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HOME›TEAMS›COASTAL CAROLINA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SUN BELT|TIM BECK|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
COASTAL CAROLINA79 FPISBC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
39FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
69%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
51%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1140 BC / 17
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE64
PERFORMANCE64
TALENT45
CONTINUITY69
DEFENSE39
PERFORMANCE39
TALENT41
CONTINUITY51
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AUCLA—L 13-27828080-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 30-1664747+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HDUQUESNE—W 66-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21HGEORGIA STATE—L 17-30373434+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 28-38233939+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 10AAPP STATE—W 27-24396161-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AARKANSAS STATE—W 27-17343737+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HMARSHALL—W 34-6312626+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AOLD DOMINION—W 28-24122323+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HTEXAS STATE—W 31-23324747+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AARMY—L 21-2814141+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HJAMES MADISON—L 14-5658686-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 24-14384242+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB61TAL63PERF61RET70ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
GRAYSON MCCALLQB SERET
★2★47455%+46ROSE
15
ETHAN VASKOQB SEPORTAL · KANSAS
★3★36430%+8HELD
7
JARRETT GUESTQB SERET
★3★25215%+38FELL
16
BLAKE BODAQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
17
LUKE SATHERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
18
SCOTT SAYLORQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB29TAL23PERF29RET92ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
BRAYDON BENNETTRB SERET
★3★37931%+37HELD
2
REESE WHITERB SERET
★3—7425%+17—
4
CJ BEASLEYRB SERET
★3★37223%+22HELD
7
JA'VIN SIMPKINSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3466%+29HELD
23
JAHBARI KUYKENDALLRB FRTRUE FR
★3—91%——
25
DARREN LLOYDRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—60%——
▾WR/TE54TAL55PERF57RET68ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
SAM PINCKNEYWR SERET
★3—9631%+33—
85
KENDALL KARRTE SEPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★3★38858%+12HELD
14
JARED BROWNWR SERET
★3★38824%+32HELD
8
JAMESON TUCKERWR SERET
★3—8522%+33—
87
MATT ALAIMOTE SEPORTAL · RUTGERS
★3★37336%-42HELD
19
KYRE DUPLESSISWR SERET
UNR—6410%+23—
3
MAX BALTHAZARWR SERET
★3★36314%-64HELD
8
TYSON MOBLEYWR SERET
★2★3619%+3ROSE
0
BRYSON GRAVESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3362%—EMERGED
3
LOGAN MAULDINTE SERET
★3★3293%—HELD
9
GENSON HOOPER PRICEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—281%+29—
DEON FOUNTAINWR SERET
★3—191%——
86
JOHN GRANT IIITE SORET
★3★3171%—HELD
11
BROOKS JOHNSONTE SERET
★2★3171%—ROSE
11
DE'ANDRE COLEMANWR FRRET
★3★4150%—ROSE
33
ZACH COURTNEYTE SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★3★3141%—HELD
3
CHRIS RHONEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
CHASE SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
18
CANE BERRONGTE SEPORTAL · NOTRE DAME
★4★300%—FELL
89
RICO DORSEY JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
DAMI'ON THOMPSONWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
82
KEVIN DOUGHERTY JR.TE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
NATHAN SCHUESSLERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL52TAL40PERF52RET60n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL30TAL43PERF30RET63n=11 · 8 METRICS · 61 OBS
▸LB22TAL27PERF22RET72n=6 · 10 METRICS · 32 OBS
▸DB50TAL55PERF50RET31n=8 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'VIN SIMPKINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JOSHUA SADDLERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DERRICK MAXEY IIIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MATTHEW SCICCHITANOHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
WYATT GEDEONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JAHBARI KUYKENDALLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DAIRO MELENDEZHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
BLAKE BODAHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
BRYSON GRAVESHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
MICHAEL COGONIHS RECRUITIOLUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CANE BERRONGNOTRE DAMETE★4★3
JUAN POWELLEAST CAROLINACB★3★3
ZACH COURTNEYCOLORADOTE★3★3
EVAN JUMPERFURMANOT★2★3
GENSON HOOPER-PRICENORTHWESTERNWRUNR★3
ETHAN VASKOKANSASQB★3★3
KENDALL KARRNORTH CAROLINATE★3★3
MATT ALAIMORUTGERSTE★3★3
CARLOS HATCHERTULANEEDGE★3★3
AVYONNE JONESWISCONSINCB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILLIE LAMPKINNORTH CAROLINAOL★3★3
JOSAIAH STEWARTMICHIGANDE★3★4
JACOB JENKINSLIBERTYTE★2UNR
JOSIAH ROBINSONGEORGIA STATELB★3★3
PATRICK MCSWEENEYTHE CITADELTE★3UNR
COREY WARRENGEORGIA STATEDT★3★3
BRYCE ARCHIESOUTH FLORIDAQB★3★3
AARON BEDGOODLIBERTYWR★2★2
ELIJAH HOPKINSLIBERTYCB★3UNR
TJ IVY JR.IDAHOTEUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES13%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS17%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#114NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8415COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1218 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST89% BACK89th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG89% BACK89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR60%60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST31%31th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE