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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OHIO›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|TIM ALBIN|—RECORD11-3|CONF—
OHIO73 FPIMAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
11FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
64%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
56%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#920 BC / 18
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-3ACTUALvs10.0-3.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE43
PERFORMANCE43
TALENT51
CONTINUITY64
DEFENSE45
PERFORMANCE45
TALENT39
CONTINUITY56
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31ASYRACUSE#20L 22-38666666-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 27-20325555-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HMORGAN STATE—W 21-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21AKENTUCKY—L 6-41836666-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HAKRON—W 30-102688+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 27-25151111+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AMIAMI (OH)—L 20-30204949+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HBUFFALO—W 47-1693535+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 6AKENT STATE—W 41-0900+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 13HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 35-10211515+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 20ATOLEDO—W 24-7374141+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HBALL STATE—W 42-211466+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7AMIAMI (OH)—W 38-3204949+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 20AJACKSONVILLE STATE—W 30-2784545+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB62TAL78PERF62RET86ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
PARKER NAVARROQB SERET
★3★38286%+29HELD
8
NICK POULOSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—5214%-50—
9
CALLUM WITHERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
4
JACOB WINTERSQB SORET
★3—00%——
16
MATTHEW PAPASQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB36TAL47PERF36RET31ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ANTHONY TYUS IIIRB SEPORTAL · NORTHWESTERN
★3★39865%-16HELD
28
RICKEY HUNT JR.RB SORET
★3★37825%+5HELD
21
NOLAN MCCORMICKRB JURET
UNR—445%-21—
6
DUNCAN BRUNERB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3435%-58HELD
41
DEVON HUNTERRB JURET
★4—00%——
48
AGINON WILSON JR.RB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE38TAL55PERF38RET56ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
COLEMAN OWENWR SEPORTAL · NORTHERN ARIZONA
UNR★39630%+36EMERGED
7
CHASE HENDRICKSWR SERET
★3★49326%-17ROSE
11
RODNEY HARRIS IIWR SERET
★3★39125%-36HELD
86
MASON WILLIAMSTE SERET
★3★37962%+18HELD
88
CALEB GOSSETTWR SERET
UNR—648%-8—
86
JAKE BRUNOTE SEPORTAL · SAINT FRANCIS (PA)
UNR★36130%-43EMERGED
12
EIAN PUGHWR SEPORTAL · ILLINOIS
★3★3565%-58HELD
3
MAX RODARTEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—534%-6—
22
BRYCE BUTLERTE SERET
★3★3409%—HELD
10
EAMONN DENNISWR SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★3★3331%—HELD
31
KHAMANI DEBROWWR JURET
UNR—00%——
44
AIDEN LOWERYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
AJ MILLERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
0
DELANEY CRAWFORDWR SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA
★3★300%—HELD
85
BEAU BLANKENSHIPTE JUPORTAL · MARSHALL
UNR★300%—EMERGED
80
RYAN MCDOLEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
NICK SEGARRATE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
KADEN HURSTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
JACK BORERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
81
MATTHEW STUEWEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
18
MILES CREMASCOLIWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
19
DOM DORWARTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
HUNTER THOMPSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
RILEY NEERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
BLAKE GUFFEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL51TAL39PERF51RET70n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL59TAL59PERF59RET36n=8 · 7 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB55TAL34PERF55RET54n=5 · 11 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸DB37TAL24PERF37RET74n=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TONY MATHISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JT HASKINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DOMINIC DORWARTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JASEN KELLYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
BRYCE PARSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
PARKER STARTZHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KADEN HURSTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KESEAN ANDERSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ANDREW ERBYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
NICK SEGARRAHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COLEMAN OWENNORTHERN ARIZONAWRUNR★3
ANTHONY TYUS IIINORTHWESTERNRB★3★3
SINN BRENNANSAN DIEGO STATEEDGE★3★3
BLAKE LEAKEBUCKNELLLBUNR★3
DUSTIN JOHNSONNORTHERN COLORADOSUNR★3
BEN MCNABOENORTH DAKOTADLUNR★3
JACOB PROCHECOASTAL CAROLINACBUNR★3
TIGANA CISSEIDAHOIOL★3★3
CJ DOGGETTECINCINNATIEDGEUNR★3
JAKE BRUNOSAINT FRANCIS (PA)TEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT38 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHEDRICK RHODES JR.RUTGERSOL★3★3
KEYE THOMPSONPITTSBURGHLB★2★3
TORRIE COX JR.ILLINOISDB★3★3
RAYYAN BUELLCOLORADODL★3★3
SIEH BANGURAMINNESOTARB★3★3
KURTIS ROURKEINDIANAQB★3★4
MILES CROSSINDIANAWR★3★3
WILL KACMAREKOHIO STATETEUNR★3
O'SHAAN ALLISONAUSTIN PEAYRB★2★2
TYLER FOSTEROKLAHOMA STATETE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES87%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS91%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#92NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8315COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2126 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST10% BACK10th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG10% BACK10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST74%74th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE