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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
ACC|BRENT KEY|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
GEORGIA TECH38 FPIACC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
67FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
73%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-21IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#333 BC / 23
BC RATIO
17%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.1-4.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE77
PERFORMANCE77
TALENT73
CONTINUITY73
DEFENSE73
PERFORMANCE73
TALENT67
CONTINUITY67
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 24HFLORIDA STATE—W 24-21913838+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1AUG 31HGEORGIA STATE—W 35-123488+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7ASYRACUSE#20L 28-31666666-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HVMI—W 59-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21ALOUISVILLE—L 19-31748585-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HDUKE—W 24-14506868-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ANORTH CAROLINA—W 41-34856464-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HNOTRE DAME#2L 13-31939595-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AVIRGINIA TECH—L 6-21637878-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HMIAMI#18W 28-23919393-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 21HNC STATE—W 30-29725959-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AGEORGIA#6L 42-44999696-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27AVANDERBILT—L 27-35646262-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB81TAL56PERF81RET82ONE OWNERn=3 · 7 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
HAYNES KINGQB SERET
★4★37664%+16FELL
12
AARON PHILOQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★35818%+13HELD
8
ZACH PYRONQB JURET
★4★35818%-33FELL
16
BRODY RHODESQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
GRAHAM KNOWLESQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
BEN GUTHRIEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB48TAL56PERF48RET86ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JAMAL HAYNESRB SERET
★3—9663%+22—
11
CHAD ALEXANDERRB SERET
★2—7221%+19—
1
ANTHONY CARRIERB SONO SNAPS
★4★3559%-19FELL
1
TRELAIN MADDOXRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—425%-25—
22
TREY COOLEYRB SERET
★4★3252%+7FELL
5
DAYLON GORDONRB SERET
UNR—50%——
23
EVAN DICKENSRB JURET
★3★300%-29HELD
▾WR/TE77TAL69PERF75RET57ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
JACKSON HAWESTE SEPORTAL · YALE
★3★39051%+31HELD
2
ERIC SINGLETON JR.WR SERET
★3★48927%+32ROSE
7
CHASE LANEWR SERET
★3★38826%-13HELD
8
MALIK RUTHERFORDWR SERET
★3★38524%+25HELD
86
RYLAND GOEDETE SEPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★4★36721%-38FELL
3
BAILEY STOCKTONWR SERET
★3★3607%+32HELD
9
AVERY BOYDWR SERET
★3—5915%+23—
4
ABDUL JANNEH JR.WR SERET
UNR—597%+12—
17
JOSH BEETHAMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—5311%——
6
ISIAH CANIONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★4514%—HELD
15
LUKE HARPRINGTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3302%—HELD
3
LEO BLACKBURNWR SERET
★4★3301%-41FELL
1
CHRISTIAN LEARYWR SERET
★4★3291%+14FELL
17
ZION TAYLORWR JURET
★3★3231%—HELD
89
CHRIS ELKOWR SERET
UNR—110%——
37
JOSEPH MOSELEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
BRETT SEITHERTE SERET
★3★300%-17HELD
82
JACKSON LONGTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
23
TREY HORNEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
86
DAVID PRINCETE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
25
NICK BLISSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
29
JUDSON PETTYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
BLAKE RAGSDALETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
TRENT DAVISWR JURET
★3—00%——
▸OL79TAL77PERF79RET72n=7 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL57TAL58PERF57RET72n=8 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB61TAL78PERF61RET46n=6 · 11 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB60TAL67PERF60RET74n=9 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISIAH CANIONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ANTHONY CARRIEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
TROY STEVENSON IVHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
LUKE HARPRINGHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
KAI GREERHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
GRAHAM KNOWLESHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
AMONTRAE BRADFORDHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JAMESON RIGGSHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
TREY HORNEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JORDAN BOYDHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROMELLO HEIGHTUSCEDGE★4★3
JORDAN VAN DEN BERGPENN STATEDLUNR★3
KEYLAN RUTLEDGEMIDDLE TENNESSEEIOL★3★3
SYEED GIBBSRHODE ISLANDCBUNR★3
EJ LIGHTSEYGEORGIALBUNR★3
THOMAS GOREMIAMIDL★2★3
RYLAND GOEDEMISSISSIPPI STATETE★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT29 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
K.J. WALLACEUCLADB★4★3
D'QUAN DOUSEMICHIGAN STATEDL★3★3
KYLE KENNARDSOUTH CAROLINAEDGE★3★4
KENAN JOHNSONUTAHDB★3★3
EDDIE KELLY JR.MISSOURIDL★3★3
JAKIAH LEFTWICHNORTH CAROLINAOL★3★3
NOAH COLLINSARKANSAS STATEDE★3★3
KENYATTA WATSON IIGEORGIA STATES★4★3
ETINOSA REUBENMASSACHUSETTSDL★3★3
SIRAD BRYANTUABS★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES21%1 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS24%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#33NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8739COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1233 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR72%72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR82%82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST74%74th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE