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HOME›TEAMS›COASTAL CAROLINA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SUN BELT|JAMEY CHADWELL|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
COASTAL CAROLINA45 FPISBC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
28FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#840 BC / 18
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs10.1-1.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+20.4
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
21MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HTHE CITADEL—W 52-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HKANSAS—W 49-224855+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ABUFFALO—W 28-25102121+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HMASSACHUSETTS—W 53-3900+81BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HUL MONROE—W 59-61255+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AARKANSAS STATE—W 52-204099+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AAPP STATE—L 27-30357373+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HTROY—W 35-28342828+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 28-8211010+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HGEORGIA STATE—L 40-42264545+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HTEXAS STATE—W 35-213099+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 27-21272525+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET87NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
ZACHARY STEVENSQB SORET
UNR—00%——
7
JARRETT GUESTQB SERET
★3★200%—FELL
2
GRAYSON MCCALLQB SERET
★2★400%—ROSE
12
BRYCE CARPENTERQB SERET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET49NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
REESE WHITERB SERET
★3—00%——
25
CHRISTIAN MALLOYRB JURET
★3—00%——
4
CJ BEASLEYRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
26
ISAIAH CONNELLYRB FRRET
★3—00%——
28
BRAYDON BENNETTRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
SHERMARI JONESRB SERET
★3—00%——
19
NATE HOPE IIRB JURET
UNR—00%——
17
RANDALL BROWNRB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
TY LYLESRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
12
FRED JACKSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
CJ BEASLEYRB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
KAMERON BROWNWR SERET
★3—00%——
20
GREG LATUSHKOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
PATRICK MCSWEENEYTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
XAVIER GRAVETTETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
AARON BEDGOODWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
DEON FOUNTAINWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
TYLER ROBERTSWR SERET
★2—00%——
24
DJ JOHNSONTE FRRET
★3—00%——
14
JARED BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
CHRIS RHONEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
JAIVON HEILIGHWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
ISAIAH LIKELYTE SERET
★2—00%——
8
TYSON MOBLEYWR SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
88
CONNER MCCARTHYWR JURET
★2—00%——
86
TJ IVY JR.TE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
DREW LESZCZYNSKIWR SORET
★3—00%——
84
NICK CHILDSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
33
NIC BURROUGHS-ROGERSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
3
LOGAN MAULDINTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
MAX BALTHAZARWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
MALACHI TAYLORWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
34
WILT GABETE 5TRET
UNR—00%——
19
KYRE DUPLESSISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
JAMESON TUCKERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZEMARION HARRELLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TAE'QUAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSAIAH STEWARTHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JARED BROWNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RAKIM COOPERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MAX BALTHAZARHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TOBIAS FLETCHERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TY LYLESHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
AARON JONESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAMESON TUCKERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRE DOUGLASVANDERBILTSUNR★3
EMMANUEL JOHNSONGEORGIA TECHDL★3★3
ZOVON LINDSAYNC STATEOT★3★3
TURON IVY JR.INDIANATE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT11 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FRED PAYTONMERCERQB★3★3
DAVON BOMARSTONY BROOKDL★2★2
TARRON JACKSONNFL DRAFT R6DEUNR—
SAM DENMARKELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
CJ MARABLEELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
MICHAEL MCFARLANEELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
BADEN PINSONNOT LISTEDRB★2—
KAMERON BURTONNOT LISTEDSUNR—
CHRIS EVANSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DAMARI KELLYNOT LISTEDCB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#84NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8312COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
411 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR87%87th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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