SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›UCF›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG 12|GUS MALZAHN|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
UCF55 FPIB12 · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
65FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#551 BC / 15
BC RATIO
10%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs7.7-4.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.0
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBOISE STATE—W 36-31506969-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HBETHUNE-COOKMAN—W 63-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17ALOUISVILLE—L 35-42586060-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ANAVY—L 30-3472222+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HEAST CAROLINA—W 20-16454040+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ACINCINNATI#4L 21-56639797-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HMEMPHIS—W 24-7534343+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ATEMPLE—W 49-74377+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HTULANE—W 14-10373232+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ASMU—L 28-55556666-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HUCONN—W 49-171511+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 17-13471616+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
QUADRY JONESQB JURET
★2—00%——
8
DILLON GABRIELQB SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
13
PARKER NAVARROQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
MIKEY KEENEQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
ANDREW BRITOQB SEPORTAL · MASSACHUSETTS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET4NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
ANTHONY WILLIAMS JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
0
JOHNNY RICHARDSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
ISAIAH BOWSERRB SEPORTAL · NORTHWESTERN
★3★300%—HELD
6
MARK-ANTONY RICHARDSRB SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★400%—HELD
33
TRILION COLESRB SERET
★3—00%——
15
DAMARIUS GOODRB JURET
★3—00%——
21
BENTAVIOUS THOMPSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
7
RJ HARVEYRB SERET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
JARRAD BAKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
JAKE HESCOCKTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
JOEY GATEWOODTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
17
AMARI JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
KAEDIN ROBINSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
12
JAYLON GRIFFINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
3
BRANDON JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%——
80
NATE CRAIG-MYERSWR SEPORTAL · COLORADO STATE
★4★300%—FELL
13
JAYLON ROBINSONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
82
ALEC HOLLERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
38
DIONTE MARKSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
STEPHEN MARTINWR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
RYAN O'KEEFEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
TITUS MOKIAO-ATIMALALAWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
84
KE'VON AHMADWR JURET
★3—00%——
19
JUSTIN MENARDWR SORET
★3—00%——
29
CADE SAMSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
46
DARIUS MELTONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
31
JAJUAN FORTE'WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
CHARLIE BROWDERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
49
MAX HOLLERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
83
GARRETT FRENCHTE JURET
UNR—00%——
85
ZACH MARSH WOJANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
JORDAN DAVISTE SERET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TITUS MOKIAO-ATIMALALAHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ANTHONY HUNDLEYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MIKEY KEENEHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
COLE JOYCEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ETHAN MORTHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BJ ADAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHARLIE BROWDERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MALACHI LAWRENCEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
LEANDER WIEGANDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
NATHAN BOERBOOMHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN JOHNSONNOTRE DAMEWRUNR★3
NATE CRAIG-MYERSCOLORADO STATEWR★4★3
MARCO DOMIOAUBURNCBUNR★4
MARK-ANTONY RICHARDSAUBURNRB★4★4
ISAIAH BOWSERNORTHWESTERNRB★3★3
JARVIS WAREMISSOURICB★3★3
RJ HARVEY JR.VIRGINIADUALUNR★3
RICKY BARBERWESTERN KENTUCKYDL★3★3
BRANDON JOHNSONTENNESSEEWRUNR★3
ANDREW BRITOMASSACHUSETTSQBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'CYAIS CREDLEGEORGIA STATEWR★3★3
RANDY CHARLTONMISSISSIPPI STATEDE★3★3
KENNY TURNIERTCUDT★3★3
ERIC MITCHELLFLORIDA INTERNATIONALLB★3★3
ANTWAN COLLIERFLORIDA A&MDB★3★3
JACOB HARRISNFL DRAFT R4WRUNR—
TRE NIXONNFL DRAFT R7WR★4—
AARON ROBINSONNFL DRAFT R3DB★3—
RICHIE GRANTNFL DRAFT R2DB★2—
BRANDON MOOREELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#55NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8533COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1017 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST59% BACK59th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG59% BACK59th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE