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HOME›TEAMS›UL MONROE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SUN BELT|TERRY BOWDEN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
UL MONROE117 FPISBC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
14FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
9%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1340 BC / 3
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs3.2-8.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-12.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE25
PERFORMANCE25
TALENT30
CONTINUITY9
DEFENSE27
PERFORMANCE27
TALENT33
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ATEXAS#25L 10-52969595-84BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HNICHOLLS—W 35-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17AALABAMA#5L 7-631009898-87BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HLOUISIANA—W 21-17345252-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AARKANSAS STATE—L 28-45371919-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HCOASTAL CAROLINA—L 21-28304848-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ASOUTH ALABAMA—L 34-41377575-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AARMY—L 24-4814444-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HTEXAS STATE—W 31-30362323-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AGEORGIA STATE—W 31-28384040-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ATROY#19L 16-34356767-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HSOUTHERN MISS—L 10-20393939-28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB59TAL29PERF59RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CHANDLER ROGERSQB SENO SNAPS
★3—8898%+30—
13
GARRETT HABLEQB JURET
UNR—182%——
18
JIYA WRIGHTQB SERET
★2—00%——
6
CHANDLER ROGERSQB SORET
★3—00%+27—
15
BRIAN GARCIAQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
ZACH SHAWQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB36TAL43PERF36RET95ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
MALIK JACKSONRB SERET
UNR★38860%-23EMERGED
2
ANDREW HENRYRB SERET
★3★37131%+6HELD
3
ISAIAH PHILLIPSRB JURET
★2—314%-53—
22
ZACK MARTINRB SORET
★2—232%——
26
BENNETT GALLOWAYRB SONO SNAPS
★3—192%——
23
CHARLIE NORMANRB SERET
UNR—131%——
29
HUNTER SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3★350%—HELD
▾WR/TE55TAL36PERF59RET50ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TYRONE HOWELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—8829%+33—
82
ZACH RASMUSSENTE 5TRET
UNR—8553%+44—
5
JEVIN FRETTWR 5TRET
UNR—8023%-3—
87
NOLAN QUINLANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—7337%-40—
1
DASH LUKEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—7016%+6—
9
BUGS MORTIMERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—588%——
FRED LLOYD JR.WR SERET
UNR—588%+1—
80
WILL DERRICKWR JURET
UNR—567%-4—
7
ZACH JACKSONWR SERET
★3—546%+5—
1
DARIYAN WILEYWR SERET
★3★2464%-52FELL
85
RYLAN GREENTE SENO SNAPS
★3—376%——
12
GARRETT KAHMANNTE JURET
★3—293%——
88
JORDAN CRUMPTONTE JURET
UNR—171%——
19
JUSTIN KIMBERWR JURET
★3★3170%—HELD
48
ABRAHAM ALCETE JURET
★3—120%——
85
JOUHNETHAN DAVISTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—40%——
17
BOOGIE KNIGHTWR SERET
UNR—00%-33—
1
BUGS MORTIMERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%-62—
14
JALEN JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
COBY CAVILWR SORET
★2★300%—ROSE
81
JORDAN CARROLLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
36
WILLIAM BERRYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
TRENT GINNWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
PARKER HILLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
MAX MCGEEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL36TAL27PERF36RET16n=7 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL50TAL32PERF50RET61n=8 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB47TAL27PERF47RET55n=7 · 11 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB49TAL36PERF49RET62n=10 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS3 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TELLEK LOCKETTEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
SIMION HINESHS RECRUITCBUNRUNR
AUSTIN CARTWRIGHTHS RECRUITCBUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MYLES COLETEXAS TECHLB★2UNR
JOSH NEWTONTCUCB★3UNR
WILLIE TYLERRUTGERSOLUNR★3
AUSTIN HAWLEYELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
JAHQUAN BLOOMFIELDELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
JA'CQUEZ WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
TY SHELBYELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
KEILOS SWINNEYELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
ADAM SPARKSELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
TRAVEION WEBSTERELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#134NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 3 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8267COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR16%16th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST62%62th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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