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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|BRYAN HARSIN|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
AUBURN20 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#307 BC / 17
BC RATIO
51%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs8.0-4.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.4
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
70MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HAKRON—W 60-101422+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HALABAMA STATE—W 62-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18APENN STATE—L 20-28898686-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HGEORGIA STATE—W 34-24264545+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ALSU—W 24-19975050+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HGEORGIA#1L 10-3499100100-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AARKANSAS#21W 38-23808484-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HOLE MISS#11W 31-20818888-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ATEXAS A&M—L 3-20969696-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 34-43807474+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 17-21855050+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HALABAMA#2L 22-241009898-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
BO NIXQB JURET
★5—00%——
2
TJ FINLEYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
GRANT LOYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DEMATRIUS DAVIS JR.QB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
13
TREY LINDSEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
SAWYER PATEQB SORET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET78NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
44
JAY SHARPRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
2
SHAUN SHIVERSRB SERET
★4—00%——
4
TANK BIGSBYRB JURET
★4—00%——
15
JORDON INGRAMRB SOPORTAL · CENTRAL MICHIGAN
★3★300%—HELD
44
SEAN JACKSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
JARQUEZ HUNTERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
46
JACOB JASINSKIRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
CAYLIN NEWTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
25
JOHN SAMUEL SHENKERTE SERET
★3—00%——
11
SHEDRICK JACKSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
JA'VARRIUS JOHNSONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
16
DEMETRIS ROBERTSONWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA
★5★300%—FELL
2
KOBE HUDSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
80
ZE'VIAN CAPERSWR SORET
★4★400%—HELD
5
ELIJAH CANIONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
TYLER FROMMTE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
86
LUKE DEALTE SERET
★3—00%——
0
LANDEN KINGTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
1
MALCOLM JOHNSON JR.WR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
35
JAMES OWENS MOSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JACKSON MCFADDENWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
MALCOLM RUSSELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
JJ EVANSWR SERET
★4—00%——
42
TATE JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
30
TOMMY NESMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
FLYNN DRISCOLLTE JURET
UNR—00%——
28
JACKSON BILLINGSWR SORET
★2—00%——
87
BRANDON FRAZIERTE SERET
★4—00%——
32
TRENT MASONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN BROOKSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
LEE HUNTERHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
AHMARI HARVEYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
DEMATRIUS DAVIS JR.HS RECRUITQB★4UNR
TAR'VARISH DAWSONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
MARQUIS ROBINSONHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
HAL PRESLEYHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TOBECHI OKOLIHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
LANDEN KINGHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JUWON GASTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DRESHUN MILLERWEST VIRGINIACB★3★3
T.J. FINLEYLSUQBUNR★3
DONOVAN KAUFMANVANDERBILTSUNR★3
MARCUS HARRISKANSASDL★3★3
BYDARRIUS KNIGHTENSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATESUNR★3
DEMETRIS ROBERTSONGEORGIAWR★5★3
JORDON INGRAMCENTRAL MICHIGANRB★3★3
ANDREW LEOTANORTHWESTERNEDGEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS THOMPSON JR.USCLB★4★3
MARK-ANTONY RICHARDSUCFRB★4★4
DJ WILLIAMSFLORIDA STATERB★4UNR
BIG KAT BRYANTUCFDE★4★3
CORD SANDBERGEASTERN KENTUCKYQBUNR★4
MATTHEW HILLSOUTH FLORIDAS★4★4
DAQUAN NEWKIRKFLORIDADLUNR★3
MARCO DOMIOUCFDBUNR★4
OC BROTHERSPURDUELB★3UNR
STONE HANDYINDIANALB★4UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#30NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8848COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
921 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE