SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MASSACHUSETTS›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|DON BROWN|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
MASSACHUSETTS130 FPIMAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
12FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
13%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1170 BC / 12
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-11ACTUALvs1.2-10.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-18.6
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE2
PERFORMANCE2
TALENT30
CONTINUITY13
DEFENSE25
PERFORMANCE25
TALENT40
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ATULANE#9L 10-42477979-79BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10ATOLEDO—L 10-55433838-38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HSTONY BROOK—W 20-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24ATEMPLE—L 0-28452020-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 13-20203131-31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HLIBERTY—L 24-4264444-44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HBUFFALO—L 7-34162626-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HNEW MEXICO STATE—L 13-2371212-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AUCONN—L 10-2791515-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AARKANSAS STATE—L 33-35371919-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ATEXAS A&M—L 3-20987272-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HARMY—L 7-4414444-44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB41TAL16PERF42RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 7 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
BRADY OLSONQB SERET
★3★26778%-50FELL
9
GARRETT DZUROQB SORET
★2—4522%-31—
15
CHASE BREWSTERQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB31TAL38PERF31RET75ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
ELLIS MERRIWEATHERRB SERET
★2—8952%-17—
15
KAY'RON LYNCH-ADAMSRB SERET
★3★36823%-48HELD
13
GREG DESROSIERS JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR★36016%-9EMERGED
24
TIM BALDWIN JR.RB SONO SNAPS
★3—488%-6—
28
CYRUS BONSURB SORET
UNR—00%——
49
CHARLES PAYSONFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
DONTA WHACKRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE37TAL47PERF39RET61ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 36 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
JOSIAH JOHNSONTE SERET
★3★39153%-29HELD
7
GEORGE JOHNSON IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★3★38128%+13HELD
18
CAMERON SULLIVAN-BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—7726%+2—
1
ISAAC ROSSWR SERET
UNR—6818%-21—
14
JARET PALLOTTATE SERET
★3—6722%——
81
JAKE ORLANDOTE SERET
★3—6320%——
4
JACQUON GIBSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★36011%-49ROSE
12
RICO ARNOLDWR SERET
★2★2506%+25HELD
11
ONUMA DIEKEWR SORET
★3★3475%-57HELD
84
ISAIAH HOLINESSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—383%-56—
ENI FALAYITE SENO SNAPS
★3★3364%—HELD
1
JERMAINE JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR★3332%-59EMERGED
2
T.Y. HARDINGWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—221%——
6
ZAMAR WISEWR SORET
★3—100%——
25
JACKSON MANNINGTE JURET
★3★340%—HELD
8
JAMIR ROBERTSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
27
CARTER SCUDOWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
R.J. BRANDONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
GINO CAMPIOTTITE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
MELVIN HILLWR SERET
★2—00%——
13
DELVIN ATTAFAHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
11
MICHAEL FITZGERALDWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
82
JASON WEIRTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
ANDREW DEBSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
MAGNUS VON SALDERNTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
DALLAS ELLIOTTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL41TAL23PERF41RET33n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL52TAL34PERF52RET53n=9 · 7 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB61TAL20PERF61RET40n=6 · 10 METRICS · 27 OBS
▸DB39TAL51PERF39RET71n=9 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CORNELIUS WRIGHTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DERRIEON CRAIGHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JEREMIAH MCGILLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DONTA WHACKHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHASE BREWSTERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
KOFI ASAREHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DONOVAN TURNERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAYLEN MURPHYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JACQUON GIBSONHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
TYLER LEINBERGERHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAISHAN HOLMESNORTHWESTERNDL★3UNR
GEORGE GEORGOPOULOSMISSISSIPPI STATEP★2UNR
EVAN DECKERSELIGIBILITY UPLS★2—
AVIEN PEAHELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
TAYLOR EDWARDSELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
ERIC COLLINSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TYLER LYTLEELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
CODY JONESNOT LISTEDS★3—
BRYCE WATTSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
BRYSON RICHARDSONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#117NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8099COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR33%33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST71%71th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE