SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MIDDLE TENNESSEE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|DEREK MASON|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
MIDDLE TENNESSEE128 FPICUSA · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
19FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
54%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
56%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-18IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1190 BC / 18
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs2.2-9.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-16.2
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE11
PERFORMANCE11
TALENT35
CONTINUITY54
DEFENSE0
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT42
CONTINUITY56
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HTENNESSEE TECH—W 32-25————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AOLE MISS#11L 3-52869999-97BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 21-49234242-40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HDUKE—L 17-45506868-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AMEMPHIS#24L 7-24487777-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 10ALOUISIANA TECH—L 21-48261818-16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 15HKENNESAW STATE—W 14-55220BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 23AJACKSONVILLE STATE—L 20-4284545-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AUTEP—W 20-131233-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HLIBERTY—L 17-37374747-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HNEW MEXICO STATE—L 21-36777-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 24-35201717-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB38TAL43PERF38RET98ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
NICHOLAS VATTIATOQB SERET
★3—9698%+31—
16
ROMAN GAGLIANOQB SONO SNAPS
★3—232%——
18
STONE FROSTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
LUTHER RICHESSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB38TAL49PERF38RET99ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
JAIDEN CREDLERB JURET
★3★28745%-30FELL
21
JEKAIL MIDDLEBROOKRB SERET
UNR★37829%+1EMERGED
4
TERRY WILKINSRB SERET
★2★27020%0HELD
22
FRANK PEASANTRB SERET
★3★3395%-9HELD
26
JAYCE GARDNERRB SERET
UNR—141%——
0
BRIAN BREWTONRB SEPORTAL · UCONN
★3★350%-10HELD
48
NASH STIDHAMFB SORET
UNR—00%——
31
AUSTIN CLEMONSRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE56TAL50PERF42RET38ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
HOLDEN WILLISTE SERET
★3★39562%+38HELD
5
MYLES BUTLERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—9326%-7—
1
OMARI KELLYWR SEPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★39226%+26FELL
3
CAM'RON LACYWR JURET
★3—7515%-39—
17
GAMARION CARTERWR SEPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★3★36811%+3HELD
13
JAVONTE SHERMANWR JURET
★3★3628%-49HELD
9
HAYES SUTTONWR SEPORTAL · DUKE
UNR—607%-6—
39
EVAN POTICHERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—5714%——
KELLEN STEWARTWR SERET
UNR—575%-61—
81
TAHARIN SUDDERTHTE SERET
UNR★3467%-41EMERGED
41
SLADE ALEXANDERTE JURET
UNR—457%——
88
JACOB COLEMANTE JURET
★3★3446%—HELD
17
ETHAN CRITEWR SORET
★3★3412%—HELD
80
RYAN HOERSTKAMPTE SEPORTAL · MISSOURI
★3★3323%—HELD
81
MITCHELL HOWELLWR SERET
UNR—231%——
89
DANIEL GONZALEZTE SERET
UNR—171%——
10
JOSH EVANSWR FRTRUE FR
★3★3150%—HELD
86
BRODY BENKETE SONO SNAPS
★3—70%——
87
ELIJAH EALEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
SAM DRIGGERSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
TYSON RESPERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
27
CALEB DOCHNAHLWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
CHRISTOPHER KAUPWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
BOBBY COUNCILTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
46
SAWYER LOVVORNTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL26TAL25PERF26RET58n=8 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL32TAL40PERF32RET62n=9 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸LB27TAL41PERF27RET71n=7 · 11 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB34TAL42PERF34RET44n=13 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROMAN GAGLIANOHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
AUSTIN CLEMONSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOSH EVANSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KEDRICK BURLEYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ZEION SIMPSON-SMITHHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
MALIK LOVEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
AIDAN BUTTSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
AMARRIEN BAILEYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JORDAN BEASLEYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TIYYAN ROBINSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
OMARI KELLYAUBURNWR★4★3
JAMES MONDS IIIINDIANACB★3★3
GAMARION CARTERVANDERBILTWR★3★3
FELIX HIXONSOUTH CAROLINADL★3★3
BRIAN BREWTONUCONNRB★3★3
XAVIER WILLIAMSUCFQBUNR★3
BRENDON HARRISWAKE FORESTS★4★3
ELLIS ADAMSTENNESSEE TECHIOLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKOBE THOMASTENNESSEEDB★3★3
KEYLAN RUTLEDGEGEORGIA TECHOL★3★3
STERLING PORCHERTEXAS TECHOLUNR★3
MARLEY COOKMIAMIDL★3★4
QUINDARIUS DUNNIGANMICHIGAN STATEDL★2★3
SAM BRUMFIELDVIRGINIA TECHLBUNR★3
ELIJAH METCALFMARSHALLWR★3★3
RICHARD KINLEYLOUISVILLEDL★3UNR
ZAYLIN WOODVANDERBILTDL★3★3
JUSTIN OLSONCHARLOTTEWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES8%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS60%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#119NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8214COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1230 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
27TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
6
10
5
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +8 W
IMPROVED9 OF 27
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST80% BACK80th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG80% BACK80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR58%58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST44%44th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE