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HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN MICHIGAN›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|TIM LESTER|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
WESTERN MICHIGAN80 FPIMAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
38FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#890 BC / 23
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.1-4.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AUSC#12L 31-49988787-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AMICHIGAN STATE#15L 14-28788383-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HIDAHO—W 37-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23HWAGNER—W 49-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 30HBALL STATE—W 55-31455+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ABUFFALO—W 71-68121717+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HAKRON—L 13-142277+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 20-17112929+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 28-35332323+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HKENT STATE—W 48-201033+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 31-35304141-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ATOLEDO—L 10-37296565-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
JON WASSINKQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
REECE GODDARDQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
4
CHRIS RIDDLEQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
KALEB ELEBYQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
BRENDAN TABONEQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET94NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
31
JARVION FRANKLINRB —RET
UNR—00%——
32
JAMAURI BOGANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
LEO EKWOGERB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
LEVANTE BELLAMYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
DAVON TUCKERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
MATT FALCONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
RA'SEAN DAVIERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
PRINCE WALKERRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
2
CHASE BROWNRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
26
DEVAN BASSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
DAWSON SCHICKRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
GIOVANNI RICCITE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
ALEX MUSSATWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
MITCH HEIMBUCHTE JURET
★2—00%——
4
DARIUS PHILLIPSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
85
DONNIE ERNSBERGERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
38
ODELL MILLERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
HUNTER BROERSMAWR SORET
★3—00%——
13
KEISHAWN WATSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TYRON ARNETTWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
D'WAYNE ESKRIDGEWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
LUKE SANDERSTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
BRANDON HINDSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JARET CURTISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
BRETT BORSKETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
WADE BUCKMANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
JAYDEN REEDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
ELLIOT OLDHAMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
JACKSON KNIPPERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
LUCAS BEZERRATE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVOR CAMPBELLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DWAYNE CHAPMANHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
LUKE SANDERSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TANNER MOTZHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DYLAN DEATHERAGEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DERRICK HUBBARDHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TRESHAUN HAYWARDHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
RALPH HOLLEYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
TYRON ARNETTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KJ ANDERSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEION ADAMSNFL DRAFT R7DEUNR—
COREY DAVISNFL DRAFT R1WRUNR—
ZACH TERRELLNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
MICHAEL HENRYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JUSTIN FERGUSONNOT LISTEDSUNR—
DAVID CURLENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
AUSTIN GUIDONOT LISTEDDBUNR—
FABIAN JOHNSONNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KASEY CARSONNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
LUCAS CHEROCCINOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#89NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7954COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST42% BACK42th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG42% BACK42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE