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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|KIRBY SMART|—RECORD12-2|CONF—
GEORGIA#6 AP 7 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
100FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
69%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
83%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#225 BC / 29
BC RATIO
76%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs10.9-2.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+16.0
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE88
PERFORMANCE88
TALENT93
CONTINUITY69
DEFENSE84
PERFORMANCE84
TALENT93
CONTINUITY83
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
69MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HMARSHALL—W 45-7363737+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HAUSTIN PEAY—W 28-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13ATENNESSEE—W 44-41898787+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HALABAMA#9L 21-24998686+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HKENTUCKY—W 35-14815151+45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AAUBURN—W 20-10917979+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HOLE MISS#3W 43-358596960BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AFLORIDA—W 24-20925454+42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 41-21835757+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HTEXAS#12W 35-10988888+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HCHARLOTTE—W 35-32211+95BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28AGEORGIA TECH—W 16-9727575+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 6AALABAMA#9W 28-7998686+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 1HOLE MISS#3L 34-398596960BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB81TAL96PERF81RET94ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
GUNNER STOCKTONQB SERET
★4—9694%+37—
12
RYAN PUGLISIQB JURET
★4—456%-18—
15
RYAN MONTGOMERYQB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
17
COLTER GINNQB JURET
★3—00%——
19
HEZEKIAH MILLENDERQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB57TAL95PERF58RET85ROTATIONn=6 · 5 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
NATE FRAZIERRB JURET
★4—8936%+6—
5
CHAUNCEY BOWENSRB JURET
★4—8226%-1—
32
CASH JONESRB SERET
★5—7016%+30—
2
JOSH MCCRAYRB SEPORTAL · ILLINOIS
★3★36110%-15HELD
20
DWIGHT PHILLIPS JR.RB JURET
★4—526%+24—
24
BO WALKERRB SONO SNAPS
★4—475%-26—
2
RODERICK ROBINSON IIRB JURET
★4—211%+33—
38
BRANDON MATHISRB JURET
UNR—60%——
26
MICAH BELLRB SEPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★4★300%—FELL
45
JACOB HARDIERB JURET
UNR—00%——
30
GANNON HEARSTRB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
WADE PENNRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE72TAL95PERF73RET68ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
OSCAR DELPTE SERET
★4—9746%+38—
1
ZACHARIAH BRANCHWR JUPORTAL · USC
★4★49127%+20HELD
7
LAWSON LUCKIETE SERET
★4—8731%+6—
86
DILLON BELLWR SERET
★3—7919%-11—
5
NOAH THOMASWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS A&M
★4★47617%+13HELD
16
LONDON HUMPHREYSWR SERET
★3★47214%+32ROSE
8
COLBIE YOUNGWR SERET
UNR★47113%+24EMERGED
10
ELYISS WILLIAMSTE SONO SNAPS
★5—6110%——
23
JADEN REDDELLTE JURET
★4—578%——
0
SACOVIE WHITE-HELTONWR JURET
★4—504%+8—
4
CJ WILEYWR SONO SNAPS
★4—423%——
9
ETHAN BARBOURTE SONO SNAPS
★4—393%——
1
TALYN TAYLORWR SONO SNAPS
★5—332%——
82
COLTON HEINRICHTE JURET
★3—291%——
8
LANDON ROLDANWR SONO SNAPS
★4—281%——
2
THOMAS BLACKSHEARWR SONO SNAPS
★4—191%——
48
COOPER JOHNSONTE JURET
UNR—90%——
11
JEREMY BELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
83
COLE SPEERWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
TYLER J. WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★400%—EMERGED
47
WILL TAYLORWR SERET
UNR—00%——
39
MILES THORNTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
42
PATRICK HESTERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
29
LUKE BENNETTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
41
DAVID LALAIANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
28
WALTER BLANCHARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
MAREK BRILEYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
46
DANNY CURRANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
HENRY DELPTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
37
BENJAMIN MCELREATHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
JACKSON ST. CLAIRWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL75TAL90PERF75RET69n=8 · 3 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL48TAL92PERF49RET60n=10 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB56TAL95PERF56RET96n=9 · 11 METRICS · 58 OBS
▸DB65TAL93PERF65RET86n=11 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJAH GRIFFINHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
ISAIAH GIBSONHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
TALYN TAYLORHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
ZAYDEN WALKERHS RECRUITLB★5UNR
ELYISS WILLIAMSHS RECRUITTE★5UNR
JUAN GASTONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CJ WILEYHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DARREN IKINNAGBONHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
CHASE LINTONHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
RYAN MONTGOMERYHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZACHARIAH BRANCHUSCWR★4★4
NOAH THOMASTEXAS A&MWR★4★4
ELO MODOZIEARMYEDGEUNR★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARSON BECKMIAMIQB★4★4
DAMON WILSON IIMISSOURIDL★5★4
JAMAAL JARRETTUSCDT★4★4
ANTHONY EVANS IIIMISSISSIPPI STATEWR★4★3
BRANSON ROBINSONGEORGIA STATERB★4★3
NITRO TUGGLEPURDUEWR★4★3
JUSTYN RHETTNEBRASKAS★4★3
CHRIS PEALSYRACUSEDB★4★3
SAM M'PEMBATEXAS A&MDE★4★3
TROY BOWLESMICHIGANLB★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES54%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS51%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#2NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
25OF 29 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9258COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1020 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST39% BACK39th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG39% BACK39th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR69%69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR94%94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST86%86th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE