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HOME›TEAMS›UCONN›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
FBS INDEPENDENTS|JIM MORA|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
UCONN126 FPIIND · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
33FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
82%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1240 BC / 15
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-9ACTUALvs3.1-8.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-10.8
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE11
PERFORMANCE11
TALENT38
CONTINUITY81
DEFENSE22
PERFORMANCE22
TALENT41
CONTINUITY82
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HNC STATE#21L 14-24737171-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AGEORGIA STATE—L 14-35373434-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 17-243444+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HDUKE—L 7-41527878-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HUTAH STATE—L 33-34252020-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ARICE—W 38-31282323-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HSOUTH FLORIDA—L 21-24533636-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 14-21613838-28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ATENNESSEE#17L 3-59899090-80BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AJAMES MADISON—L 6-4458686-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HSACRED HEART—W 31-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 25AMASSACHUSETTS—W 31-184566+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB64TAL17PERF64RET90ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
TA'QUAN ROBERSONQB SERET
★4★38589%-28FELL
2
JOE FAGNANOQB SEPORTAL · MAINE
UNR★24310%-44EMERGED
1
ZION TURNERQB SERET
★3★3121%-25HELD
15
BRAYDEN ZERMENOQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
TUCKER MCDONALDQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB34TAL51PERF34RET88ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
VICTOR ROSARB SERET
★3★38544%-15HELD
0
CAM EDWARDSRB SERET
UNR★38443%-2EMERGED
3
DEVONTAE HOUSTONRB SERET
★2★364100%+29ROSE
5
JALEN MITCHELLRB SEPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
★3★35612%-4HELD
0
BRIAN BREWTONRB SERET
★3★3121%-6HELD
36
HUNTER CLARKRB JURET
UNR—91%——
24
FRANK DANILEYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
21
DANNY SHABANRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE60TAL77PERF52RET59ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 34 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
JUSTIN JOLYTE SERET
★2★49351%+35ROSE
10
BRETT BUCKMANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—9131%-6—
6
CAM ROSSWR SERET
★3★38829%+10HELD
3
GEORDON PORTERWR SEPORTAL · NEW MEXICO
★3★38225%-17HELD
83
NICK HARRISTE SERET
UNR★27227%—EMERGED
81
LOUIS HANSENTE SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★4★45813%—HELD
16
KEVENS CLERCIUSWR JURET
★2—557%-2—
80
RAYONTE BROWNTE JURET
★2—384%——
86
ALEX HONIGTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3363%—HELD
13
JAMES BURNSWR SENO SNAPS
★2★3332%—ROSE
83
BRANDON NIEMENSKITE JURET
★3—252%-29—
87
BO ESTESTE JURET
UNR—252%——
88
ZACK DRAWDY JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3—221%——
1
DAJON HARRISONWR SERET
★3★3130%—HELD
4
BRYAN DOMINOWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
JACKSON HARPERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
CODY SMITHTE FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
17
TEDDY WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
83
JACOB FLYNNWR JURET
UNR—00%-60—
12
JARVIS JONESWR SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
88
NADER CHIRCHITE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
81
ZACH MADISONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
JOHN NEIDERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
89
LARUE GRAHAMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL68TAL29PERF68RET79n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL42TAL50PERF42RET88n=10 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB38TAL24PERF38RET72n=4 · 10 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸DB47TAL42PERF47RET65n=10 · 6 METRICS · 55 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZACKARY DRAWDYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAM CHADWICK JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JARVIS JONESHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
CARTER BOSKOVICHHS RECRUITS★2UNR
JACKSON HARPERHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
CARSTEN CASADYHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
TUCKER MCDONALDHS RECRUITQBUNRUNR
OUMAR DIOMANDEHS RECRUITLBUNRUNR
JOHN NEIDERHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
BRANDON KELLEYHS RECRUITEDGEUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LOUIS HANSENMICHIGANTE★4★4
MUMU BIN-WAHADWEST VIRGINIACB★3★3
RAASHAAN WILKINSILLINOISDLUNR★3
ALEXANDER HONIGTCUQBUNR★3
ERIQ GILYARDKANSASLB★3★3
JALEN MITCHELLLOUISVILLERB★3★3
GEORDON PORTERNEW MEXICOWR★3★3
ZAKHARI SPEARSWASHINGTONCBUNR★3
ARMAUNI ARCHIEWASHINGTON STATECB★3★3
NOAH PLACKDELAWARELBUNR★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AARON TURNERCINCINNATIWR★3★3
KAYODE OLADELEABILENE CHRISTIANDL★4UNR
MYLES BELLMARSHALLDB★3★3
KEELAN MARIONBYUWRUNR★4
NATHAN CARTERMICHIGAN STATERB★2★3
TRE WORTHAMELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
JAKE GUIDONEELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
BRANDON BOUYER-RANDLEELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
IAN SWENSONELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
MARQUEZ BEMBRYELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES30%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS49%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#124NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8104COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1210 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST75% BACK75th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG75% BACK75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR79%79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR90%90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST65%65th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE