SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH CAROLINA›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
ACC|MACK BROWN|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
NORTH CAROLINA26 FPIACC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
88FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
78%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
69%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#306 BC / 22
BC RATIO
39%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE91
PERFORMANCE91
TALENT79
CONTINUITY78
DEFENSE61
PERFORMANCE61
TALENT78
CONTINUITY69
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 31-17856262+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HAPP STATE—W 40-34396161+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HMINNESOTA—W 31-13595353+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23APITTSBURGH—W 41-24723232+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HSYRACUSE—W 40-7504040+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HMIAMI—W 41-31928080-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HVIRGINIA—L 27-31532121+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AGEORGIA TECH—L 42-46745151+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HCAMPBELL—W 59-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
11NOV 11HDUKE—W 47-45527878-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ACLEMSON#20L 20-31978484-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ANC STATE#21L 20-397371710BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27AWEST VIRGINIA—L 10-30647272-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB57TAL93PERF58RET92ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DRAKE MAYEQB SORET
★4—9792%+29—
15
CONNER HARRELLQB SERET
★3★3458%+31HELD
14
JEFFERSON BOAZQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
16
RUSSELL TABORQB SORET
UNR—00%——
12
TAD HUDSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB72TAL74PERF72RET79ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
OMARION HAMPTONRB JURET
★4—9968%+13—
26
DJ JONESRB SERET
★3★3584%-5HELD
24
BRITISH BROOKSRB SERET
UNR—7926%+24—
4
CALEB HOODRB SERET
★3★4394%+13ROSE
21
ELIJAH GREENRB SERET
★3★3171%+2HELD
25
KELLAN HOODRB FRRET
UNR—121%——
34
JORDAN LOUIERB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
6
GEORGE PETTAWAYRB SERET
★4★300%-23FELL
▾WR/TE61TAL82PERF58RET71ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
J.J. JONESWR SERET
★4—9931%-6—
18
BRYSON NESBITTE SERET
★4—8739%+23—
9
DEVONTEZ WALKERWR JUPORTAL · KENT STATE
★3★48721%+32ROSE
81
JOHN COPENHAVERTE SERET
★3—8638%+41—
6
NATE MCCOLLUMWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
★4★38218%+16FELL
8
KOBE PAYSOURWR SERET
★3★36911%+5HELD
6
GAVIN BLACKWELLWR SERET
★4★36811%-10FELL
88
KAMARI MORALESTE SERET
★3★36720%+29HELD
18
ANDRE GREENE JR.WR SERET
★4★3473%-62FELL
1
TYCHAUN CHAPMANWR SERET
★4★3432%—FELL
88
DEEMS MAYTE SERET
UNR—353%——
9
CHRISTIAN HAMILTONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3341%—FELL
11
PAUL BILLUPS IIWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3221%—HELD
3
CHRIS CULLIVERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3191%—FELL
87
CORT HALSEYTE SONO SNAPS
★2—110%——
89
CAL TIERNEYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
83
JOSH ESPINDOLAWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
20
BROOKS MILLERWR JURET
★3—00%——
86
THOMAS FLYNNWR JURET
UNR—00%——
13
TYLEE CRAFTWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
LANDON STEVENSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
CYRUS ROGERSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
JULIEN RANDOLPH IIITE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
GRADY SHERRILLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
27
MICHAEL HALLWR SORET
UNR—00%——
38
AIDEN CLONINGERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL64TAL73PERF64RET83n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL46TAL75PERF46RET82n=9 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸LB55TAL81PERF55RET81n=4 · 11 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB50TAL79PERF51RET54n=9 · 6 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS CULLIVERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAYBRON HARVEYHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
TYLER THOMPSONHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
JOEL STARLINGSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
CHRISTIAN HAMILTONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TAD HUDSONHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
JORDAN LOUIEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JULIEN RANDOLPHHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
NOLAN MCCONNELLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TRE MILLERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEVONTEZ WALKERKENT STATEWR★3★4
ALIJAH HUZZIEEAST TENNESSEE STATECBUNR★4
DERRIK ALLENGEORGIA TECHS★3★3
ARMANI CHATMANVIRGINIA TECHCB★3★3
NATE MCCOLLUMGEORGIA TECHWR★4★3
WILLIE LAMPKINCOASTAL CAROLINAIOL★3★3
AMARI GAINERFLORIDA STATELB★4★3
ANTAVIOUS LANEGEORGIA STATES★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
STORM DUCKLOUISVILLEDB★3★3
CAM'RON KELLYLOUISVILLEDBUNRUNR
CHRIS COLLINSMINNESOTADL★3★3
RARA DILLWORTHEAST CAROLINALB★4★3
DONTAE BALFOURCHARLOTTEDB★3★3
KEESHAWN SILVERKENTUCKYDT★5★4
JUSTIN OLSONMIDDLE TENNESSEEWR★3★3
KENDALL KARRCOASTAL CAROLINATE★3★3
DEANDRE HOLLINSCHARLOTTEDB★3UNR
JACOLBY CRISWELLARKANSASQB★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES32%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS49%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#30NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8769COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1018 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST82% BACK82th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG82% BACK82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR83%83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST54%54th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE