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HOME›TEAMS›WESTERN MICHIGAN›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|LANCE TAYLOR|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
WESTERN MICHIGAN116 FPIMAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
19FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
65%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
60%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1060 BC / 17
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.0-8.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE20
PERFORMANCE20
TALENT29
CONTINUITY65
DEFENSE3
PERFORMANCE3
TALENT43
CONTINUITY60
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSAINT FRANCIS—W 35-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9ASYRACUSE—L 7-48504040-31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AIOWA#24L 10-41716666-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ATOLEDO—L 31-49376161-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HBALL STATE—W 42-24201111-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AMISSISSIPPI STATE#9L 28-41805454-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HMIAMI (OH)—L 21-34215656-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AOHIO—L 17-20124747-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 45-21161818-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 7HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 38-28955+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 0-24133030-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 21HBOWLING GREEN—L 10-34182929-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB39TAL64PERF39RET43ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
HAYDEN WOLFFQB SEPORTAL · OLD DOMINION
★3★37557%-3HELD
10
TREYSON BOURGUETQB SERET
★3★36227%-37HELD
6
JACK SALOPEKQB SORET
★3★35416%-45HELD
14
STONE HOLLENBACHQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
16
MARK KONECNYQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
22
ARIK MOYERSQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB38TAL33PERF38RET89ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JALEN BUCKLEYRB SERET
UNR—9654%+19—
10
ZAHIR ABDUS-SALAAMRB SERET
★3—8635%-38—
33
CJ HESTERRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3486%+18HELD
4
KESHAWN KINGRB SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA TECH
★4★4373%+18HELD
28
JAMAL HAILEYRB JURET
★3★3211%—HELD
32
TRAE ALLENRB SERET
UNR—00%-54—
26
TRE' HARTWELLRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE49TAL27PERF46RET51ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
KENNETH WOMACKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—9531%+11—
86
BLAKE BOSMATE SERET
UNR—9049%+8—
15
LEROY THOMASWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—8624%-16—
88
AUSTIN HENCETE SERET
UNR—8439%-3—
17
MALIQUE DIEUDONNEWR SERET
UNR—7618%-36—
5
ANTHONY SAMBUCCIWR SERET
★3—7014%+30—
JEHLANI GALLOWAYWR SERET
★3—6612%-40—
87
MITCH BARTOLTE JURET
★3—456%——
84
KADINN MORRISTE SERET
★3★3456%—HELD
80
CAM HEDGECOCKWR SERET
UNR—60%——
7
MAREYOHN HRABOWSKITE SERET
★3—00%——
89
BRENNAN WOOTENTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
HENRY WILSON JR.WR SORET
★3—00%——
13
TYREN MASONWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
23
JASHAWN JOHNSONWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
82
ELLIOTT GRASHUISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
20
LOGAN LESTERWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
55
JACK PARKERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
TONY MARTINWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
WILLIE BERRISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
36
MOHAMMED SAYEDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
19
JACOB SZURNAWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
27
LANDYN MOOREWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL52TAL22PERF52RET76n=8 · 3 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL36TAL44PERF36RET71n=7 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB29TAL46PERF29RET49n=6 · 11 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸DB34TAL38PERF34RET63n=6 · 6 METRICS · 33 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SID KABAHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JACOBE OGLESBYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
LOGAN LESTERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRENNAN WOOTENHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CJ HESTERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LORENZO WILLIAMS JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TRE' HARTWELLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LUKE ZANOTTIHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
DALTON GUSTWILLERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TONY MARTINHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HAYDEN WOLFFOLD DOMINIONQB★3★3
KESHAWN KINGVIRGINIA TECHRB★4★4
TATE HALLOCKMICHIGAN STATEATH★3★3
CHAD SCHUSTERSYRACUSEOT★3★3
DONALD WILLISMINNESOTALB★3★3
TEDI KUSHILIU POSTOTUNR★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RYAN SELIGMINNESOTALB★2★3
BRADEN FISKEFLORIDA STATEDL★3★4
ANDRE CARTERINDIANADL★3★4
COREY CROOMS JR.MINNESOTAWR★3UNR
SEAN TYLERMINNESOTARB★3★3
DYLAN DEATHERAGEELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
DELANO WAREELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
CORVIN MOMENTELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
ZAIRE BARNESELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BRICEN GARNERELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES59%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS55%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#106NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8257COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
610 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
27TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
6
10
5
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +8 W
IMPROVED9 OF 27
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR76%76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR43%43th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST63%63th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE