SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MICHIGAN›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|JIM HARBAUGH|—RECORD13-1|CONF—
MICHIGAN#3 AP 4 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
18%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#910 BC / 27
BC RATIO
49%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
13-0ACTUALvs12.1-0.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+26.7
13 wins against a scoring profile describing 12.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE87
PERFORMANCE87
TALENT76
CONTINUITY18
DEFENSE83
PERFORMANCE83
TALENT83
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HCOLORADO STATE—W 51-72755+94BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HHAWAI'I—W 56-102622+97BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HUCONN—W 59-091515+84BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HMARYLAND—W 34-27737676+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AIOWA—W 27-14748080+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AINDIANA—W 31-10743131+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HPENN STATE#7W 41-17909595+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HMICHIGAN STATE—W 29-7764949+50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ARUTGERS—W 52-17612727+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HNEBRASKA—W 34-3834646+53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HILLINOIS—W 19-17608888+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AOHIO STATE#4W 45-23999898+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3HPURDUE—W 43-22646565+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31HTCU#2L 45-51779696+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB76TAL95PERF76RET97ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
J.J. MCCARTHYQB JURET
★5—8288%+24—
11
CADE MCNAMARAQB SERET
★4★4367%+13HELD
8
DAVIS WARRENQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★3213%—EMERGED
7
ALAN BOWMANQB SERET
★3★3132%+34HELD
20
ANDY MADDOXQB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
ALEX ORJIQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
JAYDEN DENEGALQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
DECLAN BYLEQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾RB58TAL90PERF58RET91ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
BLAKE CORUMRB SERET
★4—9546%+24—
7
DONOVAN EDWARDSRB SERET
★4—8934%+25—
23
CJ STOKESRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3589%-3HELD
41
ISAIAH GASHRB JURET
UNR—444%+14—
21
TAVIERRE DUNLAPRB SERET
★3★3424%+27HELD
20
KALEL MULLINGSRB SERET
★4—302%+32—
37
DANNY HUGHESRB SERET
UNR—191%——
34
LEON FRANKLINRB SERET
UNR—171%-48—
49
HENRY DONOHUERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
▾WR/TE65TAL73PERF65RET72ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
LUKE SCHOONMAKERTE SERET
★3—9334%+43—
8
RONNIE BELLWR SERET
★3—9032%+32—
18
COLSTON LOVELANDTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—8826%-6—
6
CORNELIUS JOHNSONWR SERET
★4—8830%+16—
84
JOEL HONIGFORDTE SERET
★3—7116%——
1
ROMAN WILSONWR SERET
★4—7017%+17—
44
MAX BREDESONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—6512%——
1
ANDREL ANTHONYWR SERET
★3★36211%-49HELD
8
A.J. HENNINGWR SERET
★4★3505%-33FELL
83
ERICK ALLTE SERET
★4★4454%-45HELD
88
MATTHEW HIBNERTE SERET
★4★3454%—FELL
4
DARRIUS CLEMONSWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3392%—FELL
8
TYLER MORRISWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3342%—FELL
17
AMORION WALKERWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3312%—HELD
89
CARTER SELZERTE SERET
UNR—251%——
17
MARLIN KLEINTE SENO SNAPS
★3—201%——
81
PEYTON O'LEARYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—171%——
80
HUNTER NEFFTE SERET
UNR—130%——
81
LOUIS HANSENTE SENO SNAPS
★4★4100%—HELD
85
CRISTIAN DIXONWR JURET
★4★3100%—FELL
39
JOE TAYLORWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
NOAH HOWESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
JOSH BEETHAMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
EAMONN DENNISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
46
BRANDON MANNTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
ZACH PETERSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
MATHEW HARRISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
JAKE THAWWR SERET
UNR—00%——
27
CHRISTIAN BARTHOLOMEWWR SERET
UNR—00%——
30
WILL ROLAPPWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
SAM STARUCHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
LOGAN FORBESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
BRYCE WILCOXWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL76TAL73PERF76RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL63TAL88PERF63RET67n=12 · 7 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB56TAL83PERF56RET92n=6 · 11 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸DB52TAL80PERF52RET86n=6 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILL JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
DERRICK MOOREHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
KEON SABBHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TYLER MORRISHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DARRIUS CLEMONSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ZEKE BERRYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JIMMY ROLDERHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
MASON GRAHAMHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
COLSTON LOVELANDHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
KODY JONESHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAN VILLARISYRACUSETE★3UNR
JORDAN MORANTMISSISSIPPI STATES★4UNR
GEORGE JOHNSON IIIMASSACHUSETTSWR★3★3
DONOVAN JETERELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
BRAD HAWKINSELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
JOSH ROSSELIGIBILITY UPLB★4—
JESS SPEIGHTELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JOEY GEORGEELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
DAYLEN BALDWINELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
HASSAN HASKINSNOT LISTEDRB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#9NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
10OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8873COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST74% BACK74th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG74% BACK74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST86%86th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE