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HOME›TEAMS›CENTRAL MICHIGAN›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|JIM MCELWAIN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
CENTRAL MICHIGAN123 FPIMAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
74%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1060 BC / 18
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.1-7.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE19
PERFORMANCE19
TALENT40
CONTINUITY74
DEFENSE17
PERFORMANCE17
TALENT37
CONTINUITY80
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HCENTRAL CONNECTICUT—W 66-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 16-52201717-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AILLINOIS#16L 9-30557777-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HBALL STATE—W 37-341466+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HSAN DIEGO STATE—W 22-214511110BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HOHIO—L 25-27115353-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 34-38211515-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AMIAMI (OH)—L 7-46204949-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 5HBOWLING GREEN—L 13-23174343-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 12ATOLEDO—L 10-37374141-30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 19HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 16-14312222-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 16-24103838-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB44TAL57PERF44RET24ONE OWNERn=4 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
JOE LABASQB SEPORTAL · IOWA
★3★46951%-14ROSE
5
JADYN GLASSERQB FRTRUE FR
★3—6125%-42—
3
TYLER JEFFERSONQB SORET
★3★36024%-52HELD
9
ETHAN LANEQB SORET
★3—00%——
12
LOGAN BORODYCHUKQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB35TAL24PERF35RET99ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
MARION LUKESRB SERET
★3—8849%+30—
28
B.J. HARRISRB SERET
UNR—7426%+6—
26
MYLES BAILEYRB SERET
★3—6618%+13—
5
NAHREE BIGGINSRB SERET
★3—446%+35—
2
BROCK TOWNSENDRB SONO SNAPS
★3—141%——
4
JAKIVION CALIPRB SORET
★3—00%——
24
MEKHI JENKINSRB SORET
★3—00%——
46
GERMANUEL TANELUSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
KADENN ROSERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
49
JASON PHILPOT-DIXONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE33TAL40PERF33RET53ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
DECORION TEMPLETE SERET
★3★39145%0HELD
8
GAVIN HARRISTE SENO SNAPS
★3★38538%-7HELD
17
JESSE PREWITT IIIWR SERET
UNR—8125%-10—
13
CHRIS PARKERWR SERET
★3★37823%-10HELD
14
SOLOMON DAVISWR SEPORTAL · VALPARAISO
★3★37118%+22HELD
8
EVAN BOYDWR JURET
★3★37117%+12HELD
13
JORDYN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—567%-41—
15
TOMMY MCINTOSHWR SEPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★3★3536%-63HELD
10
STEPHAN BRACEY JR.WR JURET
★3—464%-38—
80
MILES SHANNONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—110%——
81
TAYTE VANDERLEESTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
TRAVIS AMBROSETE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
5
BERT EMANUEL JR.WR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
TYSON DAVISWR SERET
★3★300%+27HELD
34
ALEC PALELLATE JURET
★3—00%——
20
LANGSTON LEWISWR SERET
★2★300%-11ROSE
84
JORDAN KELLYWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
11
JOSIAH BOOKERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
JACOB KAMINSKITE JURET
UNR—00%——
16
NASIR WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
35
CAMDEN KRUISENGAWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
BRAEDEN TILLMAN-JONESWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL36TAL39PERF36RET92n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL54TAL41PERF54RET78n=9 · 7 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB56TAL31PERF56RET99n=5 · 10 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB40TAL37PERF41RET73n=7 · 8 METRICS · 42 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRYCE ROWEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JOSIAH BOOKERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TRAVIS AMBROSEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TYSEN CAMPBELLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BROCK TOWNSENDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
VICTOR EARLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JADYN GLASSERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JACOB SAURBECKHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DASAN SMITHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JJ DOUGLASHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NOLAN ZIEGLERNOTRE DAMELB★4★3
JOE LABASIOWAQB★3★3
SOLOMON DAVISVALPARAISOWR★3★3
BRENDEN DEASFERNANDESIOWACB★3★3
TOMMY MCINTOSHWISCONSINWR★3★3
DAVID CHAPEAUEAST CAROLINAP★2UNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREY JONES IIITEXAS A&MDB★2★3
KEEGAN SMITHUCFOL★3★3
QUINDARIO LEEHOUSTONDLUNR★3
KYLE MORETTISAN DIEGO STATELB★3★3
JASE BAUERSAM HOUSTONQB★3★3
JARVARIUS SIMSUCONNCBUNR★3
DE'JAVION STEPNEYMARSHALLDB★3★3
SAM HICKSABILENE CHRISTIANRBUNRUNR
JAKE TAFELSKINOTRE DAMERBUNRUNR
JAYDEN DAVISIDAHO STATES★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES30%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS20%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#106NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8167COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
616 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST52% BACK52th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG52% BACK52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR24%24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST73%73th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE