SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›TOLEDO›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|JASON CANDLE|—RECORD9-5|CONF—
TOLEDO77 FPIMAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
43FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
13%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#920 BC / 14
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-5ACTUALvs8.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE21
PERFORMANCE21
TALENT52
CONTINUITY13
DEFENSE46
PERFORMANCE46
TALENT44
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
26MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HLONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY—W 37-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HMASSACHUSETTS—W 55-101200+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AOHIO STATE#4L 21-77999898-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 14-17183636+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 38-17181515+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 52-322166+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HKENT STATE—W 52-31191818+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ABUFFALO—L 27-34162626+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 27-24203131+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HBALL STATE—W 28-21131313+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HBOWLING GREEN—L 35-422377+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 14-203188+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3AOHIO—W 17-7153535+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 20HLIBERTY—W 21-1964444-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB54TAL47PERF54RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DEQUAN FINNQB SERET
★3★38573%+9HELD
4
TUCKER GLEASONQB SERET
★3★36527%-7HELD
13
A.J. GUCCIARDOQB SORET
★2—00%——
6
JOHN ALAN RICHTERQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB21TAL63PERF21RET73ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
JACQUEZ STUARTRB SERET
★3—8936%+20—
3
MICAH KELLYRB JURET
★3★38532%-29HELD
13
PENY BOONERB SENO SNAPS
★4★48227%-36HELD
32
WILLIE SHAW IIIRB SERET
★3—424%-43—
35
JORDAN LOWERB FRRET
UNR—131%——
24
LAMY CONSTANTRB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
28
BRYCE MCMAHONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE42TAL42PERF42RET76ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JAMAL TURNERTE SERET
★2—9964%+45—
1
JERJUAN NEWTONWR SERET
★3—9931%+12—
8
DEVIN MADDOXWR SERET
UNR—8921%+11—
DEMEER BLANKUMSEEWR SERET
★3★38117%+15HELD
84
THOMAS ZSIROSWR SERET
★3—7413%+35—
11
MIKEL BARKLEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★37212%+24EMERGED
88
ANTHONY TORRESTE SENO SNAPS
★3—7122%-6—
40
LENNY KUHLTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—5914%——
3
LARRY STEPHENS IIIWR SERET
★3—473%——
10
ADAM BEALEWR SERET
UNR—301%——
17
EZECHIEL TIEIDEWR SENO SNAPS
★2—221%——
41
DALTON ANDREWSTE JURET
UNR—141%——
2
JUNIOR VANDEROSS IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
ZACH PERSONTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
86
CLAY CAUDILLTE FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
81
ERIC HOLLEY IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
JUSTIN STEPHENSTE JURET
★3—00%——
81
DALEN STOVALLWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
ELIJAH WESLEYWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
34
CONNOR JONESTE SERET
★3—00%——
83
JALEN VANDERBOSCHWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL47TAL55PERF47RET35n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL49TAL50PERF49RET97n=9 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB35TAL46PERF35RET59n=7 · 11 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB51TAL38PERF51RET89n=9 · 6 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NASIR BOWERSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
EMMANUEL MCNEIL-WARRENHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MALACHI DAVISHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JUNIOR VANDEROSS IIIHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KIEL ELDRIDGEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
STEPHEN GALESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DERELL BEDINGFIELD JR.HS RECRUITLB★3UNR
AVERY SMITHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ERIC HOLLEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOHN ALAN RICHTERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH WINSTEADEAST CAROLINAWR★3UNR
JAELEN CRIDERYOUNGSTOWN STATEDL★3UNR
JUSTIN CLARKWISCONSINCB★3UNR
CARTER BRADLEYSOUTH ALABAMAQB★3UNR
JALYNN WILLIAMSWESTERN CAROLINARB★3UNR
MATT LANDERSARKANSASWR★3★3
ANTHONY HARRISONELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
SEAN MILLSELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
JONATHAN JONESELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
DANZEL MCKINLEY-LEWISELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#92NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8306COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST53% BACK53th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG53% BACK53th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR35%35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST89%89th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE