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HOME›TEAMS›KANSAS STATE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG 12|CHRIS KLIEMAN|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
KANSAS STATE#18 AP 12 FPIB12 · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
51FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
85%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
68%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#333 BC / 23
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs9.6-2.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+16.7
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE84
PERFORMANCE84
TALENT63
CONTINUITY85
DEFENSE81
PERFORMANCE81
TALENT62
CONTINUITY68
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE—W 45-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HTROY—W 42-13278181+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AMISSOURI#8L 27-30839393-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HUCF—W 44-31625858+32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AOKLAHOMA STATE#16L 21-29606969+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ATEXAS TECH—W 38-21726868+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HTCU—W 41-3877474+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HHOUSTON—W 41-0652929+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ATEXAS#3L 30-33969696-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HBAYLOR—W 59-25672727+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AKANSAS#23W 31-27558282+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HIOWA STATE—L 35-42577272+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28HNC STATE#21W 28-19737171+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB63TAL96PERF63RET84ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
WILL HOWARDQB SERET
★3★48784%-1ROSE
2
AVERY JOHNSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4—5416%-6—
2
JAKE RUBLEYQB SORET
★4★300%—FELL
17
ADRYAN LARAQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
7
JACOB KNUTHQB SEPORTAL · MINNESOTA
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB73TAL85PERF73RET67ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
31
DJ GIDDENSRB JURET
UNR—9963%+23—
TRESHAUN WARDRB SEPORTAL · FLORIDA STATE
★3★38632%+27HELD
22
ANTHONY FRIAS IIRB SERET
UNR—393%-57—
0
LA'JAMES WHITERB SERET
UNR—191%——
4
JOE JACKSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—171%——
39
JORDAN SCHIPPERSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
EVAN CANTURB SORET
UNR—00%——
20
TREY ENGRAMRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE67TAL63PERF62RET71ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
BEN SINNOTTTE JURET
UNR—9953%+34—
8
PHILLIP BROOKSWR SERET
UNR—9330%+3—
83
WILL SWANSONTE SERET
★3—8025%-17—
6
KEAGAN JOHNSONWR SEPORTAL · IOWA
★4★37819%-16FELL
JADON JACKSONWR SERET
★3—7819%+8—
86
GARRETT OAKLEYTE SERET
★3—7320%+28—
1
JAYCE BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
★3★47015%+32ROSE
6
RJ GARCIA IIWR SERET
★3★3619%-14HELD
16
SETH PORTERWR SERET
UNR—504%-49—
XAVIER LOYDWR SERET
UNR★3311%—EMERGED
12
TRE SPIVEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3241%—HELD
44
CHRISTIAN MOORETE SERET
★3★3191%—HELD
8
TY BOWMANWR SERET
UNR—171%——
85
BRAYDEN LOFTINTE SERET
★3★3141%—HELD
89
ERIK PIZARROWR SERET
UNR—60%——
27
JAKE HUGGINSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
33
TYSON STRUBERWR SORET
★3—00%——
28
SHANE PORTERWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
37
ANDREW SONNERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
6
STERLING LOCKETTWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
WILL ANCIAUXTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
ANDREW METZGERTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
ERWIN NASHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
84
ISAAC KOCHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
GARRETT HARSTADTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
WESLEY WATSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL63TAL52PERF63RET99n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL56TAL56PERF56RET87n=9 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB64TAL49PERF64RET84n=7 · 11 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB59TAL70PERF59RET48n=9 · 6 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AVERY JOHNSONHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
ASA NEWSOMHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JORDAN ALLENHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
DONOVAN MCINTOSHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JOE JACKSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TRE SPIVEY IIIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANDRE DAVISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KANIJAL THOMASHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WESLEY FAIRHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
COLLIN DUNNHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRESHAUN WARDFLORIDA STATERB★3★4
KEAGAN JOHNSONIOWAWR★4★4
MARQUES SIGLENORTH DAKOTA STATECBUNR★3
JEVON BANKSMISSISSIPPI STATEDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TJ SMITHGEORGIA SOUTHERNDB★3★3
OMAR DANIELSGEORGIA TECHDB★3★3
GAVIN FORSHASOUTH ALABAMALBUNR★3
JOSH HAYESELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
JULIUS BRENTSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EKOW BOYE-DOEELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
DRAKE CHEATUMELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
ELI HUGGINSELIGIBILITY UPG★3—
KADE WARNERELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
MALIK KNOWLESELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES75%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS60%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#33NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8649COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
615 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST37% BACK37th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG37% BACK37th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR84%84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST48%48th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE