SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ALABAMA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SEC|NICK SABAN|—RECORD12-2|CONF—
ALABAMA#5 AP 5 FPISEC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
100FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
74%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-16IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#125 BC / 27
BC RATIO
87%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs10.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+16.7
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE93
PERFORMANCE93
TALENT94
CONTINUITY80
DEFENSE89
PERFORMANCE89
TALENT96
CONTINUITY74
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
76MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 56-7352424+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HTEXAS#3L 24-34969696-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 17-3533636+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HOLE MISS—W 24-10849292+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AMISSISSIPPI STATE#9W 40-17805454+41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ATEXAS A&M—W 26-20988989+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HARKANSAS—W 24-21775959+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HTENNESSEE#17W 34-20899090+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HLSU#12W 42-28969292+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AKENTUCKY—W 49-21788484+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HCHATTANOOGA—W 66-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 25AAUBURN—W 27-24887373+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HGEORGIA#4W 27-24999999-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 1AMICHIGAN#1L 20-2791100100-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB67TAL97PERF67RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
JALEN MILROEQB JURET
★4—8893%+37—
15
TY SIMPSONQB JURET
★5—377%+11—
12
DYLAN LONERGANQB SENO SNAPS
★4★340%—FELL
10
ELI HOLSTEINQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
16
CADE CARRUTHQB SERET
UNR—00%——
85
MIGUEL CAMBOIAQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB75TAL96PERF75RET93ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
JASE MCCLELLANRB SERET
★4—9550%+13—
5
ROYDELL WILLIAMSRB SERET
★5★48533%-12FELL
26
JAM MILLERRB SERET
★4—5911%+16—
22
JUSTICE HAYNESRB SENO SNAPS
★5★4475%+26FELL
9
RICHARD YOUNGRB SENO SNAPS
★4★3242%—FELL
28
JONATHAN BENNETTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
MICHAEL LORINO IIIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
JR GARDNERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE59TAL91PERF61RET68ROTATIONn=10 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
CJ DIPPRETE SEPORTAL · MARYLAND
★3★49540%+24ROSE
7
ISAIAH BONDWR JURET
★4★59028%+3ROSE
84
AMARI NIBLACKTE SERET
★4★48529%+32HELD
3
JERMAINE BURTONWR SERET
★4—8524%+31—
45
ROBBIE OUZTSTE SERET
★3—7925%-22—
4
MALIK BENSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★47216%-17EMERGED
16
KOBE PRENTICEWR SERET
★4★36411%+21FELL
1
KENDRICK LAWWR SERET
★4★4608%-22HELD
2
JALEN HALEWR JUNO SNAPS
★5★3556%-5FELL
1
JA'COREY BROOKSWR SERET
★5★4536%-1FELL
87
DANNY LEWISTE SERET
★3★3444%—HELD
87
MILES KITSELMANTE SERET
UNR★3332%—EMERGED
85
TY LOCKWOODTE SENO SNAPS
★4★3171%—FELL
7
SHAZZ PRESTONWR SERET
★4★3130%—FELL
2
EMMANUEL HENDERSON JR.WR SERET
★4★3100%—FELL
7
COLE ADAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★4★360%—FELL
16
JAREN HAMILTONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
10
TYLER BUCHNERWR SEPORTAL · NOTRE DAME
★4★400%—HELD
44
CHARLIE SKEHANTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
47
ADAM THORSLANDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
43
ROBERT ELLISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
SAWYER DEERMANWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
47
JAX PORTERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
34
COBY MCNEALTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
ZARIAN COURTNEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
46
PEYTON FOXTE SERET
UNR—00%——
32
JAY LOPER JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
33
JACK STANDEFFERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
23
MJ CHIRGWINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
KALEB FLEMINGWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL68TAL94PERF68RET80n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL69TAL93PERF70RET95n=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸LB63TAL97PERF63RET87n=3 · 10 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB74TAL96PERF74RET56n=7 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEON KEELEYHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
CALEB DOWNSHS RECRUITS★5UNR
KADYN PROCTORHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
JUSTICE HAYNESHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
DEZZ RICKSHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
JAMES SMITHHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
YHONZAE PIERREHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
QUA RUSSAWHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
JALEN HALEHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
JAHLIL HURLEYHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CJ DIPPREMARYLANDTE★3★4
TREZMEN MARSHALLGEORGIALB★4★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAVION COHENMIAMIOL★4★4
TRAESHON HOLDENOREGONWR★4★4
JOJO EARLETCUWR★4★3
AMARI KIGHTUCFOL★4★3
KHYREE JACKSONOREGONDB★4★3
TANNER BOWLESKENTUCKYOL★4★4
JAHQUEZ ROBINSONCOLORADOS★4★3
TREY SANDERSTCURB★5★3
DAMIEON GEORGE JR.FLORIDAOL★4UNR
CHRISTIAN LEARYGEORGIA TECHWR★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES48%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS42%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#1NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
25OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9462COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
521 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST39% BACK39th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG39% BACK39th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR80%80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST56%56th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE