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HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|JEDD FISCH|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
ARIZONA73 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
2%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#225 BC / 30
BC RATIO
12%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs4.8-7.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.7
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE72
PERFORMANCE72
TALENT62
CONTINUITY2
DEFENSE8
PERFORMANCE8
TALENT61
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 38-20183636+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HMISSISSIPPI STATE#20L 17-39808686-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HNORTH DAKOTA STATE—W 31-283———NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24ACALIFORNIA—L 31-49664242-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HCOLORADO—W 43-205655+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HOREGON#15L 22-49969292-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AWASHINGTON#8L 39-49858787-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HUSC#12L 37-45939292-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AUTAH#10L 20-45779393-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AUCLA#21W 34-28808585-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HWASHINGTON STATE—L 20-31507272-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HARIZONA STATE—W 38-35723838+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB63TAL84PERF63RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
JAYDEN DE LAURAQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★39596%+20HELD
1
NOAH FIFITAQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—294%——
3
JORDAN MCCLOUDQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
GUNNER CRUZQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
15
WILL PLUMMERQB SORET
★3—00%——
12
COLE TANNENBAUMQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB69TAL62PERF69RET51ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
MICHAEL WILEYRB SERET
★3—9351%+11—
1
JONAH COLEMANRB SENO SNAPS
★3★37826%0HELD
8
DJ WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—6818%+3—
2
RAYSHON LUKERB JUNO SNAPS
★4★3414%+29FELL
21
DRAKE ANDERSONRB JURET
★3★350%-35HELD
28
NAZAR BOMBATARB SERET
★2—00%——
21
STEVIE ROCKER JR.RB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
29
JASHON BUTLERRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
JAMES BOHLSRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
21
JALEN JOHNRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE48TAL62PERF54RET29ONE OWNERn=4 · 8 METRICS · 29 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
DORIAN SINGERWR SERET
★3★49934%+24ROSE
2
JACOB COWINGWR SENO SNAPS
★2—9932%+25—
4
TETAIROA MCMILLANWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—9831%+30—
84
TANNER MCLACHLANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—9774%+13—
88
ALEX LINESTE SERET
★3★35514%-12HELD
84
KEYAN BURNETTTE SENO SNAPS
★4★35211%—FELL
85
ANTHONY SIMPSONWR SERET
UNR★3463%—EMERGED
0
KEVIN GREEN JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★3★4261%—ROSE
85
ROBERTO MIRANDATE JURET
★3—70%——
6
AJ JONESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
JAMARYE JOINERWR SERET
★3★300%+30HELD
87
TYLER POWELLTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
JADEN CLARKWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
REX HAYNESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
MATTHEW MOOREWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
JAKE GEORGEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
GAVIN SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
83
SAM GRACI-GLAZERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JOHN HARTTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
CHRIS HUNTER IIIWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL49TAL50PERF49RET13n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL28TAL67PERF28RET55n=9 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB28TAL34PERF28RET41n=5 · 11 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸DB47TAL68PERF47RET90n=10 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TETAIROA MCMILLANHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
RAYSHON LUKEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
KEYAN BURNETTHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
EPHESIANS PRYSOCKHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
STERLING LANE IIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KEVIN GREEN JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JONAH COLEMANHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JONAH SAVAIINAEAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
TYLER MARTINHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
NOAH FIFITAHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BJ CASTEELNEVADAWR★3UNR
BOOBIE CURRYBUFFALOWRUNRUNR
ROURKE FREEBURGTOLEDOLB★2UNR
MCKENZIE BARNESELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
THOMAS REID IIIELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
ANTHONY PANDYELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BRYCE WOLMAELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
MOHAMED DIALLOELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
TAYVIAN CUNNINGHAMELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TREVON MASONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#22NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 30 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8602COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST82% BACK82th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG82% BACK82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR13%13th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST90%90th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE