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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
ACC|DINO BABERS|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
SYRACUSE55 FPIACC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
50FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
83%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
84%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#880 BC / 14
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE34
PERFORMANCE34
TALENT51
CONTINUITY83
DEFENSE72
PERFORMANCE72
TALENT54
CONTINUITY84
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
49MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HCOLGATE—W 65-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 48-71999+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16APURDUE—W 35-20663232+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HARMY—W 29-1614141-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HCLEMSON#20L 14-31978484-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ANORTH CAROLINA—L 7-40887171-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AFLORIDA STATE#6L 3-41869494-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AVIRGINIA TECH—L 10-38586666-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HBOSTON COLLEGE—L 10-17613838+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HPITTSBURGH—W 28-13723232+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AGEORGIA TECH—L 22-31745151-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HWAKE FOREST—W 35-31502828+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 21HSOUTH FLORIDA—L 0-45533636+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL11PERF53RET94ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
GARRETT SHRADERQB SERET
★4★37678%+7FELL
7
CARLOS DEL RIO-WILSONQB SERET
★4★34816%-39FELL
16
BRADEN DAVISQB JUPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA
★3★3285%—HELD
18
LUKE MACPHAILQB SORET
★2★200%—HELD
▾RB50TAL57PERF50RET94ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
LEQUINT ALLENRB JURET
★3—9979%-13—
28
JUWAUN PRICERB SERET
★2★36315%-16ROSE
23
IKE DANIELSRB FRTRUE FR
★3★3384%+21HELD
33
MARIO ESCOBARRB SORET
UNR—121%——
34
JJ BRANHAMRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—91%——
22
DESTON HAWKINSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
21
MUWAFFAQ PARKMANRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
25
JOSHUA ESCOBARRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
31
TYLER CHANDLERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE70TAL45PERF67RET90ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 35 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
DONOVAN BROWNWR FRRET
★3—8025%-13—
9
DAMIEN ALFORDWR SEPORTAL · SYRACUSE
★3★38025%+27HELD
2
UMARI HATCHERWR SERET
★3★38024%+31HELD
89
DAN VILLARITE SERET
★3—7952%+20—
MAXIMILIAN MANGTE SERET
★3—6834%-31—
80
ISAIAH JONESWR JURET
★3★36010%+35HELD
15
DARRELL GILL JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR★4599%-53EMERGED
30
CHASE SIMMONSTE SERET
★3★3566%—HELD
0
DAVID CLEMENTTE SENO SNAPS
★3—4810%——
85
D'MARCUS ADAMSWR SERET
★3—423%-6—
11
KENDALL LONGWR SORET
★3—332%——
19
ORONDE GADSDEN IITE JURET
★3—324%+46—
8
TREBOR PENAWR SERET
★3★4171%-17ROSE
13
BRYCE COHOONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3100%—HELD
32
NICK ARMENTANOWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
STEVEN MAHAR JR.TE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
84
NATE WELLINGTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
38
MAX RUNYONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
KYLE ACKERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
63
CARTER CLARKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
26
MAX PERRICONEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL48TAL57PERF48RET78n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL51TAL44PERF51RET88n=8 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸LB57TAL53PERF57RET100n=6 · 11 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸DB53TAL61PERF53RET70n=11 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
IKE DANIELSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
RASHARD PERRYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MUWAFFAQ PARKMANHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAYDEN BASSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DAVID CLEMENTHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DAVID OMOPARIOLAHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
BRYCE COHOONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TY GORDONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JALIL SMITHHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ZYIAN MOULTRIE-GODDARDHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAEDEN GOULDNEBRASKACB★4★4
JAYDEN BELLAMYNOTRE DAMECB★3★3
BRADEN DAVISSOUTH CAROLINAQB★3★3
DAVID WOHLABAUGHKENTUCKYIOLUNR★3
JOE MORERICHMONDOT★2★3
BRAYLEN INGRAHAMALABAMADL★4★3
JALIL MARTINNEBRASKAS★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DUCE CHESTNUTLSUDB★3★3
JATIUS GEERSOUTH CAROLINALB★3★3
JA'HAD CARTEROHIO STATESUNR★3
STEVE LINTONTEXAS TECHEDGE★3★3
COURTNEY JACKSONARKANSAS STATEWR★3★3
ANTHONY QUEELEYGEORGIA SOUTHERNWR★3★3
DAKOTA DAVISELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
DEVAUGHN COOPERELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
ERIC COLEYELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
CJ HAYESELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES58%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS75%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#88NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8449COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
713 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR78%78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR94%94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST70%70th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE