SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TEXAS TECH›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG 12|JOEY MCGUIRE|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
TEXAS TECH40 FPIB12 · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
73FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
53%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
77%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#256 BC / 22
BC RATIO
18%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs6.8-5.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD6-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.1
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT69
CONTINUITY53
DEFENSE44
PERFORMANCE44
TALENT59
CONTINUITY77
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 52-51————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AWASHINGTON STATE—L 16-37464949+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HNORTH TEXAS—W 66-21433434+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HARIZONA STATE#7W 30-22797474-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HCINCINNATI—W 44-41574747+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AARIZONA—W 28-22603939+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HBAYLOR—L 35-59697272-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ATCU—L 34-35808282-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AIOWA STATE#15W 23-22518080-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HCOLORADO#25L 27-41787171-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AOKLAHOMA STATE—W 56-48624040+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HWEST VIRGINIA—W 52-15615252+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27AARKANSAS—L 26-39828383-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB57TAL93PERF57RET87ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
BEHREN MORTONQB SERET
★4—9887%+2—
15
WILL HAMMONDQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—5511%+26—
8
CAMERAN BROWNQB SEPORTAL · WEST GEORGIA
UNR★3202%—EMERGED
4
JAKE STRONGQB SORET
★3★300%-34HELD
▾RB50TAL76PERF50RET76ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
TAHJ BROOKSRB SERET
★3—9972%+24—
20
J'KOBY WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—6413%+19—
8
CAMERON DICKEYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—6212%+32—
CAM'RON VALDEZRB JURET
★3★3414%+25HELD
32
JADEN MORRISRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE65TAL70PERF66RET40ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JOSH KELLYWR SEPORTAL · WASHINGTON STATE
★3★49928%+24ROSE
3
COY EAKINWR SERET
★3—9827%-1—
5
CALEB DOUGLASWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA
★3★39726%+16HELD
80
MASON THARPTE SERET
★3—8941%-16—
12
JALIN CONYERSTE SENO SNAPS
★4★38131%+26—
9
JOHNCARLOS MILLER IITE SEPORTAL · ELON
UNR★37827%-1EMERGED
1
JORDAN BROWNWR SERET
★3★3657%-14HELD
10
DRAE MCCRAYWR SERET
UNR—595%-29—
1
MICAH HUDSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★5★4513%—FELL
2
KELBY VALSINWR SERET
★3★3473%—HELD
BRADY BOYDWR SERET
★3★3271%-43HELD
19
T.J. WESTWR JURET
★3★3150%—HELD
14
DREW HOCUTTWR SERET
UNR—110%——
89
JASON LLEWELLYNTE SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★3★390%—HELD
8
TYSON TURNERWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★370%—HELD
47
CHARLIE ROBINSONTE JURET
UNR—40%——
88
TREY JACKSONTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
AIDEN MEEKSWR SORET
★3—00%——
83
JACK ESPARZATE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
HAYDON WIGINTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
D.J. CRESTWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
87
CHANDLIN MYERSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
L.J. JOHNSON JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
PRICE MORGANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
CURTIS MURILLOWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL54TAL63PERF54RET53n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL47TAL59PERF47RET67n=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB39TAL66PERF39RET88n=9 · 11 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸DB55TAL56PERF55RET78n=12 · 8 METRICS · 66 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MICAH HUDSONHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
ELLIS DAVISHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CHETA OFILIHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
PEYTON MORGANHS RECRUITS★4UNR
WILL HAMMONDHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
JACOB PONTONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
J'KOBY WILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
EDDY SMITHHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
OLIVER MILES IIIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MALIK ESQUERRAHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALIN CONYERSARIZONA STATETEUNR★4
JOSH KELLYWASHINGTON STATEWR★3★4
DEVYNN CROMWELLUNIVERSITY OF GUELPHSUNR★3
JOHNCARLOS MILLER IIELONTEUNR★3
JOVON JACKSONFAIRMONT STATESUNR★3
VINNY SCIURYTOLEDOIOL★3★3
MIKAL HARRISON-PILOTHOUSTONCB★4★3
CALEB DOUGLASFLORIDAWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT37 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MONROE MILLSLOUISVILLEOL★3★4
JACOBY JACKSONMISSISSIPPI STATEOL★3★3
JESIAH PIERREUCFLB★3★3
JERAND BRADLEYBOSTON COLLEGEWR★3★3
STEVE LINTONBAYLOREDGE★3★3
MYLES PRICEINDIANAWR★3★3
TYLER SHOUGHLOUISVILLEQB★4★3
JAYDEN YORKHOUSTONTEUNR★3
BLAKE BURRISSMUDL★3★3
LOIC FOUONJIVANDERBILTWR★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES15%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS58%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#25NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8895COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1624 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR53%53th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR87%87th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE