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HOME›TEAMS›NEBRASKA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG TEN|MATT RHULE|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
NEBRASKA60 FPIB1G · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
43%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-15IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#254 BC / 32
BC RATIO
28%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.9-6.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE18
PERFORMANCE18
TALENT67
CONTINUITY43
DEFENSE64
PERFORMANCE64
TALENT73
CONTINUITY75
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AMINNESOTA—L 10-13595353-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9ACOLORADO—L 14-36753939+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 35-11133030+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HLOUISIANA TECH—W 28-14241616+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HMICHIGAN#1L 7-4591100100-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AILLINOIS—W 20-7554444+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HNORTHWESTERN—W 17-9634848+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HPURDUE—W 31-14663232+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AMICHIGAN STATE—L 17-20813434+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HMARYLAND—L 10-13698585-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AWISCONSIN—L 17-24797878-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HIOWA#24L 10-13716666-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL64PERF53RET56ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
CHUBBA PURDYQB SERET
★4★45556%-45HELD
2
JEFF SIMSQB SEPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
★4★34944%-14FELL
17
JACK WOCHEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
LUKE LONGVALQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB45TAL45PERF45RET56ROTATIONn=3 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
EMMETT JOHNSONRB JURET
★3★38139%-17HELD
23
ANTHONY GRANTRB SERET
UNR—7532%-39—
22
GABE ERVIN JR.RB JURET
★3★35713%-16HELD
14
RAHMIR JOHNSONRB SERET
★3—457%-33—
35
TREVIN LUBENRB SORET
UNR—91%——
33
MAURICE MAZZCCUARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
BARRET LIEBENTRITTFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
COLE BALLARDRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
34
ISAIAH HARRISRB SORET
★3—00%——
45
BRADEN KLOVERFB SORET
UNR—00%——
28
KWINTEN IVESRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
TREVOR RUTHFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
LANDON TERNUSFB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
25
KENNETH WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾WR/TE38TAL69PERF37RET49ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
THOMAS FIDONE IITE JURET
★4—8849%-11—
84
ALEX BULLOCKWR SERET
UNR—7828%+23—
87
NATE BOERKIRCHERTE SERET
UNR★37230%-23EMERGED
1
BILLY KEMP IVWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7223%-18—
16
MALACHI COLEMANWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★36517%-39FELL
44
LUKE LINDENMEYERTE SERET
UNR—6421%——
16
MARCUS WASHINGTONWR SERET
★4★36114%+21FELL
19
JAYLEN LLOYDWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3559%+35HELD
11
JOSHUA FLEEKSWR SENO SNAPS
★4—509%-47—
17
TY HAHNWR SORET
UNR—404%——
4
JANIRAN BONNERWR SERET
★4—363%——
86
AJ ROLLINSTE JURET
★3★3311%—HELD
2
ISAIAH GARCIA-CASTANEDAWR SEPORTAL · NEBRASKA
UNR★2302%+15EMERGED
46
JOHN GOODWINTE JURET
UNR—80%——
87
JAKE APPLEGETTE SERET
★3★350%—HELD
10
HEINRICH HAARBERGTE SERET
★3—50%——
19
JAIDYN DOSSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
ARIK GILBERTTE SOPORTAL · GEORGIA
★5★300%—FELL
41
ELLIOTT BROWNWR JURET
★4—00%——
5
BARRON MILESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
47
CADEN BECKERTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
39
TAVEON THOMPSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
11
DEMITRIUS BELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
COOPER HAUSMANNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
26
ROMAN MANGINIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
BRICE TURNERWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
ISMAEL SMITH FLORESTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
25
JEREMIAH CHARLESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
48
CAYDEN ECHTERNACHTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL45TAL71PERF45RET56n=8 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL51TAL85PERF51RET62n=10 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB41TAL79PERF41RET66n=7 · 11 METRICS · 61 OBS
▸DB51TAL62PERF51RET97n=9 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALACHI COLEMANHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
PRINCEWILL UMANMIELENHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
CAMERON LENHARDTHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
RILEY VAN POPPELHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
DEMITRIUS BELLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ETHAN NATIONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAIDYN DOSSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GUNNAR GOTTULAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
RAHMIR STEWARTHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MAVERICK NOONANHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ARIK GILBERTGEORGIATE★5★4
MJ SHERMANGEORGIAEDGE★4★4
JEFF SIMSGEORGIA TECHQB★4★4
COREY COLLIERFLORIDACBUNR★3
BILLY KEMPVIRGINIAWRUNR★3
ELIJAH JEUDYTEXAS A&MDL★4★3
JACOB HOODGEORGIAOT★4★3
BEN SCOTTARIZONA STATEOT★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT36 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MYLES FARMERSYRACUSEDB★3★3
ERNEST HAUSMANNMICHIGANLB★3★4
CASEY THOMPSONFLORIDA ATLANTICQB★4★3
STEPHON WYNN JR.OLE MISSDT★4UNR
ALANTE BROWNMICHIGAN STATEWRUNR★4
MOSAI NEWSOMSOUTH DAKOTADL★3★3
BRAXTON CLARKSOUTH FLORIDACB★3★3
AJAY ALLENMIAMIRB★3★4
BRANT BANKSRICEOL★3★3
KEVIN WILLIAMSCHARLOTTEOLUNR★2
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES31%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS70%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#25NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 32 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8679COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1227 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR56%56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR56%56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST97%97th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE