SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2016 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2016 FINAL
SUN BELT|NEAL BROWN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
TROY69 FPISBC · 2016 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#980 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2016 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.9-3.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.2
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HAUSTIN PEAY—W 57-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10ACLEMSON#1L 24-30949999-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17ASOUTHERN MISS—W 37-31394949+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 52-6744+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AIDAHO—W 34-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
7OCT 15HGEORGIA STATE—W 31-21101515+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 28-21252121+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HMASSACHUSETTS—W 52-312088+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HAPP STATE—W 28-24126767-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HARKANSAS STATE—L 3-35444444+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ATEXAS STATE—W 40-71700+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 24-28373434+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
KALEB BARKERQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
12
BRANDON SILVERSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
SAWYER SMITHQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
JALEN JONESQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JABIR DAUGHTRY-FRYERB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
33
JOSH ANDERSONRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
38
JORDAN CHUNNRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
B.J. SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
JAMARIUS HENDERSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
ZACC WELDONFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
DEVANTE WILLIAMSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JABIR FRYERB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
32
OWEN COLERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
MONTAE BARTOFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
KEITH JOHNSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
DEONDRE DOUGLASWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
HIRAM VELEZWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
DOMINIC WALKERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
JOHN JOHNSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
EMANUEL THOMPSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
ISMAIL SALEEMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
TEVARIS MCCORMICKWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
GABE HILLTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
RICHARD HALLMANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
SIDNEY DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
SAM LETTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
DAMION WILLISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
DANIEL CROWELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
CHAZZ GARRETTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
HOBIE DESANGESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CASON COOKTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
28
ALVIN BRYANTWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
85
LUKAS PLUM OLSENTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
TJ BELLWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JOHNATHAN ORTNERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
JEB DAVISTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
CLARK QUISENBERRYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
NYCK YOUNGWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
KE'MARVIN PITTSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KELVIN LUCKYHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
ZO BRIDGESHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
SAWYER SMITHHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
SAM LETTONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TRISTAN CROWDERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
B.J. SMITHHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
MICHAEL ROBINSONHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
TERRANCE CORBETTHS RECRUITWDE★2UNR
KALEB BARKERHS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
JABIR FRYEHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT0 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#98NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7907COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHT—2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST53% BACK53th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG53% BACK53th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE