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HOME›TEAMS›NORTHERN ILLINOIS›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|ROD CAREY|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
NORTHERN ILLINOIS83 FPIMWC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
37FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#930 BC / 24
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-5ACTUALvs6.2-6.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD6-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.8
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AIOWA#25L 7-33708383-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HUTAH—L 6-17668888-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 24-163466+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AFLORIDA STATE—L 19-37964646-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 26-23143434-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ABALL STATE—W 24-162199+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HOHIO—W 24-21155959-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ABYU—W 7-6606565-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AAKRON—W 36-262088+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 7HTOLEDO—W 38-15424949-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14HMIAMI (OH)—L 7-13353939-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 20AWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 21-28392020+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ABUFFALO—W 30-29233737-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET66NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
ANTHONY THOMPSONQB JURET
★3—00%——
15
MARCUS CHILDERSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
17
RYAN GRAHAMQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
JIYA WRIGHTQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
JORDAN NETTLESRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
MARCUS JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
TRE HARBISONRB SERET
★3—00%——
16
JUSTIN HALLRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
44
COREY LERSCHTE SERET
★2—00%——
89
MITCHELL BRINKMANTE SERET
★2—00%——
6
RODNEY HALLWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
DENNIS ROBINSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
COLE TUCKERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
TY HARMSTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JAUAN WESLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
D.J. BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
SPENCER TEARSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
LEON PAYNEWR SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
88
DANIEL CRAWFORDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
RYAN GIBBONSWR JURET
★2—00%——
87
MAXIMILIAN THROWERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
LIAM SORAGHANTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
FOTIS KOKOSIOULISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
3
TYRICE RICHIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
LUCAS SEGOBIANOWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
AMIR BRUMMETTWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
DALE BROWNTE —RET
UNR—00%——
83
ROD ALEXANDERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHARLES ROBINSONHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MARQUES COXHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JUSTIN HALLHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
JOSEPH BONDSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
MIKE DEHAANHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
ANTWAIN WALKERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DEVIN HANEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
REGGIE JENNINGSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
AMIR BRUMMETTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JYRAN MITCHELLHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DANIEL SANTACATERINASOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATEQBUNRUNR
JAWUAN JOHNSONTCULBUNRUNR
HERLANDEZ CORLEYELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
ANDREW PARCHMENTELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JACKSON ABRESCHNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JOSH ORNENOT LISTEDPKUNR—
EZRA SAFFOLDNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JONATHAN PARKERNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
MYCIAL ALLENNOT LISTEDSUNR—
CHAD BEEBENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#93NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8061COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST62% BACK62th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG62% BACK62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR66%66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE