SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH TEXAS›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|ERIC MORRIS|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
NORTH TEXAS108 FPIAAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
30FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
70%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
65%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#990 BC / 13
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.5-6.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.6
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE72
PERFORMANCE72
TALENT57
CONTINUITY70
DEFENSE2
PERFORMANCE2
TALENT41
CONTINUITY65
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HCALIFORNIA—L 21-58685050-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 39-463444+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ALOUISIANA TECH—W 40-37241616+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 45-31————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 7ANAVY—L 24-2711515+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HTEMPLE—W 45-144255+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ATULANE—L 28-35415656-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HMEMPHIS—L 42-45545959-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HUTSA—L 29-37476464-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ASMU#22L 21-45768383-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ATULSA—W 35-28401515+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HUAB—W 45-42291212+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB52TAL29PERF52RET9ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CHANDLER ROGERSQB SENO SNAPS
★3—9691%+17—
4
STONE EARLEQB SERET
★3—479%-26—
3
JACE RUDERQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
2
JD HEADQB SORET
★3—00%——
26
DYLAN GEBBIAQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB56TAL61PERF56RET100ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
AYO ADEYIRB SERET
UNR★39243%+34EMERGED
27
OSCAR ADAWAY IIIRB SERET
★3★39041%+21HELD
23
ISAIAH JOHNSONRB JURET
★3★36313%+25HELD
0
IKAIKA RAGSDALERB SERET
★3★3333%+14HELD
20
QUALON FARRARRB FRRET
★3★300%-6HELD
0
MAKENZIE MCGILL IIRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%——
20
B.K. JACKSONRB SERET
★3—00%+20—
▾WR/TE53TAL60PERF53RET71ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 51 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JA'MORI MACLINWR SERET
★3★310025%+32HELD
2
RODERIC BURNSWR SERET
UNR—9017%+17—
8
DAMON WARD JR.WR SERET
UNR—8414%+5—
7
TREY CLEVELANDWR JUPORTAL · TEXAS TECH
★3★38013%+21HELD
0
BLAIR CONWRIGHTWR SEPORTAL · TCU
★3★3719%+29HELD
9
JORDAN SMARTWR SERET
UNR★3699%+23EMERGED
7
LANDON SIDESWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3688%+28HELD
84
CHRISTIAN LEETE JURET
★3★36149%-32HELD
1
KAYLON HORTONWR SERET
UNR—523%+8—
81
RICHARD ROCQUEMOREWR JURET
UNR—241%——
80
ZHIGHLIL MCMILLANWR SORET
★3★3241%—HELD
22
LUKE ROSSLEYWR FRRET
UNR—190%——
84
KADEN TAYLORWR SONO SNAPS
★2—60%——
46
BRAD ADAMCIKTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
DORIAN MORRISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
11
DETRAVEON BROWNWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
85
EVAN GREENEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
2
J'KALON CARTERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
DALLAS DUDLEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
JOSHUA SMITHTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
83
ZACK DARKOCHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
TIM MADISONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL41TAL60PERF41RET77n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL32TAL41PERF32RET77n=7 · 7 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸LB37TAL32PERF37RET68n=5 · 11 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸DB40TAL44PERF40RET58n=10 · 6 METRICS · 45 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYVEN ANDERSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TAYLOR STARLINGHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
EVAN JACKSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRIAN NELSON IIHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KEITH SMITH JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
LANDON SIDESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ISAAC SOHNHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
KOLLIN LEWISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DIETRICH MOOREHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DESMOND MAGIYAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAIR CONWRIGHTTCUWR★3★3
DAMON YOUNGBLOODLOUISIANASUNR★3
PAULA VAIPULUGEORGIA TECHIOL★3★3
PHILLIP HILLUNLVSUNR★3
TREY CLEVELANDTEXAS TECHWR★3★3
LARRY MOORETEXAS TECHOTUNR★3
VICZARIL ALOBWEDEMASSACHUSETTSEDGEUNR★2
ETHAN MINERARKANSAS STATEIOL★2★2
NOAH RAUSCHENBERGBAYLORK★2★2
CHANDLER ROGERSUL MONROEQBUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DESHAWN GADDIE JR.OLE MISSCB★3UNR
LARRY NIXON IIIAUBURNLB★2★3
JAKE ROBERTSBAYLORTE★3★3
VAR'KEYES GUMMSARKANSASTE★3★3
CAMERON ROBERTSONSMUDE★3UNR
JYAIRE SHORTERAUBURNWR★3★3
ASHER ALBERDINGCALIFORNIATE★3★3
GRANT GUNNELLSAM HOUSTONQB★3★3
BRYCE DRUMMONDOKLAHOMA STATEFB★3UNR
SEAN-THOMAS FAULKNERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES20%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS41%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#99NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8401COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1015 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR77%77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR9%9th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST58%58th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE