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8487COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1825 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST45% BACK45th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG45% BACK45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR49%49th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST70%70th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE