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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TCU›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG 12|GARY PATTERSON|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
TCU37 FPIB12 · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
79FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#335 BC / 23
BC RATIO
21%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-6
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.9
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF—W 39-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14APURDUE—W 34-13645151+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HSMU—L 38-41546464+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HKANSAS—W 51-14472121+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AIOWA STATE—L 24-49608282-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AKANSAS STATE—L 17-24486666+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HTEXAS#25W 37-27968181-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AOKLAHOMA STATE—L 27-34727373-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HBAYLOR#13L 23-29758787-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ATEXAS TECH—W 33-31576060+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AOKLAHOMA#7L 24-28959595-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HWEST VIRGINIA—L 17-20712525+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET69NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
MAX DUGGANQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
16
ALEX DELTONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
MIKE COLLINSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
MATTHEW BALDWINQB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
19
GRANT BEUCLERQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
MATTHEW DOWNINGQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
10
MIKE COLLINSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DAIMARQUA FOSTERRB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
33
SEWO OLONILUARB SERET
★4—00%——
24
DARWIN BARLOWRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
EMARI DEMERCADORB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
DARIUS ANDERSONRB SERET
★4—00%——
30
OMEGA STALLWORTHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
49
REGINALD COLERB SORET
UNR—00%——
24
DERYL REYNOLDSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
JOSE MIRANDARB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TE'VAILANCE HUNTWR SERET
★4—00%——
0
BLAIR CONWRIGHTWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
ARTAYVIOUS LYNNTE SERET
★3—00%——
8
AL'DONTRE DAVISWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
1
JALEN REAGORWR JURET
★4—00%——
7
JOHN STEPHENS JR.WR SERET
★3—00%——
47
CARTER WARETE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
TAYE BARBERWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
DERIUS DAVISWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
PRO WELLSTE JURET
★3—00%——
87
TREVONTAE HIGHTSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
DYLAN THOMASWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
KARSON RINGDAHLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
36
RYAN MARTINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JASON D'ARMOREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
NIVEN RAJWR JURET
UNR—00%——
86
MICHAEL BYRD JR.WR YRRET
UNR—00%——
89
JACK POWERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
JACK HEATHCOTTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KARTER JOHNSONTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
11
MIKEL BARKLEYWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
46
MICHAEL FRANKLINWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
DOMINIC DINUNZIOTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
TRISTAN WHITETE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
CADE ROSENKRANZWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
TE'VAILANCE HUNTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAQUAZE SORRELLSHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
MAX DUGGANHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
DAIMARQUA FOSTERHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
KARTER JOHNSONHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
COLT ELLISONHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
DARWIN BARLOWHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DYLAN JORDANHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ANDREW COKERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DONAVANN COLLINSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
EARL BARQUETHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
L.J. COLLIERNFL DRAFT R1DEUNR—
BEN BANOGUNFL DRAFT R2DEUNR—
TY SUMMERSNFL DRAFT R7LBUNR—
MICHAEL EPLEYELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
COLE NOVAKELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
ARICO EVANSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
GRAYSON MUEHLSTEINELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
RIDWAN ISSAHAKUELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
TREY ELLIOTTELIGIBILITY UPGUNR—
JAWUAN JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#33NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8731COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
17TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
3
4
6
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +5 W
IMPROVED8 OF 17
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR69%69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE