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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|CRAIG BOHL|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
WYOMING77 FPIMWC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
11FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
74%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
87%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-13IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1100 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.2
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE36
PERFORMANCE36
TALENT29
CONTINUITY74
DEFENSE48
PERFORMANCE48
TALENT35
CONTINUITY87
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
48MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HTEXAS TECH—W 35-33726868-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HPORTLAND STATE—W 31-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16ATEXAS#3L 10-31969696-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HAPP STATE—W 22-19396161-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HNEW MEXICO—W 35-261577+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HFRESNO STATE—W 24-19445555-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AAIR FORCE—L 27-3416767-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ABOISE STATE—L 7-32486767-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HCOLORADO STATE—W 24-15222727+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AUNLV—L 14-34145555-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HHAWAI'I—W 42-92088+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ANEVADA—W 42-62811+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30HTOLEDO—W 16-15376161-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB47TAL10PERF47RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
ANDREW PEASLEYQB SERET
★2—80100%-21—
7
JAYDEN CLEMONSQB SERET
★3—00%-53—
12
KADEN ANDERSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
CARSON MAYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
15
GAGE BROOKQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB45TAL26PERF45RET36ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
HARRISON WAYLEERB SEPORTAL · NORTHERN ILLINOIS
★3★39147%+12HELD
22
SAM SCOTTRB SERET
★3—7325%-15—
6
JAMARI FERRELLRB SENO SNAPS
★2★36214%-36ROSE
7
D.Q. JAMESRB SORET
★3—549%+26—
21
JEREMY HOLLINGSWORTHRB JURET
UNR—252%——
36
CALEB DRISKILLFB SERET
★2—242%——
25
MITCHELL ANDERSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
DAWAIIAN MCNEELYRB SERET
★3★300%+22HELD
35
KIMBALL MADSENFB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
LJ RICHARDSONRB FRRET
★2—00%——
28
TYLER JACKLICHRB JUNO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
41
COOPER MAILANDFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE43TAL20PERF42RET85ROTATIONn=10 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
TREYTON WELCHTE SERET
★2—9441%+2—
11
WYATT WIELANDWR SERET
UNR—8531%+5—
84
JOHN MICHAEL GYLLENBORGTE SERET
★3—8428%+38—
5
AYIR ASANTEWR JUPORTAL · HOLY CROSS
UNR★27723%+15EMERGED
88
COLIN O'BRIENTE SERET
UNR—7017%+13—
20
RYAN MARQUEZWR SERET
UNR—6616%-36—
86
NICK MILESTE SERET
★3—6514%——
9
ALEX BROWNWR SERET
★3—6515%+22—
83
WILL PELISSIERWR SERET
UNR—527%-3—
2
DEVIN BODDIE JR.WR SEPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★3★3516%-34HELD
16
GUNNER GENTRYWR SERET
★2—342%——
8
JAYLEN SARGENTWR SERET
★3—130%——
87
ISAAC SCHOENFELDTE SERET
★2—00%——
80
JUSTIN ERBTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
CALEB COOLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
EVAN SVOBODATE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
CHASE LOCKEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
CHARLIE COENENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
BRICEN BRANTLEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JUSTIN STEVENSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
KAYDEN LAFRAMBOISEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL35TAL35PERF35RET73n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL38TAL31PERF38RET83n=9 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB33TAL43PERF33RET100n=4 · 11 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DB44TAL32PERF45RET86n=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN STEVENSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KADEN ANDERSONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
BRANDT RICEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
CHAUNCEY CARTERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
NAZ HILLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LUCAS SAMSULAHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KEANY PARKSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DANTE DRAKEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
IAN BELLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MILES TUCKERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEVIN BODDIE JR.VANDERBILTWR★3★3
HARRISON WAYLEENORTHERN ILLINOISRB★3★2
AYIR ASANTEHOLY CROSSWRUNR★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM STONEHAWAI'IDB★3UNR
EMMANUEL PREGNONUSCOLUNR★4
OLUWASEYI OMOTOSHOOREGON STATEDLUNR★3
KEONTE GLINTONNEW MEXICO STATECB★3★3
JOSHUA HARDEMANHOUSTONWR★3UNR
JORDON VAUGHNABILENE CHRISTIANRB★3★3
ERIC ABOJEIELIGIBILITY UPG★3—
MILES WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
ZACH WATTSNOT LISTEDG★2—
TITUS SWENNOT LISTEDRB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES53%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS48%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#110NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8109COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
316 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR73%73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST86%86th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE