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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|RYAN SILVERFIELD|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
MEMPHIS#24 AP 62 FPIAAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
48FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
66%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
44%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#681 BC / 16
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs8.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.4
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE64
PERFORMANCE64
TALENT57
CONTINUITY66
DEFENSE35
PERFORMANCE35
TALENT44
CONTINUITY44
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HNORTH ALABAMA—W 40-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HTROY—W 38-17182929+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AFLORIDA STATE—W 20-12913838+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ANAVY—L 44-5615858+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 24-71922+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 21-3504141+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HNORTH TEXAS—W 52-44433434+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HCHARLOTTE—W 33-28531212+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AUTSA—L 36-44525353+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HRICE—W 27-20281919+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HUAB—W 53-18402020+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28ATULANE—W 34-24556868+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17AWEST VIRGINIA—W 42-37615252+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB67TAL52PERF67RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
SETH HENIGANQB SERET
★3—98100%+23—
14
HARRIS BOYDQB FRRET
★3★200%—FELL
5
ARRINGTON MAIDENQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
CADE CUNNINGHAMQB SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
17
MATT DEANQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB69TAL60PERF69RET43COMMITTEEn=3 · 9 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
GREG DESROSIERS JR.RB SEPORTAL · MASSACHUSETTS
UNR★36915%+30EMERGED
22
BRANDON THOMASRB SERET
★3—6412%+18—
21
MAKARI BODIFORDRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3343%+36HELD
5
SUTTON SMITHRB SERET
★3★3181%+6HELD
2
MARIO ANDERSONRB SEPORTAL · SOUTH CAROLINA
★3★300%+10HELD
28
KHYAIR SPAINRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
27
MARIO ROBINSONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE47TAL58PERF47RET93ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
KOBY DRAKEWR SERET
UNR—9827%-17—
3
ROC TAYLORWR SERET
★3—9726%+31—
DEMEER BLANKUMSEEWR SERET
★3★39726%+19HELD
82
ANTHONY LANDPHERETE SERET
★3—9348%-3—
80
BRENDAN DOYLETE SERET
UNR★38838%-22EMERGED
4
JYAIRE SHORTERWR SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★3★3657%+36HELD
33
JAMAURI CHISLOMTE SERET
UNR★36013%—EMERGED
6
MARCELLO BUSSEYWR SERET
UNR—585%-8—
9
JAMARI HAWKINSWR SERET
★3★3564%-62HELD
12
BRADY KLUSEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—422%——
10
JA'KOBY BANKSWR SOPORTAL · HOUSTON
★3★3321%—HELD
15
CHRISTIAN ROSSTE JURET
★3★390%—HELD
14
TYSON EDWARDSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
10
KEONDE HENRYWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
27
JORDAN BELLWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
JUSTIN HUGHESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
45
ANDREW MARTINTE FRRET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
8
BRYCE DORSEYWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
MARKESE WILLIAMSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
84
HUNTER HALEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
DARIEN BELLTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
LUKE LOGANTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
TIMOTHY TONEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
▸OL59TAL55PERF59RET50n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL48TAL50PERF48RET37n=11 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB59TAL32PERF59RET42n=4 · 11 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸DB46TAL47PERF47RET51n=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS7 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEONDE HENRYHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CHALIL CUMMINGSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KOBE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ARRINGTON MAIDENHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JALEN CHARLESHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KAVION BENTONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MAKARI BODIFORDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN18 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAHJ RA-ELOLD DOMINIONSUNR★3
ELIJAH HERRINGTENNESSEELB★3★3
MARIO ANDERSONSOUTH CAROLINARB★3★3
KOBEE MINORINDIANACB★3★3
JAIDYN DENISELONCB★3★3
GREG DESROSIERS JR.MASSACHUSETTSRBUNR★3
TRENT HOLLERMARSHALLIOL★3★3
AJ WATTSUL MONROES★2★3
DEVIN BALDWINJACKSONVILLE STATEDL★3★3
JAYDEN FLAKERNORTH CAROLINA CENTRALLBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVION CARTERTEXAS TECHOL★3★3
DEAGO BRUMFIELDMISSISSIPPI STATECBUNR★3
CAM SMITHTCUS★3UNR
JAYLEN JOHNSONOHIOS★3UNR
ZY BROCKINGTONAKRONDL★3★3
AUSTIN SMITHSAM HOUSTONTE★3★3
JAY DUCKERSAM HOUSTONRB★3★3
KE'TRAVION HARGROVEGRAMBLINGRB★4★4
SPENCER RICHUTAH TECHLBUNRUNR
TEVIN CARTERTENNESSEE STATEQB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES51%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS34%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#68NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8516COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3024 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR50%50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST51%51th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE