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HOME›TEAMS›EASTERN MICHIGAN›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|CHRIS CREIGHTON|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
EASTERN MICHIGAN122 FPIMAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
16FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
64%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
82%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#870 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs4.8-7.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.7
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE2
PERFORMANCE2
TALENT35
CONTINUITY64
DEFENSE6
PERFORMANCE6
TALENT42
CONTINUITY82
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
25MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HHOWARD—W 33-23————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AMINNESOTA—L 6-25595353-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HMASSACHUSETTS—W 19-174566+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AJACKSONVILLE STATE—L 0-2164747-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 23-26955+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HBALL STATE—W 24-10201111+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HKENT STATE—W 28-141500+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 13-20133030-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 21-451999+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8ATOLEDO—L 23-49376161-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14HAKRON—W 30-272622+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 21ABUFFALO—W 24-1181111+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23HSOUTH ALABAMA—L 10-59426464-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB27TAL20PERF27RET92ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
AUSTIN SMITHQB SERET
★3★28485%-24FELL
3
IKE UDENGWU IIIQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3398%-54EMERGED
8
CAM'RON MCCOYQB SORET
★2—377%-49—
10
JEREMIAH SALEMQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB37TAL62PERF37RET97ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
JAYLON JACKSONRB SERET
★3★39151%+16HELD
22
SAMSON EVANSRB SERET
★3—8845%+29—
28
DONTAE MCMILLANRB SENO SNAPS
★3★3313%+31HELD
14
BRYSON MOSSRB SERET
★3★2141%-54FELL
23
ELIJAH JACKSON-ANDERSONRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
IHSON JACKSON-ANDERSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
DEION BROWNRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
JOEY MATTORDRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE26TAL36PERF27RET49ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
JERE GETZINGERTE SERET
★3—9145%-31—
24
TANNER KNUEWR SERET
UNR—9031%+6—
5
JB MITCHELL IIIWR SERET
★3—9031%-23—
1
HAMZE EL-ZAYATWR SERET
UNR—8325%+26—
88
BLAKE DANIELSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—7728%-18—
81
ANDREAS PAASKETE SERET
★3★36315%+47HELD
7
MAX REESETE SERET
★3★35711%-47HELD
7
VON SWINTONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—515%-51—
3
TERRY LOCKETT JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3—505%-54—
4
MAKHAIL WOODWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3271%—HELD
86
JOSEPH WALKER JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3★3251%—HELD
84
C.J. HORTONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—171%——
14
ISAAC SMITHWR SERET
★3—171%——
7
JAMARIEN WHEELERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—150%——
2
NICK DEVEREAUXWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
KAIDEN KEEFEWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
ADAM RAMMOUNIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
QUINN FRACASSIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
CEDRIC ANTONTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
2
OWEN MCGRAWWR SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
80
TYREE LOCKETTWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
26
TYRON BATESWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
GABE HOFFMANNTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL37TAL32PERF37RET75n=8 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL31TAL34PERF31RET93n=12 · 8 METRICS · 62 OBS
▸LB23TAL57PERF23RET94n=3 · 10 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DB37TAL46PERF37RET70n=10 · 6 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KELLEN MCDONOUGHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MESSIAH BLAIRHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
TERRANCE SAUNDERSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MAKHAIL WOODHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSEPH WALKER JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GABE HOFFMANNHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DEION BROWNHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DAIQUAN WHITEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MALIK TULLISHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CALEB DOBBSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAVON SWINTONINDIANAWRUNR★3
CHRIS MAYOWEST VIRGINIAIOL★3★3
OWEN SNIVELYCOLORADO STATEIOL★3★3
TERRY LOCKETTMICHIGAN STATEWRUNR★3
DAN SUNDERMANCENTRAL MISSOURIIOLUNR★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARCELLUS JOHNSONMISSOURIOL★4★4
DARIUS LASSITERBYUWRUNR★3
STEVEN SCHEIDTFRESNO STATELBUNRUNR
CORRY THOMAS JR.NORTHERN IOWADBUNRUNR
DARIUS BOONE JR.NORTHWESTERN STATERBUNRUNR
SIDY SOWELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
RICHARD BATES JR.ELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
JOSE RAMIREZELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
GUNNAR OAKESELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
GRANT TRUEMANELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES47%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS70%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#87NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8277COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
510 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR75%75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST70%70th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE