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HOME›TEAMS›KANSAS STATE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG 12|CHRIS KLIEMAN|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
KANSAS STATE38 FPIB12 · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
69%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#352 BC / 25
BC RATIO
14%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.7-5.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE81
PERFORMANCE81
TALENT65
CONTINUITY69
DEFENSE77
PERFORMANCE77
TALENT60
CONTINUITY80
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 23HIOWA STATE—L 21-24497676-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1AUG 30HNORTH DAKOTA—W 38-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6HARMY—L 21-2414646+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 12AARIZONA—L 17-23528080-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HUCF—W 34-20694444+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4ABAYLOR—L 34-35754848+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HTCU#25W 41-28777373-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AKANSAS—W 42-17665757+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HTEXAS TECH#7L 20-43809999-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AOKLAHOMA STATE—W 14-6651111+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AUTAH#14L 47-51699595-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HCOLORADO—W 24-14793030+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB52TAL96PERF52RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
AVERY JOHNSONQB SERET
★4—86100%-6—
7
JACOB KNUTHQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
BLAKE BARNETTQB JURET
★3—00%——
10
DILLON DUFFQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
HUDSON HUTCHESONQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB38TAL70PERF38RET90ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
JOE JACKSONRB SERET
★3—9667%+9—
1
DYLAN EDWARDSRB JURET
★4★35912%+22FELL
1
DEVON RICERB SORET
★3★35811%-21HELD
8
ANTONIO MARTINRB SEPORTAL · UL MONROE
★4★3476%+33FELL
24
JB PRICERB FRRET
★3★3343%—HELD
31
MONTERRIO ELSTON JR.RB SONO SNAPS
★3—111%——
▾WR/TE52TAL61PERF52RET60ROTATIONn=10 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
JARON TIBBSWR SEPORTAL · PURDUE
★3★39338%-4HELD
86
GARRETT OAKLEYTE SERET
★3—8935%+17—
1
JAYCE BROWNWR SERET
★3★48228%+32ROSE
80
WILL ANCIAUXTE SERET
★3—7925%-26—
83
WILL SWANSONTE SERET
★3—7017%+23—
5
JERAND BRADLEYWR SEPORTAL · BOSTON COLLEGE
★3★36412%+13HELD
85
BRAYDEN LOFTINTE SERET
★3★36311%0HELD
0
LINKON CURETE SONO SNAPS
★4—6311%-49—
17
ADONIS MOISEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—619%-55—
6
STERLING LOCKETTWR SERET
★3—577%-57—
84
ISAAC KOCHWR SERET
UNR—495%——
13
JEMYRI DAVISWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3241%—EMERGED
86
ANDREW METZGERTE SORET
★3★390%—HELD
88
CALEB MEDFORDWR SEPORTAL · NEW MEXICO
★3★300%+31HELD
19
GARRETT HARSTADWR SORET
UNR—00%——
27
BEN WHEELERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
82
JUSTIN STEPHENSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
CALLEN BARTAWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
9
JACQUES SPRADLEY-DEMPSWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
21
BRYCE NOERNBERGWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
85
LARRY PORTER IVWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL49TAL61PERF50RET74n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL57TAL64PERF57RET100n=8 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB66TAL62PERF66RET88n=5 · 11 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸DB59TAL58PERF59RET68n=10 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LINKON CUREHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
NOAH KINGHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
LOGAN BARTLEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BROCK HEATHHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
WESTON POLKHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
WILL KEMNAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
LARRY PORTER IVHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ADONIS MOISEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RJ COLLINSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
SERIOUS STINYARDHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYSHAWN ROSSALABAMAEDGE★4★3
JB NELSONPENN STATEIOLUNR★3
AMARION FORTENBERRYSOUTH ALABAMACB★3★3
JERAND BRADLEYBOSTON COLLEGEWR★3★3
CALEB MEDFORDNEW MEXICOWR★3★3
GEORGE FITZPATRICKOHIO STATEOT★4★3
GABE POWERSOHIO STATELB★4★3
GUNNER MALDONADOARIZONAS★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT34 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARVER WILLISWASHINGTONOL★3★3
KEAGAN JOHNSONNEW MEXICOWR★4★3
NICKENDRE STIGEROLD DOMINIONSUNR★3
TRE SPIVEYARIZONAWR★3★3
JORDAN DUNBARMISSOURI STATECB★3★3
TERRY KIRKSEY JR.ARKANSAS STATELBUNR★3
TREY KRAUSEBRYANTDBUNR★2
TA'QUAN ROBERSONBUFFALOQB★4★3
KAM SALLISJACKSON STATEDB★3★3
DANTE THOMASCOASTAL CAROLINASUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES48%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS45%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#35NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8676COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1626 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR74%74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST68%68th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE